Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#279
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#236
Pace64.7#305
Improvement-1.4#313

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#180
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#62
Layup/Dunks+1.0#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#287
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows-2.4#298
Improvement-3.3#363

Defense
Total Defense-5.9#346
First Shot-6.2#340
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#170
Layups/Dunks-4.5#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#305
Freethrows+0.1#188
Improvement+2.0#12
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 5.2% 3.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 15.9% 29.8% 11.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.0% 43.1% 30.2%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.1% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 13.9% 23.1%
First Four1.5% 1.6% 1.5%
First Round2.9% 4.5% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 22.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 49 - 611 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 79-88 16%     0 - 1 -4.6 +19.4 -25.3
  Nov 08, 2024 52   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 5%     0 - 2 +3.3 +7.9 -5.0
  Nov 13, 2024 206   Wofford W 71-68 46%     1 - 2 -2.2 +1.0 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2024 161   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 20%     1 - 3 -15.1 -4.8 -10.9
  Nov 21, 2024 181   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-70 22%    
  Nov 22, 2024 192   Youngstown St. L 71-76 33%    
  Nov 23, 2024 265   Monmouth L 74-75 47%    
  Nov 27, 2024 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 03, 2024 356   @ Florida A&M W 74-69 68%    
  Dec 15, 2024 38   @ Miami (FL) L 65-86 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 329   Manhattan W 76-70 71%    
  Dec 30, 2024 72   @ South Carolina L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 02, 2025 179   Longwood L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 219   @ Gardner-Webb L 71-77 29%    
  Jan 08, 2025 313   @ South Carolina Upstate L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 176   UNC Asheville L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 125   @ High Point L 70-82 15%    
  Jan 22, 2025 310   Charleston Southern W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 25, 2025 226   Radford L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 195   @ Winthrop L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 01, 2025 125   High Point L 73-79 31%    
  Feb 05, 2025 313   South Carolina Upstate W 79-74 68%    
  Feb 12, 2025 310   @ Charleston Southern L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 179   @ Longwood L 65-73 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 195   Winthrop L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 226   @ Radford L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 70-78 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 219   Gardner-Webb L 73-74 49%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.2 4.1 0.9 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 5.0 5.1 1.1 0.0 12.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.8 5.9 1.3 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.3 6.5 6.1 1.5 0.1 16.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 3.3 6.4 4.9 1.2 0.0 16.6 8th
9th 0.4 1.8 3.7 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 13.3 9th
Total 0.4 1.9 4.4 7.9 11.3 13.4 14.4 13.3 11.3 8.8 6.1 3.5 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 93.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
13-3 82.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
12-4 51.9% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 22.7% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
10-6 3.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 46.3% 46.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.3% 30.2% 30.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-3 0.9% 25.1% 25.1% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-4 1.9% 16.7% 16.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.6
11-5 3.5% 12.0% 12.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.1
10-6 6.1% 8.8% 8.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 5.6
9-7 8.8% 6.1% 6.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 8.3
8-8 11.3% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.8
7-9 13.3% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 12.9
6-10 14.4% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.3 14.1
5-11 13.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 13.3
4-12 11.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.2
3-13 7.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 7.9
2-14 4.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.4
1-15 1.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-16 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.1 96.4 0.0%