Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.6#36
Expected Predictive Rating+9.4#60
Pace68.3#191
Improvement-2.5#295

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#43
First Shot+5.9#44
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#152
Layup/Dunks+1.4#134
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows+1.8#77
Improvement-2.6#315

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#38
First Shot+10.1#4
After Offensive Rebounds-3.9#360
Layups/Dunks+7.0#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#50
Freethrows-0.9#251
Improvement+0.1#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 3.4% 0.7%
Top 6 Seed 9.1% 19.6% 6.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.4% 67.1% 40.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.5% 66.0% 39.6%
Average Seed 8.4 7.8 8.8
.500 or above 71.9% 88.4% 67.0%
.500 or above in Conference 32.7% 54.5% 26.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 0.7% 3.4%
First Four9.7% 8.4% 10.0%
First Round41.9% 63.4% 35.7%
Second Round23.5% 38.0% 19.3%
Sweet Sixteen7.5% 13.4% 5.8%
Elite Eight2.7% 4.4% 2.1%
Final Four0.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Championship Game0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 22.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 83 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 11
Quad 24 - 39 - 15
Quad 32 - 011 - 15
Quad 46 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 38   Texas W 80-72 52%     1 - 0 +20.0 +12.3 +7.7
  Nov 11, 2024 208   Youngstown St. W 81-47 94%     2 - 0 +28.9 +9.1 +19.9
  Nov 15, 2024 21   @ Texas A&M L 64-78 30%     2 - 1 +4.1 +3.7 -0.2
  Nov 19, 2024 261   Evansville W 80-30 96%     3 - 1 +41.6 +9.9 +33.5
  Nov 22, 2024 252   Campbell W 104-60 96%     4 - 1 +36.2 +25.0 +9.3
  Nov 25, 2024 333   Green Bay W 102-69 98%     5 - 1 +19.0 +16.8 +0.9
  Nov 29, 2024 40   Pittsburgh L 90-91 OT 64%     5 - 2 +8.0 +13.4 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2024 25   @ Maryland L 59-83 32%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -6.5 -8.4 +3.4
  Dec 07, 2024 66   Rutgers W 80-66 75%     6 - 3 1 - 1 +19.7 +14.5 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2024 2   Auburn L 53-91 16%     6 - 4 -14.9 -8.2 -9.4
  Dec 17, 2024 214   Valparaiso W 95-73 94%     7 - 4 +16.4 +12.9 +2.0
  Dec 21, 2024 15   Kentucky W 85-65 35%     8 - 4 +36.6 +18.9 +18.4
  Dec 29, 2024 213   Indiana St. W 103-83 94%     9 - 4 +14.5 +13.6 -1.3
  Jan 03, 2025 12   Michigan St. L 62-69 43%     9 - 5 1 - 2 +7.4 -2.6 +9.9
  Jan 06, 2025 98   @ Minnesota W 89-88 2OT 68%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +8.8 +9.4 -0.8
  Jan 09, 2025 28   Oregon L 71-73 58%     10 - 6 2 - 3 +8.6 +2.1 +6.5
  Jan 14, 2025 18   @ Wisconsin L 68-70 28%     10 - 7 2 - 4 +16.6 +4.7 +11.8
  Jan 17, 2025 56   Indiana L 76-77 OT 70%     10 - 8 2 - 5 +6.2 +6.5 -0.2
  Jan 21, 2025 10   @ Purdue L 68-76 23%    
  Jan 27, 2025 50   Iowa W 84-79 69%    
  Jan 30, 2025 51   @ Penn St. L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 02, 2025 9   @ Illinois L 73-82 20%    
  Feb 06, 2025 25   Maryland W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 52   @ Nebraska L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 12, 2025 95   Washington W 77-68 81%    
  Feb 16, 2025 11   Michigan L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 20, 2025 55   Northwestern W 70-65 70%    
  Feb 23, 2025 31   @ UCLA L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 26, 2025 61   @ USC W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 04, 2025 52   Nebraska W 75-70 68%    
  Mar 08, 2025 56   @ Indiana L 72-73 49%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 1.7 0.6 3.0 5th
6th 0.5 2.8 1.7 0.1 5.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 3.8 0.5 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 5.9 2.2 0.1 9.0 8th
9th 0.2 4.3 4.6 0.6 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 1.3 7.0 1.9 0.0 10.2 10th
11th 0.2 4.3 5.1 0.4 10.0 11th
12th 1.5 7.1 1.6 0.0 10.2 12th
13th 0.2 4.1 4.3 0.2 8.9 13th
14th 0.1 1.6 5.2 1.2 0.0 8.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.6 2.9 0.2 7.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.8 0.5 5.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.7 0.0 3.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.1 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.2 8.8 14.5 18.6 19.2 15.8 10.1 4.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 9.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0
14-6 0.3% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.9% 100.0% 11.1% 88.9% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-8 4.6% 99.8% 7.8% 91.9% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-9 10.1% 97.4% 4.4% 93.1% 7.2 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.0 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.3 97.3%
10-10 15.8% 88.9% 2.1% 86.8% 8.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.7 3.0 3.7 3.3 0.9 0.0 1.8 88.7%
9-11 19.2% 61.4% 1.0% 60.4% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 3.0 5.3 0.3 7.4 61.0%
8-12 18.6% 20.1% 0.9% 19.2% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.2 0.5 14.9 19.4%
7-13 14.5% 1.2% 0.1% 1.1% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 1.1%
6-14 8.8% 8.8
5-15 4.2% 4.2
4-16 1.6% 1.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 46.4% 1.8% 44.7% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 5.0 6.5 7.3 7.0 7.2 8.6 0.8 53.6 45.5%