IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.7	#133
Expected Predictive Rating	+5.9	#89

Pace	59.0	#359
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.4	#106

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#190

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.0%	3.5%	1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	11.6	11.5	12.3

.500 or above	58.0%	63.8%	39.1%
.500 or above in Conference	43.3%	46.5%	32.9%
Conference Champion	2.6%	3.0%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	8.9%	7.5%	13.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	2.8%	3.3%	1.3%
Second Round	0.6%	0.8%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Gardner-Webb (Home) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	2 - 5	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 5	7 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 1	16 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	264	Presbyterian	W	88-79	83%	1 - 0			+0.8	+20.8	-18.7
Nov 09, 2024	43	@ Utah St.	L	74-103	14%	1 - 1			-15.5	+6.4	-22.0
Nov 13, 2024	184	Richmond	W	65-48	72%	2 - 1			+12.8	-2.5	+16.8
Nov 19, 2024	217	Gardner-Webb	W	73-65	76%
Nov 23, 2024	339	LIU Brooklyn	W	77-61	92%
Nov 27, 2024	190	East Tennessee St.	W	70-64	72%
Dec 10, 2024	130	@ Davidson	L	65-68	39%
Dec 14, 2024	223	@ Georgia St.	W	69-67	56%
Dec 17, 2024	349	West Georgia	W	77-60	94%
Dec 22, 2024	175	@ Hawaii	L	65-66	48%
Dec 31, 2024	145	Tulane	W	75-71	63%
Jan 04, 2025	191	@ Rice	W	66-65	52%
Jan 08, 2025	74	Florida Atlantic	L	73-76	39%
Jan 11, 2025	142	@ Tulsa	L	71-73	42%
Jan 14, 2025	86	@ Wichita St.	L	65-73	25%
Jan 19, 2025	34	Memphis	L	69-76	28%
Jan 22, 2025	120	South Florida	W	68-66	56%
Jan 29, 2025	112	@ Temple	L	65-70	33%
Feb 01, 2025	101	@ UAB	L	68-74	30%
Feb 04, 2025	86	Wichita St.	L	68-70	43%
Feb 08, 2025	191	Rice	W	68-62	71%
Feb 10, 2025	74	@ Florida Atlantic	L	70-79	22%
Feb 15, 2025	154	East Carolina	W	67-63	63%
Feb 19, 2025	112	Temple	W	68-67	53%
Feb 26, 2025	145	@ Tulane	L	72-74	43%
Mar 02, 2025	154	@ East Carolina	L	64-66	43%
Mar 06, 2025	73	@ North Texas	L	56-65	22%
Mar 09, 2025	238	Texas San Antonio	W	76-68	76%
Projected Record						15 - 13	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0		2.6	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.0	0.3	0.0	0.0			4.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.9	2.8	1.2	0.2	0.0					6.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.0	3.6	1.5	0.2	0.0						7.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.8	4.2	2.0	0.3	0.0							8.4	5th
6th								0.0	1.2	4.4	3.0	0.4	0.0								9.1	6th
7th							0.0	0.8	4.1	4.0	0.7	0.0									9.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.4	3.5	4.8	1.3	0.1										10.0	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	2.6	5.0	2.0	0.1											10.0	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	2.0	4.8	2.5	0.3												9.8	10th
11th			0.0	0.3	1.8	4.1	2.8	0.5													9.4	11th
12th		0.0	0.4	1.7	2.9	2.1	0.5	0.0													7.7	12th
13th	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.7	1.0	0.2	0.0														5.0	13th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.8	3.6	5.9	8.7	11.2	12.3	12.4	11.7	10.4	8.3	5.9	3.6	2.0	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	97.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	91.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0	0.0
15-3	69.3%	0.7		0.5	0.2	0.0
14-4	39.7%	0.8		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.2%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	2.3%	0.1			0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0					0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.6%	2.6		1.3	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%											0.0	0.0											0.0
17-1	0.1%		78.8%	45.5%	33.3%	7.1					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		61.1%
16-2	0.4%		51.4%	18.0%	33.3%	9.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0					0.2		40.7%
15-3	1.0%		35.1%	24.9%	10.2%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1					0.7		13.6%
14-4	2.0%		19.3%	13.3%	6.0%	11.2									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0				1.6		6.9%
13-5	3.6%		10.5%	10.2%	0.4%	11.6									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0				3.3		0.4%
12-6	5.9%		7.1%	6.8%	0.2%	11.9												0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			5.4		0.2%
11-7	8.3%		5.7%	5.7%		12.2											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.1	0.0			7.8
10-8	10.4%		2.9%	2.9%		12.4												0.0	0.2	0.1	0.0			10.1
9-9	11.7%		1.6%	1.6%		12.7												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0			11.5
8-10	12.4%		0.8%	0.8%		12.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.3
7-11	12.3%		0.5%	0.5%		13.8													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		12.3
6-12	11.2%		0.4%	0.4%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.1
5-13	8.7%		0.2%	0.2%		15.3																0.0	0.0	8.7
4-14	5.9%																							5.9
3-15	3.6%																							3.6
2-16	1.8%																							1.8
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		3.0%	2.6%	0.4%	11.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.1	0.0	97.0		0.4%