Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.4#335
Expected Predictive Rating-14.0#342
Pace79.6#17
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#339
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.3% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 7.9% 11.5% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 19.0% 23.0% 14.2%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.3% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 27.1% 22.4% 32.8%
First Four0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Neutral) - 54.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 61 - 8
Quad 49 - 149 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 112   @ Temple L 70-81 6%     0 - 1 -4.2 -4.3 +0.8
  Nov 06, 2024 1   @ Connecticut L 56-92 1%     0 - 2 -12.6 -7.7 -3.5
  Nov 09, 2024 329   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 36%     0 - 3 -11.6 -5.4 -5.8
  Nov 15, 2024 343   Holy Cross W 77-76 54%    
  Nov 16, 2024 326   New Hampshire L 78-79 47%    
  Nov 17, 2024 199   @ Brown L 70-81 16%    
  Nov 21, 2024 235   Central Connecticut St. L 72-76 35%    
  Dec 01, 2024 305   @ Boston University L 71-77 30%    
  Dec 06, 2024 221   Iona L 74-78 35%    
  Dec 08, 2024 247   @ Quinnipiac L 76-85 20%    
  Dec 18, 2024 253   Albany L 83-86 40%    
  Dec 22, 2024 213   @ Miami (OH) L 71-81 18%    
  Jan 05, 2025 318   Canisius W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 10, 2025 206   Merrimack L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 12, 2025 256   @ Mount St. Mary's L 74-82 23%    
  Jan 16, 2025 308   @ Siena L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 18, 2025 187   St. Peter's L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 23, 2025 318   @ Canisius L 74-79 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 02, 2025 334   Manhattan W 78-75 59%    
  Feb 06, 2025 227   Rider L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 258   @ Fairfield L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 14, 2025 247   Quinnipiac L 79-82 39%    
  Feb 16, 2025 308   Siena W 75-74 50%    
  Feb 21, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 65-76 18%    
  Feb 23, 2025 187   @ St. Peter's L 64-76 15%    
  Feb 28, 2025 226   Marist L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 02, 2025 258   Fairfield L 74-76 42%    
  Mar 06, 2025 334   @ Manhattan L 75-78 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 221   @ Iona L 71-81 19%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.9 2.4 1.4 0.2 5.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 0.9 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 4.2 1.5 0.1 9.4 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 3.2 4.9 2.3 0.3 11.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.6 5.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.4 4.9 5.7 2.8 0.6 0.0 16.9 12th
13th 0.6 2.2 4.5 5.3 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 18.8 13th
Total 0.6 2.3 4.9 7.8 10.3 11.9 12.3 11.8 10.4 8.8 6.8 4.8 3.3 2.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 90.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 73.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 44.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1
14-6 22.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.1% 29.0% 29.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.2% 25.4% 25.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-5 0.7% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.6
14-6 1.2% 12.5% 12.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.0
13-7 2.0% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.8
12-8 3.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.2 3.1
11-9 4.8% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.1 4.7
10-10 6.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 6.6
9-11 8.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.7
8-12 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
7-13 11.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.8
6-14 12.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.3
5-15 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-16 10.3% 10.3
3-17 7.8% 7.8
2-18 4.9% 4.9
1-19 2.3% 2.3
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%