Presbyterian
Big South
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -6.1 271
Results Rating -6.5 265
Consistency 0.17 262
Pace 62.5 332
Improvement +1.2 143

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 275 D+ C+ D C+ C-
Defense C- 239 C- C D+ B- D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 46 C- 56% 215 +2.3 97
2 Pt. Jumpers 53% 38 C 38% 186 +2.6 55
Three Pointers 29% 358 D- 30% 325 -8.0 357
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 256 D+ -2.6 270
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 279
Second Chance C+ 31.7% 136 C 1.03 178 C+ 0.33 143
Opponents' Steals C 9.6% 197
Other Turnovers F 9.6% 355
Turnovers D 19.2% 327
Freethrows B- 0.34 73 D 69% 307 C+ 0.23 138
Total Offense D+ -3.9 275

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B- 53% 103 C+ 10.4% 143
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 176 C- 5.6% 234
Three Pointers D+ 79% 292 C+ 0.7% 124
Total D+ 51% 276 D+ 6.3% 260


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 17 C 57% 159 +3.7 302
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 235 D+ 41% 291 -0.1 185
Three Pointers 36% 327 D+ 36% 268 -1.7 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.7 301 C- +1.1 225
1st FG Attempt C- 1.06 245
Second Chance C 30.4% 189 C+ 1.01 138 C 0.31 170
Turnovers from Steals D+ 7.9% 295
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 137
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 255
Freethrows C+ 0.29 159 A- 68% 15 B- 0.20 104
Total Defense C- -2.2 239

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 75 B- 14.0% 67
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 86 C+ 6.1% 98
Three Pointers C 83% 161 D+ 0.5% 253
Total B- 50% 77 B 7.7% 41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 262 18.0 282
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 244 0.15 94
Consistency 0.12 140 0.12 136
Improvement +1.7 110 -0.4 211

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 283 274 249
Results Rating Rank 288 283 239
Conference Record 7 - 9 7 - 9 7 - 9
Conference Finish 6 6 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 5% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four2% 5% 0%
First Round1% 3% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 42 - 9
Quad 410 - 912 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 141 Navy L 55 - 76 34% -16  3% 0 - 1 F -23 F -14 D- F F F -10 D- C F
 Sat, Nov 8 140 East Tennessee St. W 68 - 64 34% +2  57% 1 - 1 C+ +2 D+ -3 D- A+ F B+ +5 A+ F B
 Mon, Nov 10 304 @Georgia St. W 63 - 61 48% -5  13% 2 - 1 C- -4 D+ -2 C- A+ F C -1 D C- C
 Wed, Nov 12 98 @South Carolina L 61 - 81 9% -18  2% 2 - 2 D- -11 D -5 D- C+ C D- -8 C- B+ F
 Sun, Nov 16 272 @Sacramento St. L 62 - 64 39% +4  78% 2 - 3 D+ -5 F -13 F F C A- +8 B- F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 73 @California L 57 - 67 6% -3  10% 2 - 4 C +1 C +0 F+ A+ D C -1 D C- A
 Fri, Nov 21 30 @UCLA L 46 - 86 2% -24  0% 2 - 5 F -22 F -21 F F F C- -3 F D- B+
 Sun, Nov 30 343 The Citadel W 69 - 41 74% +19  98% 3 - 5 A- +15 B +7 B- A+ D+ A+ +16 A+ B- B
 Wed, Dec 3 240 @Wofford L 56 - 63 33% -4  22% 3 - 6 D -9 F -17 F B- F+ A- +7 A B F
