Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#304
Expected Predictive Rating-24.9#362
Pace66.3#273
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#267
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.6
.500 or above 8.8% 16.7% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 20.7% 28.6% 17.0%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 21.9% 14.8% 25.1%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 31.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 47 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 78   @ Virginia L 56-65 6%     0 - 1 +1.4 +2.0 -2.3
  Nov 10, 2024 350   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 79%     0 - 2 -16.7 -14.1 -2.6
  Nov 17, 2024 259   @ Navy L 67-72 31%    
  Nov 22, 2024 17   @ Ohio St. L 56-80 1%    
  Nov 24, 2024 248   @ Evansville L 67-73 29%    
  Nov 30, 2024 290   @ Green Bay L 70-74 37%    
  Dec 04, 2024 268   Coastal Carolina W 68-67 54%    
  Dec 12, 2024 292   @ The Citadel L 64-67 38%    
  Dec 15, 2024 338   @ Morgan St. W 74-73 52%    
  Dec 18, 2024 167   Longwood L 67-71 36%    
  Dec 29, 2024 10   @ North Carolina L 61-88 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 137   Drexel L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 156   @ UNC Wilmington L 65-76 17%    
  Jan 09, 2025 323   @ Hampton L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 272   @ Elon L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 16, 2025 100   College of Charleston L 73-82 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 285   Monmouth W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 23, 2025 287   @ Stony Brook L 68-72 37%    
  Jan 25, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 61-73 15%    
  Jan 30, 2025 244   William & Mary L 70-71 49%    
  Feb 01, 2025 131   Hofstra L 64-70 30%    
  Feb 06, 2025 272   Elon W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 08, 2025 300   N.C. A&T W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 13, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 64-74 20%    
  Feb 15, 2025 204   @ Delaware L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 300   @ N.C. A&T L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 22, 2025 134   Towson L 63-69 31%    
  Feb 27, 2025 156   UNC Wilmington L 68-73 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 100   @ College of Charleston L 70-85 10%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.3 0.2 3.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.1 0.9 0.0 6.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 4.0 1.6 0.1 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 4.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.9 0.7 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 4.3 4.9 1.3 0.0 11.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.1 4.2 5.4 2.0 0.2 12.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 4.6 5.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 14.0 13th
14th 0.9 2.8 4.2 4.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 13.4 14th
Total 0.9 3.0 5.9 9.7 11.7 13.3 13.0 11.9 10.0 7.6 5.6 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 81.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 36.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 20.8% 20.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 15.4% 15.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.6% 10.3% 10.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-5 1.1% 8.8% 8.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
12-6 2.1% 6.3% 6.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 1.9
11-7 3.5% 3.4% 3.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.4
10-8 5.6% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.4
9-9 7.6% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6
8-10 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
7-11 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
5-13 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 11.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.7
3-15 9.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.7
2-16 5.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.9
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%