Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#250
Expected Predictive Rating-3.3#226
Pace66.3#256
Improvement-1.9#299

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#227
First Shot-4.1#300
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#61
Layup/Dunks-1.1#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
Freethrows-2.8#329
Improvement-3.2#359

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#269
First Shot-2.3#248
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#250
Layups/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#229
Freethrows+0.7#135
Improvement+1.4#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 5.9% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.4 15.6
.500 or above 23.3% 27.6% 11.0%
.500 or above in Conference 43.9% 46.8% 35.6%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.5% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 12.4% 11.0% 16.3%
First Four1.9% 1.9% 2.0%
First Round4.5% 5.0% 3.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Manhattan (Home) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 49 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 170   @ Charlotte L 79-88 24%     0 - 1 -6.6 +17.2 -25.1
  Nov 08, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 9%     0 - 2 +1.1 +7.0 -6.3
  Nov 13, 2024 163   Wofford W 71-68 44%     1 - 2 -0.4 +1.9 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 154   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 22%     1 - 3 -14.7 -2.0 -13.3
  Nov 21, 2024 214   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 30%     2 - 3 +3.3 -13.8 +16.9
  Nov 22, 2024 211   Youngstown St. W 67-42 40%     3 - 3 +22.6 -1.8 +25.2
  Nov 23, 2024 273   Monmouth W 71-61 54%     4 - 3 +4.1 +2.9 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2024 332   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 59%     4 - 4 -22.3 +1.1 -23.9
  Dec 03, 2024 355   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 69%     4 - 5 -13.0 -13.9 +1.0
  Dec 15, 2024 91   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 10%     4 - 6 -10.0 +8.9 -20.6
  Dec 21, 2024 316   Manhattan W 78-71 74%    
  Dec 30, 2024 69   @ South Carolina L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 02, 2025 220   Longwood W 71-70 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 240   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 08, 2025 334   @ South Carolina Upstate W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 182   UNC Asheville L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 18, 2025 134   @ High Point L 69-78 19%    
  Jan 22, 2025 299   Charleston Southern W 74-69 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 202   Radford L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 181   @ Winthrop L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   High Point L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 05, 2025 334   South Carolina Upstate W 80-72 78%    
  Feb 12, 2025 299   @ Charleston Southern L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 220   @ Longwood L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 19, 2025 181   Winthrop L 76-77 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 202   @ Radford L 66-72 29%    
  Feb 26, 2025 182   @ UNC Asheville L 69-76 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 240   Gardner-Webb W 75-73 58%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.2 3.9 0.9 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.3 1.0 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.2 6.6 1.3 0.0 14.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 5.1 7.2 1.9 0.0 15.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 5.2 6.9 2.2 0.1 15.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.6 4.7 1.5 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.5 1.8 0.6 0.0 7.0 9th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.4 7.8 11.5 14.4 15.6 14.3 11.6 8.6 5.2 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 98.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
13-3 87.2% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
12-4 62.9% 1.6    0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0
11-5 27.2% 1.4    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0
10-6 4.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 37.0% 37.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.4% 23.3% 23.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-3 1.2% 21.5% 21.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-4 2.5% 19.7% 19.7% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.0
11-5 5.2% 14.3% 14.3% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 4.5
10-6 8.6% 9.8% 9.8% 15.4 0.1 0.5 0.3 7.8
9-7 11.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 10.8
8-8 14.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.1 0.7 13.5
7-9 15.6% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 14.9
6-10 14.4% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.4 14.0
5-11 11.5% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 11.3
4-12 7.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 7.8
3-13 4.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.4
2-14 1.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.8
1-15 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 94.6 0.0%