 Sat, Dec 6 282 Morehead St. W 80 - 72 64% +3  67% 4 - 6 C- -2 C +0 C+ A- F C- -2 F A+ D-
 Wed, Dec 17 234 @East Carolina L 53 - 74 31% -10  0% 4 - 7 F -22 F -20 F C F C- -2 F A- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 324 @Manhattan L 81 - 87 56% -3  26% 4 - 8 D- -14 C- -2 D C C F -12 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 307 South Carolina Upstate W 86 - 77 71% +4  76% 5 - 8 1 - 0 C- -3 B+ +8 B+ C+ B+ F -11 F C+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 243 @Radford L 61 - 80 33% -6  6% 5 - 9 1 - 1 F -21 D- -8 F C A- F -16 F A F
 Sat, Jan 10 253 @Longwood L 70 - 77 35% -10  1% 5 - 10 1 - 2 D -9 C+ +2 B D D F -12 F D- F+
 Wed, Jan 14 246 UNC Asheville W 71 - 70 57% +6  83% 6 - 10 2 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -3 B+ D+ F+ D+ -4 A- C D
 Sat, Jan 17 360 @Gardner-Webb W 92 - 55 79% +20  99% 7 - 10 3 - 2 A +22 A- +10 B C B A+ +13 B+ C+ A
 Wed, Jan 21 250 Charleston Southern W 87 - 83 57% +8  89% 8 - 10 4 - 2 C- -4 B- +4 A+ D C D- -8 C- F F+
 Sat, Jan 24 145 Winthrop L 72 - 82 34% -5  3% 8 - 11 4 - 3 D- -12 D- -7 F+ D D- D -5 B+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 94 @High Point L 81 - 84 9% -2  21% 8 - 12 4 - 4 B- +6 B+ +9 A- A- C- C- -3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 243 Radford L 84 - 93 2OT 56% -0  42% 8 - 13 4 - 5 F+ -17 F+ -8 B- F F D- -7 B- C F
 Sat, Feb 7 360 Gardner-Webb W 68 - 62 91% -0  40% 9 - 13 5 - 5 F+ -15 F -10 D F+ F D+ -4 F A D
 Thu, Feb 12 250 @Charleston Southern L 67 - 84 35% -8  2% 9 - 14 5 - 6 F -19 D- -7 D B- F F -13 D- F A-
 Sat, Feb 14 246 @UNC Asheville W 58 - 57 34% -2  7% 10 - 14 6 - 6 C -1 F -11 F B+ F A +11 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Feb 19 253 Longwood W 72 - 65 58% -3  28% 11 - 14 7 - 6 C -1 D+ -3 B C D- C+ +2 F D A+
 Sat, Feb 21 307 @South Carolina Upstate L 74 - 76 49% -7  3% 11 - 15 7 - 7 D+ -8 B- +5 C- A- A F -13 F F+ D+
 Thu, Feb 26 94 High Point L 73 - 79 20% -7  2% 11 - 16 7 - 8 C- -3 C- -2 F B+ A+ C -1 B+ D+ D
 Sat, Feb 28 145 @Winthrop L 70 - 74 17% -3  11% 11 - 17 7 - 9 C +0 D -5 F B- D B +5 B- A+ F
 Fri, Mar 6 243 Radford L 73 - 75 44%
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 9 -6 D+ -4 A- D+ C- C- -2 D- D C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C D- D+ 44% 53% 29% C- D+ C+ C C+ D B- D C+ C- C D+ D+ C- 45% 19% 36% D C- C C+ C D+ C+ A- B-
1.03 56% 38% 30% -3 -1 0.96 32% 1.0 .33 19% .34 69% .23 1.12 57% 41% 36% +1 +1 1.06 30% 1.0 .31 15% .29 68% .23
Nov
3		 Navy F A+ F F F 36% 18% 45% B D- C- F F F A+ F A+ F D- A D+ D 54% 15% 30% F D- C- B- C F F A- D
0.85 75% 25% 15% -9 0 0.84 29% 0.5 .15 23% .45 64% .28 1.18 64% 29% 36% +3 +2 1.11 32% 1.0 .32 12% .43 67% .28
Nov
8		 East Tennessee St. D+ F+ F B D- 45% 15% 40% B- D- B+ A+ A+ F A+ C- A+ B+ A- F A+ A+ 38% 17% 45% C A+ F D- F B F C F
1.05 50% 17% 38% -5 +1 0.95 37% 1.3 .47 25% .53 73% .39 0.99 50% 50% 14% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.2 .44 19% .40 76% .30
Nov
10		 Georgia St. D+ C F B+ C- 44% 23% 33% C- C- C A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ C D- D+ A+ D+ 37% 23% 40% F+ D F A+ C- C F+ A- D
