Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#277
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#264
Pace72.2#89
Improvement+3.5#18

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#236
First Shot-2.9#260
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#144
Layup/Dunks-1.4#232
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows-2.2#304
Improvement+1.3#83

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#293
First Shot-4.4#314
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#134
Layups/Dunks+0.8#140
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#340
Freethrows-2.3#317
Improvement+2.2#33
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.8% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 39.3% 49.5% 26.0%
.500 or above in Conference 59.8% 64.5% 53.8%
Conference Champion 6.5% 7.8% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 3.1% 5.5%
First Four3.8% 4.2% 3.3%
First Round4.7% 5.8% 3.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 413 - 1015 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 118   @ Temple L 70-81 13%     0 - 1 -5.1 -3.9 -0.6
  Nov 06, 2024 9   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -15.5 -12.4 -1.8
  Nov 09, 2024 306   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 45%     0 - 3 -9.8 -4.1 -5.3
  Nov 15, 2024 330   Holy Cross L 75-82 65%     0 - 4 -17.0 +4.3 -22.1
  Nov 16, 2024 354   New Hampshire W 80-63 74%     1 - 4 +4.1 +10.1 -4.8
  Nov 17, 2024 159   @ Brown L 70-89 20%     1 - 5 -16.1 +2.4 -19.5
  Nov 21, 2024 222   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 50%     2 - 5 +6.8 -3.4 +10.7
  Dec 01, 2024 252   @ Boston University W 73-65 35%     3 - 5 +5.8 +1.0 +5.0
  Dec 06, 2024 257   Iona W 83-59 59%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +15.5 +4.4 +10.0
  Dec 08, 2024 238   @ Quinnipiac L 73-83 31%     4 - 6 1 - 1 -11.0 -1.5 -9.2
  Dec 18, 2024 248   Albany W 80-78 56%    
  Dec 22, 2024 195   @ Miami (OH) L 70-77 24%    
  Jan 05, 2025 352   Canisius W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 10, 2025 217   Merrimack L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 12, 2025 266   @ Mount St. Mary's L 73-76 38%    
  Jan 16, 2025 283   @ Siena L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 221   St. Peter's L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 77-73 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 314   @ Niagara L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 02, 2025 316   Manhattan W 81-75 70%    
  Feb 06, 2025 288   Rider W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 292   @ Fairfield L 75-77 42%    
  Feb 14, 2025 238   Quinnipiac W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 16, 2025 283   Siena W 72-68 62%    
  Feb 21, 2025 217   @ Merrimack L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 23, 2025 221   @ St. Peter's L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 28, 2025 236   Marist W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 02, 2025 292   Fairfield W 78-74 63%    
  Mar 06, 2025 316   @ Manhattan L 77-78 49%    
  Mar 08, 2025 257   @ Iona L 71-75 37%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.9 4.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 5.2 2.4 0.2 0.0 9.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.8 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 3.6 4.8 0.9 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 1.7 0.1 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.2 2.7 0.2 8.2 9th
10th 0.1 0.7 3.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 2.5 0.7 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.8 7.6 10.5 12.9 13.8 13.3 11.7 8.9 6.0 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 96.3% 0.6    0.6 0.1
16-4 84.3% 1.5    1.1 0.3 0.0
15-5 58.0% 2.1    1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-6 26.5% 1.6    0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 5.8% 0.5    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.5% 6.5 3.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 31.6% 31.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 28.3% 28.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.8% 22.8% 22.8% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 1.4
15-5 3.6% 20.5% 20.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 2.8
14-6 6.0% 15.4% 15.4% 15.8 0.2 0.7 5.1
13-7 8.9% 12.8% 12.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.8
12-8 11.7% 10.1% 10.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.5
11-9 13.3% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.5
10-10 13.8% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.5 13.3
9-11 12.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 12.6
8-12 10.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 10.3
7-13 7.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.5
6-14 4.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.8
5-15 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.5 93.5 0.0%