IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.7	#290
Expected Predictive Rating	-4.9	#269

Pace	70.2	#154
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.5	#342

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.8%	5.1%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.9	15.5

.500 or above	17.2%	40.8%	15.7%
.500 or above in Conference	36.0%	53.8%	34.9%
Conference Champion	2.1%	5.8%	1.9%
Last Place in Conference	7.8%	3.4%	8.0%

First Four	1.0%	0.7%	1.1%
First Round	2.3%	4.9%	2.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 5.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 8	12 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	87	@ Oklahoma St.	L	76-89	7%	0 - 1			-3.5	+4.3	-6.9
Nov 08, 2024	169	St. Thomas	L	76-90	37%	0 - 2			-17.4	-1.2	-15.9
Nov 13, 2024	312	@ Western Illinois	W	87-73	44%	1 - 2			+8.9	+15.5	-6.2
Nov 16, 2024	84	@ Providence	L	62-79	6%
Nov 19, 2024	293	SIU Edwardsville	W	74-71	62%
Nov 22, 2024	248	@ Evansville	L	72-77	30%
Nov 25, 2024	17	@ Ohio St.	L	61-85	2%
Nov 30, 2024	304	Campbell	W	74-70	63%
Dec 04, 2024	362	@ IU Indianapolis	W	76-71	68%
Dec 07, 2024	220	Cleveland St.	L	73-74	48%
Dec 11, 2024	240	Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	79-80	49%
Dec 14, 2024	117	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	72-85	13%
Dec 21, 2024	98	@ Drake	L	66-81	9%
Dec 29, 2024	150	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	75-80	33%
Jan 02, 2025	189	@ Wright St.	L	78-86	23%
Jan 04, 2025	180	@ Northern Kentucky	L	68-77	22%
Jan 11, 2025	240	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	76-82	30%
Jan 17, 2025	295	Robert Morris	W	76-73	61%
Jan 19, 2025	185	Youngstown St.	L	74-76	42%
Jan 22, 2025	362	IU Indianapolis	W	79-68	83%
Jan 25, 2025	220	@ Cleveland St.	L	70-77	28%
Jan 30, 2025	186	@ Oakland	L	68-76	23%
Feb 01, 2025	341	@ Detroit Mercy	W	75-74	54%
Feb 08, 2025	150	@ Purdue Fort Wayne	L	72-83	18%
Feb 14, 2025	180	Northern Kentucky	L	71-74	40%
Feb 16, 2025	189	Wright St.	L	81-83	42%
Feb 21, 2025	295	@ Robert Morris	L	73-76	41%
Feb 23, 2025	185	@ Youngstown St.	L	71-79	24%
Feb 27, 2025	341	Detroit Mercy	W	78-71	73%
Mar 01, 2025	186	Oakland	L	71-73	42%
Projected Record						11 - 19	8 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Horizon Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0			2.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.9	1.3	0.9	0.2	0.0					3.6	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	1.7	2.3	1.0	0.2	0.0						5.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	2.1	3.0	1.1	0.2	0.0							7.0	4th
5th									0.0	0.6	2.8	3.8	1.5	0.1	0.0								8.8	5th
6th								0.1	0.9	3.4	4.7	1.8	0.2										11.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	1.3	4.5	5.4	2.3	0.2	0.0										13.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.5	2.5	5.3	5.3	2.2	0.2	0.0											16.2	8th
9th			0.0	0.2	1.0	3.6	5.4	4.3	1.6	0.2													16.1	9th
10th		0.0	0.4	1.6	3.1	3.4	2.1	0.6	0.1														11.2	10th
11th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.3	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0															4.5	11th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.4	3.0	5.1	8.0	10.3	11.5	12.4	11.8	10.6	8.4	6.7	4.6	2.8	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0				Total

Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	95.1%	0.3		0.3	0.1
16-4	71.4%	0.6		0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	38.8%	0.7		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	12.6%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0				0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	2.1%	2.1		1.1	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
18-2	0.1%		40.7%	40.7%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
17-3	0.3%		26.2%	26.2%		14.1														0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.3
16-4	0.8%		17.0%	17.0%		14.3														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.7
15-5	1.7%		15.8%	15.8%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4
14-6	2.8%		13.6%	13.6%		15.2														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.1	2.4
13-7	4.6%		8.4%	8.4%		15.5															0.0	0.1	0.2	4.2
12-8	6.7%		6.4%	6.4%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	6.3
11-9	8.4%		4.3%	4.3%		15.9																0.0	0.3	8.0
10-10	10.6%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																0.0	0.3	10.3
9-11	11.8%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	11.6
8-12	12.4%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	12.3
7-13	11.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
6-14	10.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
5-15	8.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.0
4-16	5.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.1
3-17	3.0%																							3.0
2-18	1.4%																							1.4
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		2.8%	2.8%	0.0%	15.4													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.6	97.2		0.0%