Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#132
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#201
Pace63.5#304
Improvement+5.1#19

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#200
First Shot-3.0#267
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#63
Layup/Dunks-2.6#277
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#37
Freethrows-3.0#337
Improvement+2.5#65

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+2.4#97
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#167
Layups/Dunks+1.4#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#138
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#83
Freethrows-2.1#313
Improvement+2.6#52
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 1.2% 3.1% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 26.3% 52.4% 14.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.7% 1.2% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 30.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 72 - 8
Quad 37 - 79 - 14
Quad 44 - 513 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 101   Lipscomb L 72-77 49%     0 - 1 -3.1 -4.8 +2.0
  Nov 08, 2024 162   Princeton L 68-75 57%     0 - 2 -7.1 -6.6 -0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 120   @ DePaul L 58-84 37%     0 - 3 -20.9 -4.3 -20.0
  Nov 19, 2024 130   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 60%     0 - 4 -6.8 +0.9 -7.9
  Nov 24, 2024 111   South Dakota St. L 60-71 44%     0 - 5 -7.7 -8.8 +0.4
  Nov 25, 2024 250   Hampton L 59-64 73%     0 - 6 -9.9 -11.8 +1.6
  Nov 26, 2024 286   Old Dominion W 67-54 79%     1 - 6 +6.1 -10.5 +16.4
  Dec 03, 2024 292   St. Peter's L 59-62 86%     1 - 7 -12.7 -4.2 -9.1
  Dec 06, 2024 244   Delaware W 80-66 79%     2 - 7 +7.0 +5.8 +2.2
  Dec 11, 2024 209   Maine L 56-61 74%     2 - 8 -10.1 -8.8 -1.9
  Dec 14, 2024 157   Towson W 65-47 55%     3 - 8 +18.4 +13.2 +10.4
  Dec 21, 2024 85   UC Irvine W 70-54 40%     4 - 8 +20.2 +15.3 +7.6
  Dec 31, 2024 121   Rhode Island W 67-55 57%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +11.7 +0.2 +12.7
  Jan 04, 2025 129   @ Davidson L 71-77 40%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -1.7 +7.3 -9.8
  Jan 08, 2025 78   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 38%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +8.8 +10.3 -1.8
  Jan 15, 2025 117   @ George Washington W 73-65 36%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +13.3 +5.8 +7.7
  Jan 18, 2025 106   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 50%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +19.5 +13.5 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2025 83   Dayton L 62-82 40%     8 - 10 4 - 2 -15.8 -6.7 -10.5
  Jan 26, 2025 204   @ Fordham L 63-65 56%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -1.8 -4.5 +2.5
  Jan 29, 2025 78   @ Saint Joseph's L 72-76 22%     8 - 12 4 - 4 +5.9 +6.5 -0.6
  Feb 01, 2025 168   Massachusetts L 53-62 67%     8 - 13 4 - 5 -11.9 -19.8 +8.0
  Feb 05, 2025 218   @ Richmond L 68-73 59%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -5.6 +6.2 -12.7
  Feb 08, 2025 110   Loyola Chicago W 69-56 53%     9 - 14 5 - 6 +13.8 +2.4 +12.3
  Feb 15, 2025 83   @ Dayton L 76-77 23%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +8.3 +10.3 -2.1
  Feb 19, 2025 204   Fordham W 73-64 74%     10 - 15 6 - 7 +4.1 -2.9 +6.9
  Feb 22, 2025 106   @ St. Bonaventure L 61-66 31%    
  Feb 26, 2025 236   @ La Salle W 70-67 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 75   George Mason L 59-62 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 34   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-71 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 109   @ Saint Louis L 66-70 32%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 3rd
4th 0.8 0.3 1.1 4th
5th 0.7 2.8 0.3 3.9 5th
6th 0.3 8.2 2.4 10.9 6th
7th 5.1 8.7 0.1 13.9 7th
8th 0.4 13.6 1.6 15.6 8th
9th 4.9 11.7 0.2 16.8 9th
10th 0.5 13.6 3.2 17.2 10th
11th 3.4 9.2 0.1 12.7 11th
12th 4.8 1.8 6.6 12th
13th 1.0 0.0 1.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
Total 9.8 29.9 34.0 19.4 6.1 0.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 13.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 6.1% 2.5% 2.5% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.9
9-9 19.4% 1.4% 1.4% 15.1 0.3 0.0 19.1
8-10 34.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 33.8
7-11 29.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 29.8
6-12 9.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%