IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Oregon
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	+14.1	#28
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#121

Pace	69.3	#158
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+7.1	#36

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+7.0	#23

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.6%	0.6%	0.1%
#1 Seed	3.2%	3.4%	0.8%
Top 2 Seed	8.0%	8.5%	1.9%
Top 4 Seed	21.9%	23.1%	7.9%
Top 6 Seed	38.2%	40.0%	17.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	66.0%	68.1%	41.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	64.6%	66.7%	40.1%
Average Seed	5.9	5.9	7.0

.500 or above	81.2%	83.3%	56.6%
.500 or above in Conference	62.6%	64.4%	41.9%
Conference Champion	4.4%	4.7%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	2.4%	2.2%	5.7%

First Four	4.7%	4.5%	6.3%
First Round	63.8%	66.0%	38.8%
Second Round	46.3%	48.1%	25.2%
Sweet Sixteen	22.5%	23.5%	10.6%
Elite Eight	10.0%	10.5%	4.0%
Final Four	4.3%	4.5%	1.4%
Championship Game	1.8%	1.9%	0.4%
National Champion	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%

Next Game: Hawaii (Home) - 92.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	3 - 6	3 - 6
Quad 1b	4 - 3	6 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 2	11 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 0	15 - 12
Quad 4	4 - 0	20 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2025	125	Hawaii	W	77-62	92%
Nov 07, 2025	171	Rice	W	79-61	95%
Nov 12, 2025	147	South Dakota St.	W	83-66	94%
Nov 17, 2025	123	Oregon St.	W	76-61	91%
Nov 24, 2025	35	Auburn	W	75-74	54%
Nov 25, 2025	36	San Diego St.	W	69-68	54%
Dec 02, 2025	27	USC	W	75-72	60%
Dec 06, 2025	20	@ UCLA	L	67-71	36%
Dec 13, 2025	241	UC Davis	W	80-59	97%
Dec 17, 2025	280	Portland	W	85-62	98%
Dec 21, 2025	14	Gonzaga	L	75-78	39%
Dec 28, 2025	190	Nebraska Omaha	W	84-65	95%
Jan 02, 2026	46	@ Maryland	L	73-74	48%
Jan 05, 2026	86	@ Rutgers	W	75-70	66%
Jan 08, 2026	26	Ohio St.	W	81-78	60%
Jan 13, 2026	51	@ Nebraska	W	73-72	51%
Jan 18, 2026	5	Michigan	L	74-77	40%
Jan 20, 2026	24	Michigan St.	W	72-70	59%
Jan 25, 2026	50	@ Washington	W	74-73	50%
Jan 28, 2026	20	UCLA	W	70-68	56%
Feb 01, 2026	34	Iowa	W	78-74	63%
Feb 07, 2026	2	@ Purdue	L	66-78	17%
Feb 09, 2026	33	@ Indiana	L	72-74	44%
Feb 14, 2026	99	Penn St.	W	80-68	85%
Feb 17, 2026	72	Minnesota	W	72-62	79%
Feb 21, 2026	27	@ USC	L	72-75	40%
Feb 25, 2026	21	Wisconsin	W	74-72	58%
Feb 28, 2026	61	@ Northwestern	W	69-67	58%
Mar 03, 2026	10	@ Illinois	L	74-81	26%
Mar 07, 2026	50	Washington	W	76-70	69%
Projected Record						19 - 11	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.4	1.0	0.5	0.1		4.4	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.8	2.1	1.9	1.0	0.2	0.0			6.1	2nd
3rd											0.0		0.1	1.1	2.6	2.5	0.8	0.2					7.4	3rd
4th											0.0	0.0	0.9	3.0	3.0	0.8	0.1	0.0					7.8	4th
5th											0.0	0.6	2.6	3.3	1.0	0.1							7.6	5th
6th											0.2	2.1	3.7	1.6	0.1								7.7	6th
7th										0.0	1.1	3.8	2.3	0.3	0.0								7.6	7th
8th									0.0	0.5	2.9	3.0	0.6	0.0									7.1	8th
9th									0.2	1.9	3.5	1.2	0.1										6.9	9th
10th								0.1	0.9	3.2	1.9	0.2	0.0										6.4	10th
11th							0.0	0.4	2.5	2.7	0.5	0.0											6.2	11th
12th							0.1	1.4	2.9	0.9	0.0												5.4	12th
13th						0.1	0.9	2.5	1.7	0.2													5.3	13th
14th					0.0	0.4	2.0	1.7	0.4	0.0													4.5	14th
15th				0.0	0.3	1.2	1.4	0.5	0.0														3.4	15th
16th			0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	0.6	0.1															2.9	16th
17th			0.2	0.5	0.9	0.4	0.0	0.0															2.1	17th
18th	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0																1.3	18th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.3	3.3	5.0	6.7	8.6	9.5	10.2	11.0	10.3	9.4	7.6	6.0	3.7	2.5	1.2	0.5	0.1			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	97.9%	0.5		0.4	0.0
18-2	82.8%	1.0		0.7	0.3	0.0
17-3	54.4%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.2
16-4	26.1%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
15-5	7.3%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0
14-6	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0						0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.4%	4.4		2.3	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		100.0%	59.1%	40.9%	1.1		0.1	0.0																	100.0%
19-1	0.5%		100.0%	22.9%	77.1%	1.3		0.3	0.1																	100.0%
18-2	1.2%		100.0%	32.4%	67.6%	1.6		0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	2.5%		100.0%	17.9%	82.1%	1.9		0.9	1.0	0.5	0.1															100.0%
16-4	3.7%		100.0%	15.7%	84.3%	2.6		0.7	1.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0													100.0%
15-5	6.0%		99.9%	12.7%	87.2%	3.3		0.5	1.2	1.9	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.0		99.9%
14-6	7.6%		99.9%	8.5%	91.4%	4.3		0.1	0.5	1.8	2.1	1.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0							0.0		99.9%
13-7	9.4%		99.6%	5.1%	94.5%	5.2		0.0	0.2	0.9	1.8	2.6	2.0	1.2	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.6%
12-8	10.3%		98.4%	2.6%	95.7%	6.3			0.0	0.3	0.9	2.1	2.4	2.2	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0						0.2		98.3%
11-9	11.0%		92.6%	1.4%	91.3%	7.5			0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	1.8	2.3	2.3	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0					0.8		92.5%
10-10	10.2%		77.3%	1.0%	76.3%	8.5					0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.6	1.9	1.5	0.7	0.0					2.3		77.1%
9-11	9.5%		50.1%	0.6%	49.6%	9.6						0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.0	1.6	1.2	0.1					4.8		49.8%
8-12	8.6%		18.8%	0.2%	18.6%	10.2							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.1					7.0		18.6%
7-13	6.7%		5.0%	0.1%	5.0%	10.7									0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0					6.4		5.0%
6-14	5.0%		0.3%		0.3%	11.0												0.0						5.0		0.3%
5-15	3.3%																							3.3
4-16	2.3%																							2.3
3-17	1.1%																							1.1
2-18	0.6%																							0.6
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		66.0%	4.1%	61.9%	5.9		3.2	4.8	6.8	7.2	8.2	8.1	7.7	6.6	5.5	4.8	3.0	0.2					34.0		64.6%