Cleveland St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#241
Expected Predictive Rating-4.4#241
Pace68.1#203
Improvement+0.8#132

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#310
First Shot-7.3#349
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#42
Layup/Dunks-2.7#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#350
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement+0.6#128

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#151
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#230
Layups/Dunks-0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#130
Freethrows-1.7#292
Improvement+0.2#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.9% 3.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 38.4% 51.2% 26.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.0% 71.7% 45.6%
Conference Champion 3.7% 6.3% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.6% 2.9%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round4.2% 5.5% 3.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 47.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 20   @ Michigan L 53-101 3%     0 - 1 -30.6 -14.2 -13.3
  Nov 09, 2024 64   @ Kansas St. L 64-77 8%     0 - 2 -1.4 -2.0 +0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 227   @ Valparaiso W 75-67 36%     1 - 2 +7.5 +2.3 +5.5
  Nov 16, 2024 317   Eastern Michigan W 71-63 77%     2 - 2 -3.8 -3.9 +0.6
  Nov 19, 2024 114   @ Minnesota L 47-58 16%     2 - 3 -4.7 -17.7 +12.2
  Nov 23, 2024 115   Kent St. L 52-68 33%     2 - 4 -15.7 -14.2 -2.6
  Nov 26, 2024 351   NJIT W 56-53 86%     3 - 4 -12.6 -17.6 +5.3
  Nov 29, 2024 279   Morehead St. L 69-71 69%     3 - 5 -11.2 -7.0 -4.2
  Dec 05, 2024 141   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 67-79 22%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -7.9 -0.1 -8.8
  Dec 07, 2024 331   @ Green Bay W 83-61 62%     4 - 6 1 - 1 +14.8 +6.5 +8.6
  Dec 19, 2024 166   Oakland L 63-64 47%    
  Dec 29, 2024 133   Wright St. L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 04, 2025 353   IU Indianapolis W 75-63 86%    
  Jan 08, 2025 259   @ Robert Morris L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 211   @ Youngstown St. L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 15, 2025 216   Northern Kentucky W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 19, 2025 353   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 22, 2025 320   Detroit Mercy W 72-64 76%    
  Jan 25, 2025 331   Green Bay W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 30, 2025 152   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-79 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 216   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 141   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 259   Robert Morris W 69-65 65%    
  Feb 16, 2025 211   Youngstown St. W 68-67 55%    
  Feb 21, 2025 320   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 23, 2025 166   @ Oakland L 60-67 28%    
  Feb 27, 2025 133   @ Wright St. L 68-77 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 152   Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-76 45%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.6 1.3 0.3 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.0 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.2 2.1 0.2 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.5 6.2 3.0 0.3 0.0 13.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 4.0 6.9 3.7 0.4 0.0 15.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 4.7 6.7 3.5 0.5 0.0 16.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.2 4.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.6 2.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 5.0 8.2 11.2 13.6 14.7 13.7 11.4 8.3 5.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 92.6% 0.4    0.3 0.1
16-4 75.7% 1.0    0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
15-5 47.2% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 15.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.7 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 23.1% 23.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.4% 30.2% 30.2% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 1.3% 21.4% 21.4% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
15-5 2.8% 15.6% 15.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
14-6 5.2% 12.4% 12.4% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 4.6
13-7 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 7.6
12-8 11.4% 6.6% 6.6% 15.4 0.0 0.4 0.3 10.7
11-9 13.7% 4.7% 4.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 13.1
10-10 14.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.1 0.3 14.2
9-11 13.6% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.4
8-12 11.2% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 11.1
7-13 8.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.1
6-14 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.0
5-15 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 1.8 95.4 0.0%