IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Oregon
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+10.8	#39
Expected Predictive Rating	+7.9	#60

Pace	67.5	#239
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.4	#46

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.4	#40

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
#1 Seed	1.1%	1.3%	0.2%
Top 2 Seed	3.4%	3.8%	0.9%
Top 4 Seed	12.0%	13.2%	4.9%
Top 6 Seed	24.6%	26.8%	12.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	55.5%	58.8%	36.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	53.5%	56.9%	35.4%
Average Seed	6.9	6.8	7.6

.500 or above	76.9%	80.5%	56.7%
.500 or above in Conference	55.7%	58.2%	42.2%
Conference Champion	5.5%	6.1%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	4.6%	9.5%

First Four	5.0%	5.0%	4.9%
First Round	52.8%	56.1%	34.0%
Second Round	32.4%	34.8%	18.7%
Sweet Sixteen	13.6%	14.9%	6.3%
Elite Eight	5.4%	6.0%	2.4%
Final Four	2.2%	2.5%	0.8%
Championship Game	0.8%	0.9%	0.3%
National Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 84.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	3 - 4	5 - 8
Quad 2	6 - 3	10 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 1	15 - 13
Quad 4	4 - 0	19 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	155	UC Riverside	W	91-76	89%	1 - 0			+12.6	+15.0	-2.5
Nov 08, 2024	218	Montana	W	79-48	93%	2 - 0			+25.0	+8.0	+19.4
Nov 12, 2024	307	Portland	W	80-70 OT	97%	3 - 0			-0.5	-8.4	+6.7
Nov 17, 2024	121	Troy	W	76-65	85%
Nov 21, 2024	103	@ Oregon St.	W	69-66	61%
Nov 26, 2024	28	Texas A&M	L	69-71	43%
Nov 27, 2024	55	San Diego St.	W	67-65	56%
Dec 04, 2024	65	@ USC	L	73-74	48%
Dec 08, 2024	30	UCLA	W	66-65	55%
Dec 15, 2024	171	Stephen F. Austin	W	77-63	90%
Dec 21, 2024	70	Stanford	W	72-69	60%
Dec 29, 2024	233	Weber St.	W	77-60	94%
Jan 02, 2025	20	Illinois	W	75-74	53%
Jan 05, 2025	31	Maryland	W	69-67	55%
Jan 09, 2025	17	@ Ohio St.	L	67-73	30%
Jan 12, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	74-77	38%
Jan 18, 2025	15	Purdue	L	72-73	48%
Jan 21, 2025	79	Washington	W	76-70	71%
Jan 25, 2025	88	@ Minnesota	W	70-68	56%
Jan 30, 2025	30	@ UCLA	L	63-68	35%
Feb 02, 2025	67	Nebraska	W	73-67	69%
Feb 05, 2025	25	@ Michigan	L	69-74	34%
Feb 08, 2025	27	@ Michigan St.	L	68-73	34%
Feb 11, 2025	50	Northwestern	W	70-66	64%
Feb 16, 2025	37	Rutgers	W	71-68	59%
Feb 19, 2025	45	@ Iowa	L	78-80	42%
Feb 22, 2025	38	@ Wisconsin	L	68-71	39%
Mar 01, 2025	65	USC	W	76-71	68%
Mar 04, 2025	24	Indiana	W	72-71	53%
Mar 09, 2025	79	@ Washington	W	73-72	52%
Projected Record						18 - 12	10 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.5	1.3	1.7	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0		5.5	1st
2nd													0.1	0.7	1.9	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0				5.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.5	2.1	2.6	0.9	0.1	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th												0.2	2.0	2.9	1.1	0.2	0.0						6.4	4th
5th											0.0	0.9	3.2	1.7	0.2	0.0							6.1	5th
6th											0.2	2.8	2.9	0.5	0.0								6.4	6th
7th										0.0	1.3	3.8	1.2	0.1									6.3	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	3.2	2.5	0.2	0.0									6.3	8th
9th									0.0	1.7	3.6	0.8	0.0										6.2	9th
10th								0.0	0.5	3.4	2.0	0.1	0.0										5.9	10th
11th								0.1	1.8	3.3	0.5												5.7	11th
12th							0.0	0.8	3.3	1.5	0.1												5.7	12th
13th							0.3	2.2	2.9	0.4	0.0												5.8	13th
14th					0.0	0.1	1.3	2.8	1.1	0.1													5.4	14th
15th					0.1	0.7	2.2	1.7	0.2														5.0	15th
16th			0.0	0.0	0.5	1.6	2.0	0.5	0.0													4.6	16th
17th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.3	1.4	0.5	0.0														3.8	17th
18th	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.4	0.1															2.8	18th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.8	4.2	6.4	8.1	9.8	10.8	10.9	11.2	10.1	8.0	6.3	4.3	2.7	1.4	0.7	0.2	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	93.1%	0.6		0.6	0.1	0.0
17-3	84.7%	1.2		0.9	0.3	0.0
16-4	62.5%	1.7		0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0
15-5	29.0%	1.3		0.4	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-6	8.0%	0.5		0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	5.5%	5.5		3.1	1.6	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0	0.0
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	23.3%	76.7%	1.4		0.1	0.1	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.7%		100.0%	27.2%	72.8%	1.8		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.4%		100.0%	25.4%	74.6%	2.3		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
16-4	2.7%		100.0%	20.2%	79.8%	3.0		0.3	0.7	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	4.3%		100.0%	15.9%	84.1%	4.0		0.1	0.4	1.1	1.2	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-6	6.3%		99.8%	10.3%	89.5%	5.0		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.3	1.6	1.2	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.8%
13-7	8.0%		98.7%	7.6%	91.0%	6.1			0.0	0.4	1.0	1.6	1.8	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0					0.1		98.6%
12-8	10.1%		94.8%	4.4%	90.5%	7.3				0.1	0.3	1.0	1.8	2.0	2.0	1.3	0.7	0.3	0.0					0.5		94.6%
11-9	11.2%		86.0%	2.7%	83.3%	8.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.6	2.0	2.1	1.6	0.8	0.1					1.6		85.7%
10-10	10.9%		67.7%	2.0%	65.8%	9.2				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.3	1.6	1.7	1.5	0.2					3.5		67.1%
9-11	10.8%		37.7%	0.7%	37.0%	10.2					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.7	0.3	0.0				6.7		37.3%
8-12	9.8%		12.5%	0.3%	12.2%	10.8								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.7	0.2	0.0				8.6		12.3%
7-13	8.1%		1.7%	0.1%	1.6%	11.4												0.1	0.1					8.0		1.6%
6-14	6.4%																							6.4
5-15	4.2%																							4.2
4-16	2.8%																							2.8
3-17	1.3%																							1.3
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		55.5%	4.2%	51.3%	6.9		1.1	2.3	3.9	4.7	6.0	6.6	6.7	6.7	6.2	5.4	5.0	0.9	0.0				44.5		53.5%