IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Kent St.
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	+2.1	#126
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.7	#246
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.5	#148

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.5	#121

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.5%	19.4%	11.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.8	12.5	13.2

.500 or above	84.8%	91.3%	74.3%
.500 or above in Conference	87.8%	91.1%	82.4%
Conference Champion	23.9%	28.1%	17.2%
Last Place in Conference	0.6%	0.3%	1.0%

First Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%
First Round	16.5%	19.4%	11.9%
Second Round	2.2%	2.8%	1.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.4%	0.5%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 61.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	1 - 1	1 - 3
Quad 3	5 - 4	6 - 7
Quad 4	13 - 3	19 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	130	Troy	W	68-65	62%
Nov 07, 2025	160	Cornell	W	78-73	70%
Nov 10, 2025	118	UNC Wilmington	W	69-67	59%
Nov 15, 2025	232	Cleveland St.	W	69-63	71%
Nov 16, 2025	191	Wright St.	W	73-69	64%
Nov 22, 2025	232	Cleveland St.	W	71-62	79%
Dec 03, 2025	276	Austin Peay	W	73-62	85%
Dec 14, 2025	262	@ Portland	W	74-70	64%
Dec 20, 2025	173	@ Massachusetts	W	72-71	51%
Dec 29, 2025	2	@ Purdue	L	57-81	2%
Jan 03, 2026	316	Northern Illinois	W	78-64	89%
Jan 06, 2026	220	Bowling Green	W	75-66	77%
Jan 10, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	W	72-65	71%
Jan 13, 2026	334	@ Buffalo	W	77-68	79%
Jan 17, 2026	180	Toledo	W	77-70	71%
Jan 20, 2026	128	Miami (OH)	W	73-70	60%
Jan 24, 2026	291	@ Eastern Michigan	W	73-67	70%
Jan 27, 2026	145	Ohio	W	75-71	64%
Jan 30, 2026	104	@ Akron	L	72-78	32%
Feb 03, 2026	180	@ Toledo	W	74-73	52%
Feb 11, 2026	291	Eastern Michigan	W	76-64	84%
Feb 14, 2026	244	@ Ball St.	W	71-67	62%
Feb 17, 2026	220	@ Bowling Green	W	72-69	58%
Feb 24, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	75-62	85%
Feb 28, 2026	104	Akron	W	75-74	51%
Mar 03, 2026	316	@ Northern Illinois	W	75-67	74%
Mar 06, 2026	286	Western Michigan	W	76-64	84%
Projected Record						18 - 9	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	1.3	4.0	6.6	6.6	3.9	1.3		23.9	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	2.0	5.3	6.3	3.7	0.8	0.0			18.3	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	2.0	5.6	5.1	2.0	0.3	0.0				15.2	3rd
4th										0.1	1.5	4.9	4.2	1.2	0.1						12.0	4th
5th									0.0	1.0	3.8	3.1	0.8	0.0							8.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	2.6	2.7	0.7	0.0								6.6	6th
7th								0.3	1.6	2.2	0.6	0.0									4.9	7th
8th						0.0	0.2	1.0	1.9	0.6	0.1										3.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	0.6	1.3	0.5	0.0											2.6	9th
10th				0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.0	0.0											2.0	10th
11th				0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.0	0.0												1.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1														0.6	12th
13th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.3	13th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	1.2	2.1	3.3	4.8	6.6	8.9	11.0	12.7	12.9	12.4	10.5	7.4	3.9	1.3			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.3		1.3
17-1	99.6%	3.9		3.7	0.2
16-2	89.1%	6.6		5.2	1.4	0.0
15-3	62.3%	6.6		3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0
14-4	32.7%	4.0		1.4	1.9	0.7	0.1	0.0
13-5	9.8%	1.3		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	23.9%	23.9		15.5	6.4	1.6	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.3%		58.2%	56.7%	1.6%	10.6				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.0				0.5		3.6%
17-1	3.9%		47.7%	46.9%	0.8%	11.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0			2.1		1.6%
16-2	7.4%		37.5%	37.4%	0.2%	12.0											0.0	0.6	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0		4.6		0.3%
15-3	10.5%		30.4%	30.4%		12.5												0.3	1.5	1.2	0.3	0.0		7.3
14-4	12.4%		21.7%	21.7%		12.9												0.1	0.9	1.2	0.5	0.1		9.7
13-5	12.9%		15.8%	15.8%		13.3												0.0	0.3	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0	10.9
12-6	12.7%		10.6%	10.6%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	0.0	11.4
11-7	11.0%		8.2%	8.2%		14.4												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.2	0.1	10.1
10-8	8.9%		6.0%	6.0%		15.6														0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	8.4
9-9	6.6%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	6.3
8-10	4.8%		1.6%	1.6%		20.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.7
7-11	3.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.3
6-12	2.1%																							2.1
5-13	1.2%																							1.2
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.3%																							0.3
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		16.5%	16.4%	0.1%	12.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	2.2	5.3	4.7	2.7	1.2	0.3	83.5		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	7.5			0.3		0.3	42.6		28.4	14.2	14.2