1.05 59% 22% 38% -1 0 1.00 35% 1.4 .50 23% .41 79% .33 1.02 63% 40% 24% -4 0 0.93 38% 0.8 .29 17% .36 72% .26
Nov
12		 South Carolina D D- A+ F F 57% 26% 17% B D- A- D- C+ C A+ F C+ D- B A- F C- 42% 19% 40% C- C- F A+ B+ F F C+ F
0.94 50% 50% 0% -10 +1 0.83 37% 0.9 .32 15% .36 55% .20 1.25 55% 33% 42% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.7 .25 9% .54 78% .42
Nov
16		 Sacramento St. F C- F F F 47% 14% 39% C+ F C+ F F C B+ F C A- B- F A+ A- 61% 16% 23% F B- F F F A+ F B+ F
0.93 57% 29% 16% -13 +1 0.80 35% 0.7 .25 17% .38 62% .23 0.96 52% 57% 10% -9 +2 0.89 33% 1.3 .43 26% .51 72% .36
Nov
18		 California C F C+ D F+ 32% 30% 39% F+ F+ A+ B- A+ D D C+ D+ C D+ F C- D 43% 25% 32% C- D F A+ C- A C- A+ A
0.99 29% 38% 29% -12 -2 0.75 46% 1.1 .49 19% .26 67% .17 1.16 63% 55% 36% +7 0 1.16 38% 0.8 .31 19% .34 56% .19
Nov
21		 UCLA F A+ F F F 26% 33% 41% F+ F D- F F F C+ D- C C- F A F F 61% 15% 24% F F A F D- B+ F A+ D
0.68 75% 27% 11% -14 -2 0.70 23% 0.6 .14 25% .30 67% .20 1.28 75% 29% 45% +13 +2 1.33 26% 1.8 .48 16% .43 67% .28
Nov
30		 The Citadel B D A+ A+ B 33% 19% 48% D B- B A+ A+ D+ F F F A+ A+ D A A+ 28% 25% 48% A- A+ C+ B- B- B D+ A+ B+
1.27 57% 50% 45% +10 0 1.21 38% 1.6 .58 17% .20 56% .11 0.76 18% 40% 26% -16 -1 0.68 25% 0.9 .22 20% .30 46% .14
Dec
3		 Wofford F F F D+ F 69% 11% 20% A F B+ D+ B- F+ C+ F D- A- A+ C- B A+ 39% 10% 51% D+ A F+ A+ B F C+ C- C+
0.89 39% 20% 33% -16 +3 0.78 37% 1.1 .39 19% .31 63% .20 1.00 35% 40% 31% -11 +1 0.82 35% 0.6 .22 8% .31 72% .22
Dec
6		 Morehead St. C B A+ D B- 43% 20% 36% C- C+ A+ D A- F A+ F A+ C- C C+ F F+ 44% 15% 40% F F A+ A+ A+ D- B C B
1.18 63% 56% 31% +4 0 1.11 53% 0.9 .47 25% .59 63% .37 1.06 57% 38% 43% +5 +1 1.13 21% 0.6 .12 15% .26 73% .19
Dec
17		 East Carolina F F+ F F F 63% 17% 20% A+ F C C+ C F B- D+ C+ C- C- F D- F 56% 17% 27% F F A+ F A- A+ F F F
0.77 48% 25% 11% -15 +2 0.76 30% 1.2 .36 28% .28 71% .20 1.08 57% 71% 36% +6 +2 1.17 20% 1.3 .25 23% .50 85% .42
Dec
21		 Manhattan C- D D- A- D 46% 20% 34% C+ D C C- C C F+ A D F F F D- F 42% 15% 44% F F C A B F D+ A+ C+
1.14 56% 33% 40% +1 +1 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 16% .18 82% .15 1.23 70% 50% 38% +9 +1 1.22 27% 0.9 .24 11% .32 70% .22
Jan
3		 South Carolina Upstate B+ A+ B- B A+ 37% 44% 20% F B+ C+ C+ C+ B+ A+ C+ A+ F F A- F F 32% 34% 34% A+ F A+ F C+ C F A+ D
1.23 80% 39% 38% +9 -3 1.15 32% 1.2 .39 13% .71 72% .51 1.10 75% 29% 47% +9 -2 1.16 17% 1.4 .24 19% .39 59% .23
Jan
7		 Radford D- F+ D F+ F 47% 32% 21% F+ F C+ D+ C A- C+ F F F C- F F F 24% 27% 49% A+ F B A+ A F A- F C
0.99 50% 33% 30% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.0 .34 15% .34 50% .17 1.30 58% 54% 46% +13 -2 1.24 25% 0.7 .18 11% .29 88% .26
Jan
10		 Longwood C+ B C+ A B 43% 11% 45% B- B D D+ D D D+ F D- F D+ D+ F F 43% 20% 37% D F F+ D+ D- F+ A- F C+
1.11 68% 40% 40% +9 +2 1.23 24% 0.9 .21 21% .32 63% .20 1.22 62% 40% 44% +8 0 1.18 39% 1.0 .39 16% .26 86% .23
Jan
14		 UNC Asheville D+ F+ A+ A+ A- 53% 28% 19% D+ B+ C- D+ D+ F+ A+ F B+ D+ A+ A+ F A 34% 40% 26% C+ A- D+ B- C D F F F
1.08 48% 58% 63% +8 0 1.19 29% 0.9 .25 20% .51 52% .27 1.07 44% 21% 50% -6 -3 0.85 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 83% .36
