Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#331
Expected Predictive Rating-12.4#335
Pace74.0#64
Improvement-5.4#362

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#282
First Shot-0.6#189
After Offensive Rebound-3.2#335
Layup/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#352
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#83
Freethrows+1.1#110
Improvement-4.2#363

Defense
Total Defense-6.4#348
First Shot-5.8#345
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#243
Layups/Dunks-4.2#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#324
Freethrows+1.7#67
Improvement-1.2#275
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.8% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.7% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 4.6% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 44.6% 31.5% 44.9%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drake (Away) - 2.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 85   @ Oklahoma St. L 76-89 4%     0 - 1 -3.6 +3.2 -6.0
  Nov 08, 2024 143   St. Thomas L 76-90 22%     0 - 2 -16.2 -1.9 -14.0
  Nov 13, 2024 328   @ Western Illinois W 87-73 37%     1 - 2 +7.1 +13.7 -6.2
  Nov 16, 2024 75   @ Providence L 65-79 4%     1 - 3 -3.8 +1.0 -5.4
  Nov 19, 2024 263   SIU Edwardsville W 82-57 44%     2 - 3 +16.4 +5.2 +10.8
  Nov 22, 2024 268   @ Evansville L 81-98 24%     2 - 4 -19.7 -3.5 -14.0
  Nov 25, 2024 39   @ Ohio St. L 69-102 2%     2 - 5 -18.2 +0.2 -17.1
  Nov 30, 2024 269   Campbell L 66-72 44%     2 - 6 -14.8 -11.2 -3.4
  Dec 04, 2024 353   @ IU Indianapolis L 75-84 49%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -18.8 -0.6 -18.7
  Dec 07, 2024 241   Cleveland St. L 61-83 38%     2 - 8 0 - 2 -29.2 -11.9 -17.6
  Dec 11, 2024 141   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-88 21%     2 - 9 0 - 3 -22.9 -8.2 -14.8
  Dec 14, 2024 136   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-83 9%     2 - 10 -12.6 -9.4 -2.4
  Dec 21, 2024 70   @ Drake L 59-80 2%    
  Dec 29, 2024 152   Purdue Fort Wayne L 79-87 24%    
  Jan 02, 2025 133   @ Wright St. L 72-87 8%    
  Jan 04, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-79 16%    
  Jan 11, 2025 141   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 74-88 9%    
  Jan 17, 2025 259   Robert Morris L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 19, 2025 211   Youngstown St. L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 22, 2025 353   IU Indianapolis W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 241   @ Cleveland St. L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 166   @ Oakland L 63-76 12%    
  Feb 01, 2025 320   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-77 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 152   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-90 11%    
  Feb 14, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 16, 2025 133   Wright St. L 75-84 22%    
  Feb 21, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris L 70-78 25%    
  Feb 23, 2025 211   @ Youngstown St. L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 27, 2025 320   Detroit Mercy W 76-74 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 166   Oakland L 66-73 28%    
Projected Record 7 - 23 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.0 5.9 6.8 3.7 0.8 0.0 19.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 6.4 11.2 9.4 4.0 0.7 0.0 33.7 10th
11th 1.0 4.5 8.7 9.0 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.0 30.5 11th
Total 1.0 4.6 10.4 15.6 18.8 17.2 13.5 8.9 5.5 2.7 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 13.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 0.5% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-10 1.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 1.1
9-11 2.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.6
8-12 5.5% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.4
7-13 8.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 8.9
6-14 13.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 13.4
5-15 17.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.2
4-16 18.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.8
3-17 15.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.6
2-18 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
1-19 4.6% 4.6
0-20 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%