Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#159
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#178
Pace65.4#257
Improvement-4.1#339

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#269
First Shot-6.0#333
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#42
Layup/Dunks-4.6#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#247
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#206
Freethrows+0.5#146
Improvement-2.3#304

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#76
First Shot+4.0#59
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#205
Layups/Dunks+1.6#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#6
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#186
Freethrows-1.0#260
Improvement-1.8#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.0% 16.8% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.4
.500 or above 90.5% 96.7% 85.4%
.500 or above in Conference 74.1% 86.3% 64.1%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.3% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round14.0% 16.8% 11.7%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 45.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 413 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 307   @ Louisiana W 70-66 71%     1 - 0 -1.4 -1.7 +0.5
  Nov 13, 2024 2   @ Auburn L 56-79 2%     1 - 1 +2.8 -1.7 +2.1
  Nov 21, 2024 310   Niagara W 76-73 86%     2 - 1 -8.3 +2.7 -10.7
  Nov 23, 2024 173   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 42%     3 - 1 +18.3 +1.8 +17.6
  Nov 28, 2024 176   Towson W 65-54 54%     4 - 1 +10.4 +4.1 +8.1
  Nov 29, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 39-51 20%     4 - 2 -2.7 -20.4 +16.2
  Nov 30, 2024 183   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 55%     5 - 2 +6.0 -5.3 +11.4
  Dec 06, 2024 308   Portland W 76-57 85%     6 - 2 +8.0 +2.8 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 82-57 94%     7 - 2 +7.6 +7.1 +2.4
  Dec 22, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 54-81 3%     7 - 3 -4.8 -15.2 +12.5
  Jan 04, 2025 250   Ball St. L 67-75 78%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -15.8 -14.7 -0.7
  Jan 07, 2025 356   @ Northern Illinois W 68-50 85%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +7.0 -6.6 +14.2
  Jan 10, 2025 329   @ Buffalo W 68-49 78%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +11.2 -5.3 +17.2
  Jan 14, 2025 304   Western Michigan L 83-94 85%     9 - 5 2 - 2 -21.7 -0.4 -20.7
  Jan 18, 2025 153   Miami (OH) L 61-70 59%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -11.0 -8.1 -3.6
  Jan 21, 2025 194   @ Toledo L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 24, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 28, 2025 285   Bowling Green W 73-63 84%    
  Jan 31, 2025 124   Akron W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 04, 2025 313   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 100   Arkansas St. L 67-69 45%    
  Feb 11, 2025 225   Central Michigan W 67-60 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 147   Ohio W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 18, 2025 285   @ Bowling Green W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 22, 2025 153   @ Miami (OH) L 67-70 37%    
  Feb 25, 2025 194   Toledo W 75-70 68%    
  Mar 01, 2025 124   @ Akron L 68-73 32%    
  Mar 04, 2025 304   @ Western Michigan W 71-66 68%    
  Mar 07, 2025 313   Eastern Michigan W 75-63 86%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.5 0.9 0.1 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.5 5.9 2.3 0.2 11.1 3rd
4th 0.6 3.5 8.8 3.9 0.3 17.1 4th
5th 0.4 4.7 9.7 5.3 0.5 20.7 5th
6th 0.4 4.2 8.6 5.2 0.6 19.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 6.0 3.7 0.4 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.4 2.6 0.3 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.3 0.2 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 1.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.4 3.3 7.3 13.3 17.9 19.1 17.3 11.8 5.8 1.9 0.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 80.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.5% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.2
13-5 11.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.4% 44.4% 44.4% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.9% 38.7% 38.7% 13.3 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 1.2
13-5 5.8% 29.0% 29.0% 13.6 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 4.1
12-6 11.8% 20.7% 20.7% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 9.4
11-7 17.3% 19.1% 19.1% 14.2 0.4 1.8 1.1 0.0 14.0
10-8 19.1% 13.8% 13.8% 14.5 0.1 1.2 1.2 0.1 16.5
9-9 17.9% 10.4% 10.4% 14.7 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.2 16.0
8-10 13.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.2 0.1 0.6 0.4 12.3
7-11 7.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.7 0.1 0.1 7.2
6-12 3.3% 3.3
5-13 1.4% 1.4
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.0% 14.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.3 2.0 6.2 4.6 0.8 86.0 0.0%