Manhattan
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#334
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#150
Pace69.8#169
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#336
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#307
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 14.2% 28.1% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 22.2% 33.4% 18.8%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 27.1% 16.9% 30.3%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round1.1% 2.0% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Home) - 23.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 49 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 31   @ Maryland L 49-79 2%     0 - 1 -14.8 -14.9 +0.7
  Nov 15, 2024 159   Fordham L 66-74 23%    
  Nov 17, 2024 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 76-77 47%    
  Nov 22, 2024 313   Army W 64-63 54%    
  Nov 26, 2024 78   @ Virginia L 50-71 3%    
  Nov 29, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 73-69 63%    
  Dec 06, 2024 187   @ St. Peter's L 59-71 14%    
  Dec 08, 2024 226   Marist L 65-69 36%    
  Dec 18, 2024 275   @ Wagner L 57-64 26%    
  Dec 21, 2024 264   @ Presbyterian L 69-77 24%    
  Jan 03, 2025 308   @ Siena L 65-71 31%    
  Jan 05, 2025 227   @ Rider L 66-76 19%    
  Jan 10, 2025 256   Mount St. Mary's L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 12, 2025 206   @ Merrimack L 60-71 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 320   Niagara W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 258   Fairfield L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 25, 2025 256   @ Mount St. Mary's L 68-76 24%    
  Jan 31, 2025 221   Iona L 68-72 36%    
  Feb 02, 2025 335   @ Sacred Heart L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 187   St. Peter's L 62-68 31%    
  Feb 14, 2025 206   Merrimack L 63-68 35%    
  Feb 16, 2025 258   @ Fairfield L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 21, 2025 221   @ Iona L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 23, 2025 247   Quinnipiac L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 28, 2025 318   @ Canisius L 68-72 35%    
  Mar 02, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 69-73 36%    
  Mar 06, 2025 335   Sacred Heart W 78-75 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 308   Siena W 69-68 51%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.4 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 2.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.5 0.9 0.1 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.1 1.7 0.1 9.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 3.0 4.7 2.1 0.2 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.6 4.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.4 4.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 15.2 12th
13th 0.8 2.6 4.3 5.4 4.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 19.3 13th
Total 0.8 2.6 4.7 7.9 9.5 10.9 11.4 11.2 9.9 9.0 7.0 5.5 3.8 2.7 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 93.3% 0.1    0.1
17-3 91.8% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-4 65.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 45.9% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 16.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 33.3% 33.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.2% 16.4% 16.4% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-4 0.5% 18.0% 18.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 0.8% 18.7% 18.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.6% 8.1% 8.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.5
13-7 2.7% 7.8% 7.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.5
12-8 3.8% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.2 3.6
11-9 5.5% 3.8% 3.8% 15.8 0.0 0.2 5.3
10-10 7.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.9
9-11 9.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
8-12 9.9% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 9.8
7-13 11.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.1
6-14 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.9
4-16 9.5% 9.5
3-17 7.9% 7.9
2-18 4.7% 4.7
1-19 2.6% 2.6
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%