Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#270
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#217
Pace63.7#315
Improvement+2.2#54

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#266
First Shot-2.3#243
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#242
Layup/Dunks-7.1#354
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#48
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#103
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+2.0#39

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
First Shot-0.6#188
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#316
Layups/Dunks+0.5#155
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#257
Freethrows-0.7#237
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.8% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 15.3% 22.7% 8.0%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 36.6% 25.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 11.3% 9.0% 13.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Away) - 50.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 33 - 83 - 12
Quad 48 - 611 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 144   @ George Washington L 54-82 18%     0 - 1 -24.3 -19.7 -3.5
  Nov 12, 2024 75   @ Providence L 51-60 8%     0 - 2 +1.2 -7.5 +7.2
  Nov 16, 2024 196   Norfolk St. L 58-67 46%     0 - 3 -13.7 -9.7 -5.3
  Nov 19, 2024 255   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 36%     1 - 3 +7.7 +9.3 -0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 58   Boise St. L 69-83 9%     1 - 4 -4.7 +1.8 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2024 198   Duquesne W 64-59 34%     2 - 4 +3.3 -3.1 +6.7
  Nov 26, 2024 134   High Point L 73-76 24%     2 - 5 -1.6 +10.2 -12.4
  Dec 03, 2024 313   N.C. A&T W 82-71 71%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -0.6 +0.1 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2024 319   @ Loyola Maryland W 68-67 50%    
  Dec 28, 2024 254   Howard W 73-71 59%    
  Jan 02, 2025 122   @ College of Charleston L 66-77 14%    
  Jan 04, 2025 149   @ Elon L 63-72 20%    
  Jan 09, 2025 269   Campbell W 68-65 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 207   Delaware L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 16, 2025 225   William & Mary W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 20, 2025 313   @ N.C. A&T L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 225   @ William & Mary L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 142   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-74 18%    
  Jan 30, 2025 158   Northeastern L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 06, 2025 273   @ Monmouth L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 158   @ Northeastern L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 13, 2025 153   Drexel L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 156   Hofstra L 62-65 40%    
  Feb 20, 2025 309   Stony Brook W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 22, 2025 142   UNC Wilmington L 67-71 37%    
  Feb 27, 2025 153   @ Drexel L 61-70 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 209   @ Towson L 59-65 28%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.3 2.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 6.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 4.6 1.1 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 2.7 0.2 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.7 4.7 0.6 0.0 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.8 1.5 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.6 2.8 0.2 11.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 3.5 0.4 0.0 11.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.8 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.3 1.3 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.0 5.9 14th
Total 0.3 1.5 4.1 7.9 11.9 14.1 15.1 14.1 11.6 8.4 5.4 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 84.2% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 57.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 25.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 18.5% 18.5% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 19.3% 19.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.7% 11.2% 11.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
13-5 1.5% 11.5% 11.5% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4
12-6 3.0% 6.8% 6.8% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.8
11-7 5.4% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 5.1
10-8 8.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2
9-9 11.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.1 0.1 11.5
8-10 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.9
7-11 15.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.1
6-12 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
5-13 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-14 7.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-15 4.1% 4.1
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.5 98.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%