Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.6#157
Expected Predictive Rating-12.7#331
Pace69.9#164
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#236
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#97
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 3.1% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 11.6 12.5
.500 or above 28.4% 45.4% 21.7%
.500 or above in Conference 31.5% 42.0% 27.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 3.3% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 18.1% 12.2% 20.5%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.8% 3.1% 1.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 28.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 22 - 62 - 8
Quad 36 - 88 - 15
Quad 44 - 212 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 143   Lipscomb L 72-77 59%     0 - 1 -6.8 -9.4 +2.9
  Nov 08, 2024 107   Princeton L 68-75 36%     0 - 2 -2.6 -6.6 +4.2
  Nov 15, 2024 114   @ DePaul L 69-75 28%    
  Nov 19, 2024 240   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 78-71 75%    
  Nov 24, 2024 166   South Dakota St. W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 03, 2024 187   St. Peter's W 66-61 68%    
  Dec 06, 2024 204   Delaware W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 11, 2024 243   Maine W 70-62 75%    
  Dec 14, 2024 134   Towson L 66-67 46%    
  Dec 21, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 31, 2024 116   Rhode Island W 74-73 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 08, 2025 106   Saint Joseph's L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 15, 2025 153   @ George Washington L 73-76 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 113   St. Bonaventure L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 21, 2025 58   Dayton L 66-71 33%    
  Jan 26, 2025 159   @ Fordham L 68-71 40%    
  Jan 29, 2025 106   @ Saint Joseph's L 67-74 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 109   Massachusetts L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 184   @ Richmond L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 15, 2025 58   @ Dayton L 63-74 17%    
  Feb 19, 2025 159   Fordham W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 22, 2025 113   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 127   @ La Salle L 66-71 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 95   George Mason L 68-70 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 54   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-71 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 71-78 27%    
Projected Record 12 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 3.3 1.4 0.1 5.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.0 2.9 0.2 6.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 4.1 0.9 0.0 7.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.3 2.3 0.1 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.5 1.4 0.0 9.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.7 2.3 0.2 10.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 2.7 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.5 1.8 3.2 3.3 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.3 15th
Total 0.5 1.9 4.1 6.5 9.2 11.3 12.0 11.8 11.1 9.5 7.7 5.7 3.9 2.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 91.3% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 77.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 18.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 60.0% 20.0% 40.0% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0%
16-2 0.2% 42.0% 24.6% 17.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 23.1%
15-3 0.6% 23.4% 20.7% 2.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 3.4%
14-4 1.4% 15.1% 14.2% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 1.1%
13-5 2.4% 12.3% 12.2% 0.1% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 0.2%
12-6 3.9% 8.5% 8.5% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 5.7% 3.8% 3.8% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.5
10-8 7.7% 2.8% 2.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.5
9-9 9.5% 1.4% 1.4% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
8-10 11.1% 0.8% 0.8% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
7-11 11.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8
6-12 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-13 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-14 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
3-15 6.5% 6.5
2-16 4.1% 4.1
1-17 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 98.1 0.1%