Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#170
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#223
Pace60.1#354
Improvement+0.1#179

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#141
First Shot+0.7#150
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#163
Layup/Dunks+3.5#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#331
Freethrows+4.6#9
Improvement-1.9#314

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#218
First Shot+2.2#106
After Offensive Rebounds-3.8#355
Layups/Dunks-3.3#301
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#13
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#101
Freethrows+0.7#141
Improvement+1.9#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.4% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.3
.500 or above 35.7% 37.6% 15.5%
.500 or above in Conference 35.8% 36.9% 24.3%
Conference Champion 0.9% 0.9% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 11.7% 11.1% 18.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Home) - 91.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 48 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 250   Presbyterian W 88-79 76%     1 - 0 +1.1 +23.0 -20.7
  Nov 09, 2024 47   @ Utah St. L 74-103 10%     1 - 1 -15.3 +7.8 -23.2
  Nov 13, 2024 205   Richmond W 65-48 67%     2 - 1 +11.8 -3.0 +16.4
  Nov 19, 2024 240   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 73%     3 - 1 -1.1 -11.0 +10.5
  Nov 23, 2024 337   LIU Brooklyn L 76-79 89%     3 - 2 -16.8 +1.3 -18.2
  Nov 27, 2024 147   East Tennessee St. L 55-75 57%     3 - 3 -22.4 -15.4 -8.2
  Dec 10, 2024 124   @ Davidson L 71-75 28%     3 - 4 +1.3 +17.0 -16.7
  Dec 14, 2024 253   @ Georgia St. W 77-63 56%     4 - 4 +11.8 +1.9 +9.6
  Dec 17, 2024 348   West Georgia W 75-61 91%    
  Dec 22, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 65-68 40%    
  Dec 31, 2024 203   Tulane W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 04, 2025 197   @ Rice L 65-67 43%    
  Jan 08, 2025 84   Florida Atlantic L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 247   @ Tulsa W 69-68 54%    
  Jan 14, 2025 100   @ Wichita St. L 66-75 21%    
  Jan 19, 2025 34   Memphis L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 22, 2025 145   South Florida W 70-68 56%    
  Jan 29, 2025 118   @ Temple L 66-72 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 137   @ UAB L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 04, 2025 100   Wichita St. L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 197   Rice W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 10, 2025 84   @ Florida Atlantic L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 164   East Carolina W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 19, 2025 118   Temple L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 26, 2025 203   @ Tulane L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 02, 2025 164   @ East Carolina L 64-67 39%    
  Mar 06, 2025 72   @ North Texas L 55-66 16%    
  Mar 09, 2025 234   Texas San Antonio W 76-70 71%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 4.0 1.5 0.1 8.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 4.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.4 4.9 0.8 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.6 1.4 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.3 2.6 0.1 10.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.6 3.1 0.3 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.5 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.0 6.9 10.3 12.6 14.1 13.9 12.3 9.5 6.4 4.0 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 84.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 54.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 30.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 11.8% 11.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 17.7% 17.7% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.0% 7.6% 7.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.2% 8.1% 8.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
12-6 4.0% 5.4% 5.4% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.8
11-7 6.4% 4.6% 4.6% 13.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.1
10-8 9.5% 2.2% 2.2% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.3
9-9 12.3% 1.0% 1.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.2
8-10 13.9% 0.7% 0.7% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
7-11 14.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
6-12 12.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 98.7 0.0%