Jan
17		 Gardner-Webb A- C+ A+ A+ B 53% 26% 21% C- B D+ B C B A- B A A+ A- A+ B B+ 34% 20% 45% B+ B+ B+ F C+ A F A D-
1.31 64% 50% 45% +10 0 1.23 32% 1.2 .39 13% .36 77% .28 0.79 47% 22% 30% -10 0 0.82 18% 1.2 .21 24% .38 60% .23
Jan
21		 Charleston Southern B- A B- A+ A+ 40% 36% 23% D- A+ F B+ D C A+ F A+ D- B- A+ F+ C- 41% 7% 52% D C- B- F F F+ A+ A+ A+
1.18 68% 41% 55% +13 -2 1.23 20% 1.2 .23 12% .56 61% .34 1.13 54% 25% 40% +2 +2 1.10 26% 1.6 .42 15% .13 38% .05
Jan
24		 Winthrop D- F A+ F D- 30% 33% 37% F F+ C- F D D- A+ A+ A+ D B D- A+ A- 55% 13% 32% D- B+ D C- D+ F F B- F
1.01 43% 53% 24% -5 -2 0.87 27% 0.9 .24 20% .44 88% .38 1.15 48% 43% 24% -10 +2 0.87 37% 1.1 .39 7% .53 71% .38
Jan
29		 High Point B+ B C- A+ A+ 39% 36% 25% F A- B B+ A- C- A+ A- A+ C- B F A+ A+ 53% 11% 36% D- A D C+ D+ F F D+ F
1.18 65% 38% 55% +10 -2 1.18 37% 1.2 .44 22% .45 79% .35 1.22 55% 50% 20% -8 +2 0.91 36% 1.1 .40 6% .43 79% .34
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Radford F+ A+ F C+ B+ 48% 31% 20% D- B- B+ F F F B- B B- D- A+ F D+ C+ 38% 27% 35% B+ B- B- D C F D B C-
1.02 85% 18% 36% +7 -1 1.15 38% 0.5 .21 27% .35 76% .27 1.13 42% 47% 36% -3 -1 0.95 27% 1.1 .29 11% .40 69% .27
Feb
7		 Gardner-Webb F A D+ F D 51% 27% 22% D+ D B F F+ F A+ D A+ D+ C- D+ F F 54% 17% 29% D F C- A+ A D B- A+ A+
1.07 74% 33% 20% +2 0 1.07 41% 0.7 .28 21% .46 70% .32 0.98 58% 38% 43% +4 +2 1.13 24% 0.5 .12 17% .23 33% .08
Feb
12		 Charleston Southern D- B F F D+ 46% 36% 18% D D B+ D B- F A+ F A F F A+ B D 57% 4% 39% F D- F F F A- C- D- D+
0.99 61% 28% 22% -6 -1 0.88 37% 0.9 .34 21% .52 61% .32 1.24 71% 0% 32% +5 +3 1.18 50% 1.3 .65 22% .27 71% .19
Feb
14		 UNC Asheville F F A F F 42% 31% 27% F+ F C- A+ B+ F F F F A A- F A+ B+ 46% 30% 24% F B- B A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+
0.92 42% 50% 25% -7 -1 0.87 29% 1.3 .38 21% .24 58% .14 0.90 48% 53% 25% -3 -1 0.94 26% 0.4 .12 16% .17 67% .11
Feb
19		 Longwood D+ B A+ B- A- 44% 30% 26% F+ B C- B C D- A+ F A C+ F D- F+ F 41% 39% 20% A F B F D A+ C- A+ A
1.08 68% 54% 36% +10 -1 1.21 27% 1.0 .27 21% .50 62% .30 0.98 71% 44% 38% +8 -2 1.15 29% 1.3 .36 29% .34 50% .17
Feb
21		 South Carolina Upstate B- D+ F B+ D+ 54% 21% 25% C+ C- D- A+ A- A F+ C- F+ F D+ F D+ F 55% 16% 29% F F F D+ F+ D+ B- C- C+
1.15 54% 27% 38% -3 +1 0.98 25% 1.9 .47 11% .23 69% .16 1.18 59% 50% 36% +3 +2 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 17% .26 71% .19
Feb
26		 High Point C- F C+ D- F 63% 13% 25% A F B B B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ A+ F B+ 43% 16% 41% C+ B+ B F D+ D D+ A+ B
1.07 40% 40% 30% -13 +3 0.83 36% 1.2 .42 16% .54 87% .47 1.16 41% 25% 43% -4 +1 0.96 28% 1.5 .41 12% .38 61% .23
Feb
28		 Winthrop D D+ A+ F F 48% 24% 28% C F D A+ B- D A+ D A+ B A A D+ B 48% 8% 44% F+ B- A A+ A+ F F C+ F
1.00 55% 55% 8% -9 0 0.85 24% 1.5 .36 19% .47 70% .33 1.05 42% 25% 36% -7 +2 0.92 26% 0.5 .14 10% .52 73% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 2.3 97.7
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 16.0 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.3% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 30.5%
Lose Out 56.2%