Davidson
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.9#130
Expected Predictive Rating+10.2#43
Pace66.3#269
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#150
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.8% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.0 10.9 11.7
.500 or above 64.0% 71.7% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 45.9% 50.7% 33.0%
Conference Champion 4.1% 4.9% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.3% 8.2% 16.1%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round3.9% 4.6% 1.8%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Tennessee St. (Home) - 73.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 35 - 57 - 12
Quad 49 - 216 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 270   @ Bowling Green W 91-85 67%     1 - 0 +3.3 +9.0 -6.2
  Nov 16, 2024 190   East Tennessee St. W 73-67 73%    
  Nov 22, 2024 357   VMI W 86-67 96%    
  Nov 27, 2024 8   Arizona L 68-84 8%    
  Dec 06, 2024 303   Charleston Southern W 77-65 86%    
  Dec 10, 2024 133   Charlotte W 68-65 61%    
  Dec 14, 2024 341   Detroit Mercy W 78-62 92%    
  Dec 18, 2024 112   @ Temple L 68-73 33%    
  Dec 21, 2024 291   Bethune-Cookman W 77-65 85%    
  Dec 28, 2024 298   Eastern Michigan W 73-61 85%    
  Dec 31, 2024 95   @ George Mason L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 157   Duquesne W 71-67 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 159   Fordham W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 15, 2025 127   @ La Salle L 67-71 38%    
  Jan 18, 2025 116   @ Rhode Island L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 21, 2025 106   Saint Joseph's W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 184   @ Richmond W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 95   George Mason L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 04, 2025 58   @ Dayton L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 08, 2025 184   Richmond W 71-65 70%    
  Feb 12, 2025 109   @ Massachusetts L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 153   George Washington W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 18, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 159   @ Fordham L 69-71 45%    
  Feb 25, 2025 102   Saint Louis L 74-75 50%    
  Feb 28, 2025 54   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-73 19%    
  Mar 05, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 68-73 33%    
  Mar 08, 2025 113   St. Bonaventure W 69-68 54%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 5.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 3.9 0.8 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.1 2.0 0.1 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.3 3.3 0.4 0.0 7.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 4.2 1.2 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.9 2.6 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.0 3.7 0.6 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 1.3 0.0 7.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.3 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.6 14th
15th 0.2 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.1 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.8 5.8 8.0 10.2 11.5 11.8 11.3 10.4 8.3 6.3 4.5 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.1% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-3 73.1% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.4% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 60.8% 39.2% 21.6% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 35.5%
16-2 0.7% 61.8% 33.3% 28.4% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 42.6%
15-3 1.5% 34.6% 20.0% 14.5% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.0 18.2%
14-4 2.7% 24.4% 18.2% 6.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.1 7.6%
13-5 4.5% 14.0% 13.2% 0.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 0.9%
12-6 6.3% 9.9% 9.6% 0.3% 11.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.7 0.4%
11-7 8.3% 4.9% 4.8% 0.1% 12.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.1%
10-8 10.4% 2.3% 2.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.2
9-9 11.3% 1.7% 1.7% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.1
8-10 11.8% 0.9% 0.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 11.5% 0.4% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 10.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
5-13 8.0% 8.0
4-14 5.8% 5.8
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.0% 3.3% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.0 0.7%