Presbyterian
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.7#277
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#290
Pace62.6#330
Improvement-2.1#278

Offense
Total Offense-2.1#230
First Shot-4.0#289
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#72
Layup/Dunks-2.7#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#106
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#207
Freethrows-1.4#272
Improvement-1.3#261

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#307
First Shot-4.0#302
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#239
Layups/Dunks-3.0#293
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
Freethrows-0.8#246
Improvement-0.8#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.1% 1.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 4.3% 12.5% 1.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 6.2% 17.1%
First Four1.8% 2.9% 1.5%
First Round1.1% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 48 - 910 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 215   @ Charlotte L 79-88 27%     0 - 1 -9.3 +17.1 -27.7
  Nov 08, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 72-81 8%     0 - 2 -0.1 +6.6 -7.1
  Nov 13, 2024 162   Wofford W 71-68 34%     1 - 2 +0.6 +2.0 -1.0
  Nov 16, 2024 166   @ Kennesaw St. L 67-85 19%     1 - 3 -15.5 -1.5 -14.7
  Nov 21, 2024 262   @ Stephen F. Austin W 58-55 OT 37%     2 - 3 -0.2 -15.2 +14.8
  Nov 22, 2024 208   Youngstown St. W 67-42 35%     3 - 3 +22.4 -2.0 +25.3
  Nov 23, 2024 263   Monmouth W 71-61 46%     4 - 3 +4.3 +3.3 +2.1
  Nov 27, 2024 307   @ Tennessee Tech L 75-90 46%     4 - 4 -20.7 +2.0 -23.3
  Dec 03, 2024 348   @ Florida A&M L 63-66 62%     4 - 5 -12.8 -14.7 +2.0
  Dec 15, 2024 179   @ Miami (FL) L 75-94 21%     4 - 6 -17.3 +4.1 -23.2
  Dec 21, 2024 291   Manhattan L 81-86 OT 62%     4 - 7 -14.9 -3.9 -10.7
  Dec 30, 2024 78   @ South Carolina L 59-69 7%     4 - 8 -0.1 +3.2 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2025 187   Longwood W 68-60 38%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +4.3 -2.5 +7.4
  Jan 04, 2025 238   @ Gardner-Webb L 61-63 33%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -4.0 -7.3 +3.1
  Jan 08, 2025 345   @ South Carolina Upstate L 67-77 61%     5 - 10 1 - 2 -19.6 -8.3 -11.7
  Jan 11, 2025 172   UNC Asheville L 87-96 36%     5 - 11 1 - 3 -11.9 +12.2 -24.3
  Jan 18, 2025 106   @ High Point L 66-77 11%     5 - 12 1 - 4 -4.6 -2.1 -3.5
  Jan 22, 2025 287   Charleston Southern W 71-61 62%     6 - 12 2 - 4 +0.2 +1.3 -0.1
  Jan 25, 2025 203   Radford L 69-82 42%     6 - 13 2 - 5 -17.6 +6.5 -27.0
  Jan 29, 2025 204   @ Winthrop L 67-76 25%     6 - 14 2 - 6 -8.6 -4.6 -4.3
  Feb 01, 2025 106   High Point L 70-78 23%    
  Feb 05, 2025 345   South Carolina Upstate W 79-71 79%    
  Feb 12, 2025 287   @ Charleston Southern L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 187   @ Longwood L 68-76 22%    
  Feb 19, 2025 204   Winthrop L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 22, 2025 203   @ Radford L 65-72 24%    
  Feb 26, 2025 172   @ UNC Asheville L 69-78 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 238   Gardner-Webb W 73-72 54%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.3 1.4 0.3 2.0 4th
5th 0.5 3.0 1.6 0.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.8 6.5 5.4 0.5 13.2 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 12.1 12.3 1.7 28.0 7th
8th 0.5 7.2 19.6 15.2 2.5 0.0 45.0 8th
9th 1.5 3.2 1.3 0.1 6.1 9th
Total 2.0 10.4 22.9 28.3 21.8 10.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 0.0
9-7 0.7% 6.2% 6.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.6
8-8 3.6% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.2 3.5
7-9 10.4% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.4 10.0
6-10 21.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.5 21.3
5-11 28.3% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.5 27.8
4-12 22.9% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 22.8
3-13 10.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 10.3
2-14 2.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.9 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.7%