Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.0#17
Expected Predictive Rating+22.3#5
Pace65.6#294
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+7.4#21
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#20
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 1.3% 2.0% 0.7%
#1 Seed 7.0% 10.7% 4.2%
Top 2 Seed 17.1% 24.7% 11.4%
Top 4 Seed 39.4% 51.2% 30.3%
Top 6 Seed 58.2% 70.5% 48.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 82.1% 90.0% 76.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80.0% 88.4% 73.9%
Average Seed 5.1 4.5 5.6
.500 or above 90.9% 96.0% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.5% 83.7% 72.8%
Conference Champion 15.7% 20.3% 12.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.5% 0.9% 2.0%
First Four4.0% 2.9% 4.9%
First Round80.1% 88.6% 73.6%
Second Round59.8% 69.8% 52.1%
Sweet Sixteen32.2% 39.8% 26.4%
Elite Eight15.3% 19.7% 11.9%
Final Four6.9% 9.4% 5.0%
Championship Game3.2% 4.4% 2.2%
National Champion1.4% 2.0% 0.8%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 8
Quad 26 - 214 - 11
Quad 33 - 016 - 11
Quad 45 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 23   Texas W 80-72 54%     1 - 0 +20.9 +12.5 +8.4
  Nov 11, 2024 185   Youngstown St. W 81-47 95%     2 - 0 +29.7 +7.3 +22.5
  Nov 15, 2024 28   @ Texas A&M L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 19, 2024 248   Evansville W 81-60 97%    
  Nov 22, 2024 304   Campbell W 80-56 99%    
  Nov 25, 2024 290   Green Bay W 85-61 98%    
  Nov 29, 2024 35   Pittsburgh W 75-69 70%    
  Dec 04, 2024 31   @ Maryland L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 07, 2024 37   Rutgers W 71-65 70%    
  Dec 14, 2024 3   Auburn L 72-77 32%    
  Dec 17, 2024 278   Valparaiso W 82-59 98%    
  Dec 21, 2024 12   Kentucky L 76-78 42%    
  Dec 29, 2024 207   Indiana St. W 84-64 96%    
  Jan 03, 2025 27   Michigan St. W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 06, 2025 88   @ Minnesota W 71-66 67%    
  Jan 09, 2025 39   Oregon W 73-67 70%    
  Jan 14, 2025 38   @ Wisconsin L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 17, 2025 24   Indiana W 73-69 64%    
  Jan 21, 2025 15   @ Purdue L 70-74 39%    
  Jan 27, 2025 45   Iowa W 82-75 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 36   @ Penn St. L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 02, 2025 20   @ Illinois L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 06, 2025 31   Maryland W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 08, 2025 67   @ Nebraska W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 12, 2025 79   Washington W 77-67 79%    
  Feb 16, 2025 25   Michigan W 73-69 64%    
  Feb 20, 2025 50   Northwestern W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 23, 2025 30   @ UCLA L 64-65 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 65   @ USC W 74-72 59%    
  Mar 04, 2025 67   Nebraska W 74-65 78%    
  Mar 08, 2025 24   @ Indiana L 70-72 44%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 3.0 4.1 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.2 15.7 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.5 3.9 2.3 0.7 0.1 11.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.4 4.0 1.7 0.3 0.0 10.1 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 4.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.5 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 3.6 1.3 0.1 6.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 2.5 0.2 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.0 0.7 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.3 2.3 1.8 0.1 4.5 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.3 0.1 3.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 2.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.7 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.6 4.0 5.7 7.5 9.3 10.5 11.4 11.8 10.5 8.8 6.7 4.6 2.6 1.1 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
18-2 97.1% 2.5    2.2 0.3 0.0
17-3 85.5% 4.0    3.1 0.8 0.1 0.0
16-4 60.5% 4.1    2.1 1.6 0.3 0.0
15-5 33.8% 3.0    1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0
14-6 8.3% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 15.7% 15.7 9.8 4.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 100.0% 41.0% 59.0% 1.2 0.2 0.0 100.0%
19-1 1.1% 100.0% 51.3% 48.7% 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
18-2 2.6% 100.0% 38.8% 61.2% 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 100.0%
17-3 4.6% 100.0% 29.5% 70.5% 1.8 1.9 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 6.7% 100.0% 26.0% 74.0% 2.3 1.5 2.6 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 8.8% 100.0% 20.5% 79.5% 2.9 0.8 2.5 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 10.5% 99.9% 15.0% 84.9% 3.8 0.4 1.2 3.0 3.0 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 11.8% 99.5% 10.4% 89.1% 4.7 0.1 0.5 2.0 2.9 2.9 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.5%
12-8 11.4% 99.2% 6.0% 93.2% 5.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 2.5 2.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.2%
11-9 10.5% 96.0% 4.0% 92.0% 7.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 95.8%
10-10 9.3% 87.1% 2.5% 84.6% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.2 86.8%
9-11 7.5% 59.0% 1.3% 57.7% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 3.1 58.4%
8-12 5.7% 29.5% 0.3% 29.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.0 29.3%
7-13 4.0% 7.2% 7.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 3.7 7.2%
6-14 2.6% 1.4% 1.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 2.6 1.4%
5-15 1.5% 1.5
4-16 0.8% 0.8
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 82.1% 10.8% 71.3% 5.1 7.0 10.1 11.5 10.7 9.9 9.0 6.7 5.1 4.0 3.5 3.8 0.9 0.0 17.9 80.0%