IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Michigan
Mid-American
2025-26

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#286
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#150
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#301

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.3%	1.8%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.2	14.8

.500 or above	18.6%	25.5%	9.1%
.500 or above in Conference	27.9%	33.5%	20.0%
Conference Champion	1.2%	1.6%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	15.0%	11.2%	20.3%

First Four	0.2%	0.1%	0.2%
First Round	1.3%	1.8%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Coastal Carolina (Home) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 7	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 03, 2025	275	Coastal Carolina	W	69-67	58%
Nov 09, 2025	203	@ Campbell	L	66-74	24%
Nov 12, 2025	192	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	74-76	43%
Nov 16, 2025	294	@ South Dakota	L	82-85	41%
Nov 20, 2025	27	@ Ohio St.	L	61-86	1%
Nov 23, 2025	269	Mount St. Mary's	W	72-70	57%
Nov 29, 2025	261	@ Valparaiso	L	70-75	35%
Dec 03, 2025	298	Southern Indiana	W	74-71	62%
Dec 06, 2025	240	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	66-72	31%
Dec 14, 2025	32	@ Iowa	L	65-89	2%
Dec 20, 2025	334	Buffalo	W	78-72	71%
Dec 30, 2025	180	@ Toledo	L	72-80	23%
Jan 06, 2026	128	@ Miami (OH)	L	68-80	15%
Jan 10, 2026	291	Eastern Michigan	W	75-72	60%
Jan 13, 2026	173	Massachusetts	L	73-76	40%
Jan 17, 2026	104	@ Akron	L	70-85	11%
Jan 20, 2026	220	Bowling Green	L	72-73	48%
Jan 24, 2026	299	Central Michigan	W	73-69	62%
Jan 27, 2026	316	@ Northern Illinois	L	73-74	46%
Feb 03, 2026	145	@ Ohio	L	71-82	19%
Feb 11, 2026	180	Toledo	L	75-77	42%
Feb 14, 2026	291	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-75	41%
Feb 17, 2026	104	Akron	L	73-82	24%
Feb 21, 2026	299	@ Central Michigan	L	70-72	42%
Feb 24, 2026	220	@ Bowling Green	L	69-76	30%
Feb 28, 2026	128	Miami (OH)	L	71-77	31%
Mar 03, 2026	244	Ball St.	W	73-72	52%
Mar 06, 2026	126	@ Kent St.	L	64-76	16%
Projected Record						10 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		1.2	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0				2.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.7	1.3	0.8	0.1	0.0					3.1	3rd
4th										0.2	1.0	1.9	1.1	0.2	0.0						4.4	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.2	2.8	1.6	0.3	0.0							6.0	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.2	3.7	2.4	0.4	0.0								7.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	1.2	4.1	3.2	0.5	0.0									9.1	7th
8th						0.0	1.0	4.1	4.1	0.9	0.0	0.0									10.2	8th
9th					0.0	1.0	4.1	4.5	1.3	0.1											11.0	9th
10th				0.1	0.9	4.3	5.0	1.8	0.1												12.1	10th
11th			0.1	1.2	4.3	4.9	1.8	0.2													12.4	11th
12th		0.2	1.8	4.0	4.1	1.7	0.2	0.0													11.9	12th
13th	0.6	2.1	2.9	2.3	0.8	0.1															8.9	13th

Total	0.6	2.2	4.8	7.5	10.1	12.0	12.2	11.8	10.8	9.2	6.9	4.7	3.3	2.0	1.0	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	88.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	61.8%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.2%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	9.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.2%	1.2		0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.0%		45.6%	45.6%		11.4												0.0	0.0					0.0
16-2	0.2%		14.3%	14.3%		12.0												0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1
15-3	0.5%		15.9%	15.9%		12.7													0.0	0.0	0.0			0.4
14-4	1.0%		14.3%	14.3%		13.2												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.9
13-5	2.0%		10.9%	10.9%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	1.8
12-6	3.3%		5.5%	5.5%		14.3													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	3.1
11-7	4.7%		4.1%	4.1%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	4.5
10-8	6.9%		3.6%	3.6%		16.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	6.7
9-9	9.2%		1.5%	1.5%		16.2															0.0	0.1	0.1	9.1
8-10	10.8%		0.7%	0.7%		19.2																0.0	0.1	10.7
7-11	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0	0.0	11.8
6-12	12.2%																							12.2
5-13	12.0%																							12.0
4-14	10.1%																							10.1
3-15	7.5%																							7.5
2-16	4.8%																							4.8
1-17	2.2%																							2.2
0-18	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		1.3%	1.3%	0.0%	15.0												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.5	0.3	98.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%