Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#270
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#286
Pace62.8#323
Improvement+0.1#181

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot-3.9#293
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#71
Layup/Dunks-2.7#280
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#209
Freethrows-1.4#275
Improvement-0.9#228

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#285
First Shot-3.3#279
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#224
Layups/Dunks-2.7#286
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#201
Freethrows-0.7#236
Improvement+1.0#135
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.1% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four2.0% 2.9% 1.8%
First Round1.2% 1.8% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Radford (Away) - 22.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 34 - 74 - 10
Quad 46 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 235   @ Charlotte L 79-88 34%     0 - 1 -10.5 +15.7 -27.5
  Nov 08, 2024 103   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 12%     0 - 2 -2.2 +6.1 -8.7
  Nov 13, 2024 142   Wofford W 71-68 34%     1 - 2 +1.5 +3.3 -1.5
  Nov 16, 2024 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 18%     1 - 3 -13.8 -0.1 -14.4
  Nov 21, 2024 249   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 37%     2 - 3 +0.7 -16.0 +16.4
  Nov 22, 2024 186   Youngstown St. W 67-42 34%     3 - 3 +23.5 -2.7 +27.1
  Nov 23, 2024 255   Monmouth W 71-61 48%     4 - 3 +4.8 +2.7 +3.2
  Nov 27, 2024 308   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 51%     4 - 4 -20.9 +2.4 -24.0
  Dec 03, 2024 321   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 55%     4 - 5 -9.9 -15.2 +5.4
  Dec 15, 2024 152   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 20%     4 - 6 -15.9 +6.0 -23.6
  Dec 21, 2024 263   Manhattan L 81-86 OT 59%     4 - 7 -13.0 -2.5 -10.2
  Dec 30, 2024 84   @ South Carolina L 59-69 9%     4 - 8 -0.7 +2.2 -4.6
  Jan 02, 2025 200   Longwood W 68-60 46%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +3.3 -3.3 +7.2
  Jan 04, 2025 257   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-63 39%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -4.7 -8.9 +4.0
  Jan 08, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-77 65%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -19.8 -9.2 -11.0
  Jan 11, 2025 184   UNC Asheville L 87-96 43%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -12.8 +12.0 -25.0
  Jan 18, 2025 96   @ High Point L 66-77 11%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -3.4 -1.5 -3.0
  Jan 22, 2025 285   Charleston Southern W 71-61 64%     6 - 12 2 - 4 +0.5 +0.6 +0.8
  Jan 25, 2025 177   Radford L 69-82 41%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -16.5 +7.5 -26.8
  Jan 29, 2025 196   @ Winthrop L 67-76 28%     6 - 14 2 - 6 -8.5 -4.8 -4.0
  Feb 01, 2025 96   High Point L 72-84 22%     6 - 15 2 - 7 -9.5 +6.5 -17.9
  Feb 05, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 75-64 81%     7 - 15 3 - 7 -3.9 -10.0 +5.5
  Feb 12, 2025 285   @ Charleston Southern L 70-71 45%     7 - 16 3 - 8 -5.4 -0.4 -5.1
  Feb 15, 2025 200   @ Longwood W 77-68 28%     8 - 16 4 - 8 +9.4 +5.3 +4.4
  Feb 19, 2025 196   Winthrop L 77-81 46%     8 - 17 4 - 9 -8.6 -0.2 -8.4
  Feb 22, 2025 177   @ Radford L 64-71 23%    
  Feb 26, 2025 184   @ UNC Asheville L 70-77 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 257   Gardner-Webb W 74-72 60%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.3 1.4 1.6 5th
6th 4.4 2.2 6.6 6th
7th 15.6 16.5 0.2 32.3 7th
8th 24.0 32.7 2.8 59.5 8th
9th 9th
Total 24.0 48.3 24.0 3.7 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 3.7% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 3.5
6-10 24.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.8 23.2
5-11 48.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.9 47.5
4-12 24.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.3 23.7
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 16.0 2.1 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 6.6%