Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#116
Expected Predictive Rating-0.3#177
Pace62.9#320
Improvement+10.0#1

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#172
First Shot-2.1#230
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#54
Layup/Dunks-2.2#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#32
Freethrows-2.9#334
Improvement+6.4#3

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+2.4#105
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#163
Layups/Dunks+1.5#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#81
Freethrows-2.0#315
Improvement+3.6#23
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 5.8% 2.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.1
.500 or above 39.3% 54.1% 27.1%
.500 or above in Conference 82.1% 91.8% 74.2%
Conference Champion 6.4% 10.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round4.1% 5.8% 2.7%
Second Round0.6% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Home) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 24 - 64 - 7
Quad 36 - 610 - 13
Quad 45 - 415 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 91   Lipscomb L 72-77 48%     0 - 1 -1.6 -4.3 +3.0
  Nov 08, 2024 122   Princeton L 68-75 51%     0 - 2 -4.4 -6.8 +2.7
  Nov 15, 2024 106   @ DePaul L 58-84 37%     0 - 3 -19.7 -5.5 -17.7
  Nov 19, 2024 161   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-80 70%     0 - 4 -8.5 +1.0 -9.6
  Nov 24, 2024 114   South Dakota St. L 60-71 50%     0 - 5 -8.1 -8.7 -0.1
  Nov 25, 2024 256   Hampton L 59-64 78%     0 - 6 -10.4 -11.3 +0.6
  Nov 26, 2024 283   Old Dominion W 67-54 83%     1 - 6 +5.9 -9.5 +15.3
  Dec 03, 2024 232   St. Peter's L 59-62 82%     1 - 7 -9.7 -1.9 -8.4
  Dec 06, 2024 196   Delaware W 80-66 75%     2 - 7 +9.7 +7.5 +3.2
  Dec 11, 2024 202   Maine L 56-61 76%     2 - 8 -9.7 -8.5 -1.8
  Dec 14, 2024 176   Towson W 65-47 63%     3 - 8 +17.4 +11.9 +10.7
  Dec 21, 2024 60   UC Irvine W 70-54 36%     4 - 8 +22.5 +16.4 +8.8
  Dec 31, 2024 109   Rhode Island W 67-55 59%     5 - 8 1 - 0 +12.7 +0.8 +12.9
  Jan 04, 2025 121   @ Davidson L 71-77 40%     5 - 9 1 - 1 -0.6 +7.5 -8.9
  Jan 08, 2025 90   Saint Joseph's W 85-81 OT 48%     6 - 9 2 - 1 +7.5 +9.5 -2.2
  Jan 15, 2025 119   @ George Washington W 73-65 40%     7 - 9 3 - 1 +13.4 +5.2 +8.4
  Jan 18, 2025 96   St. Bonaventure W 75-57 51%     8 - 9 4 - 1 +20.7 +12.8 +10.0
  Jan 21, 2025 78   Dayton L 66-68 45%    
  Jan 26, 2025 221   @ Fordham W 71-68 63%    
  Jan 29, 2025 90   @ Saint Joseph's L 65-71 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 171   Massachusetts W 74-68 72%    
  Feb 05, 2025 209   @ Richmond W 66-63 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 136   Loyola Chicago W 71-67 66%    
  Feb 15, 2025 78   @ Dayton L 64-71 24%    
  Feb 19, 2025 221   Fordham W 74-65 81%    
  Feb 22, 2025 96   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-67 30%    
  Feb 26, 2025 191   @ La Salle W 71-70 54%    
  Mar 01, 2025 86   George Mason L 62-63 46%    
  Mar 04, 2025 49   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-68 33%    
  Mar 08, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 68-72 34%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 2.0 2.3 1.2 0.3 0.1 6.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.4 4.2 1.4 0.2 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.1 6.3 1.7 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 7.1 2.8 0.2 12.4 4th
5th 0.5 6.6 5.1 0.4 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 2.4 7.1 1.1 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.5 5.2 3.3 0.1 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 2.1 5.5 0.5 8.2 8th
9th 0.4 4.1 2.1 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 2.9 0.3 4.8 10th
11th 0.3 1.8 0.8 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.9 12th
13th 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.1 15th
Total 0.0 0.5 1.9 5.0 10.5 15.8 19.9 18.3 14.4 8.1 3.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.0% 1.2    0.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 59.6% 2.3    1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 25.1% 2.0    0.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.4% 6.4 2.6 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 17.6% 17.6% 11.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.4% 16.1% 15.4% 0.7% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.2 0.8%
14-4 3.8% 11.5% 11.5% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.4
13-5 8.1% 10.6% 10.6% 12.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 7.2
12-6 14.4% 6.3% 6.3% 12.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 13.5
11-7 18.3% 4.7% 4.7% 13.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 17.4
10-8 19.9% 2.9% 2.9% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 19.4
9-9 15.8% 0.9% 0.9% 14.9 0.0 0.1 15.7
8-10 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 10.5
7-11 5.0% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 4.9
6-12 1.9% 1.9
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 12.8 0.3 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 95.9 0.0%