Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#250
Expected Predictive Rating-3.2#217
Pace64.6#277
Improvement-0.1#192

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#254
First Shot-2.7#258
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#204
Layup/Dunks-6.9#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#90
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#110
Freethrows+0.7#136
Improvement+0.5#159

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#225
First Shot-0.4#195
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#304
Layups/Dunks+0.9#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#232
Freethrows-2.5#333
Improvement-0.6#216
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.8% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 10.6% 24.0% 4.2%
.500 or above in Conference 15.8% 38.4% 5.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 410 - 513 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 117   @ George Washington L 54-82 17%     0 - 1 -22.7 -17.0 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 79   @ Providence L 51-60 9%     0 - 2 +0.8 -10.3 +9.7
  Nov 16, 2024 181   Norfolk St. L 58-67 45%     0 - 3 -12.7 -9.1 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2024 288   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 48%     1 - 3 +5.5 +7.2 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2024 49   Boise St. L 69-83 8%     1 - 4 -3.1 +2.3 -5.7
  Nov 25, 2024 132   Duquesne W 64-59 27%     2 - 4 +6.6 -2.0 +8.9
  Nov 26, 2024 96   High Point L 73-76 18%     2 - 5 +2.0 +10.7 -9.2
  Dec 03, 2024 316   N.C. A&T W 82-71 74%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -0.7 +1.9 -2.9
  Dec 21, 2024 325   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-68 60%     4 - 5 +0.6 +3.2 -2.2
  Dec 28, 2024 305   Howard W 83-67 72%     5 - 5 +5.1 +4.3 +1.4
  Jan 02, 2025 143   @ College of Charleston L 67-94 21%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -23.4 -10.1 -10.8
  Jan 04, 2025 175   @ Elon L 62-70 26%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -6.3 -6.2 -0.6
  Jan 09, 2025 183   Campbell L 55-66 46%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -14.8 -10.9 -5.1
  Jan 11, 2025 244   Delaware W 83-77 58%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -1.0 +5.9 -6.7
  Jan 16, 2025 216   William & Mary L 64-67 52%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -8.5 -8.4 -0.3
  Jan 20, 2025 316   @ N.C. A&T W 74-73 57%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -5.6 +4.6 -10.2
  Jan 23, 2025 216   @ William & Mary L 83-94 33%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -11.4 +1.7 -12.3
  Jan 25, 2025 116   @ UNC Wilmington L 62-83 17%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -15.6 -6.2 -10.7
  Jan 30, 2025 212   Northeastern L 69-78 51%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -14.2 -5.7 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 305   Howard W 80-79 OT 63%     8 - 12 -7.4 +0.1 -7.4
  Feb 06, 2025 255   @ Monmouth L 63-68 41%     8 - 13 3 - 8 -7.7 -8.5 +0.6
  Feb 08, 2025 212   @ Northeastern W 84-75 32%     9 - 13 4 - 8 +8.9 +20.7 -10.9
  Feb 13, 2025 195   Drexel W 63-58 48%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +0.5 -1.2 +2.4
  Feb 15, 2025 227   Hofstra W 67-49 55%     11 - 13 6 - 8 +11.9 -2.4 +15.0
  Feb 22, 2025 116   UNC Wilmington L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 24, 2025 320   Stony Brook W 73-66 75%    
  Feb 27, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 62-67 28%    
  Mar 01, 2025 157   @ Towson L 60-68 22%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.3 0.3 5th
6th 1.4 1.2 2.5 6th
7th 1.1 7.7 0.5 9.3 7th
8th 0.4 15.4 4.5 20.4 8th
9th 8.5 16.3 0.2 25.0 9th
10th 6.0 28.7 2.7 37.3 10th
11th 4.4 0.6 5.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 10.5 38.3 35.5 13.8 2.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 14.2 0.1 0.0 2.0
9-9 13.8% 2.1% 2.1% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 13.5
8-10 35.5% 1.9% 1.9% 15.4 0.4 0.3 34.8
7-11 38.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.3 38.0
6-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.4
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.1 0.6 0.8 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 5.2%