Creighton
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.4#43
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#68
Pace67.9#226
Improvement+0.7#142

Offense
Total Offense+7.0#46
First Shot+5.4#46
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#84
Layup/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#39
Freethrows-1.9#297
Improvement+0.1#177

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#61
First Shot+4.1#57
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#168
Layups/Dunks-6.9#354
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#25
Freethrows+6.3#2
Improvement+0.6#140
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.1% 3.6% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 8.8% 13.9% 5.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.9% 61.2% 38.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.8% 58.4% 35.6%
Average Seed 8.4 8.1 8.7
.500 or above 81.0% 90.3% 74.5%
.500 or above in Conference 69.8% 75.9% 65.5%
Conference Champion 4.2% 5.4% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.1% 1.3% 2.6%
First Four7.6% 7.8% 7.5%
First Round44.1% 57.4% 34.9%
Second Round23.3% 31.7% 17.3%
Sweet Sixteen6.3% 9.0% 4.3%
Elite Eight2.2% 3.2% 1.5%
Final Four0.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 41.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 26 - 39 - 13
Quad 34 - 114 - 14
Quad 45 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 270 South Dakota W 92-76 96%     1 - 0 +7.3 +9.8 -3.1
  Tue, Nov 11 4 @Gonzaga L 63-90 11%     1 - 1 -2.4 -0.4 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 14 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-45 98%     2 - 1 +24.2 +13.5 +14.0
  Wed, Nov 19 337 North Dakota W 75-60 98%     3 - 1 +1.2 +3.0 -0.5
  Mon, Nov 24 34 Baylor L 74-81 44%     3 - 2 +6.0 +6.9 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 25 2 Iowa St. L 60-78 14%     3 - 3 +4.8 +0.4 +3.8
  Thu, Nov 27 81 Oregon W 76-66 66%     4 - 3 +17.0 +8.9 +8.5
  Tue, Dec 2 254 Nicholls St. W 96-76 95%     5 - 3 +11.8 +22.7 -10.5
  Sun, Dec 7 48 @Nebraska L 75-77 41%    
  Sat, Dec 13 82 Kansas St. W 84-76 77%    
  Wed, Dec 17 77 @Xavier W 76-75 54%    
  Sat, Dec 20 88 Marquette W 80-72 78%    
  Mon, Dec 22 257 Utah Tech W 82-62 96%    
  Tue, Dec 30 55 Butler W 80-76 65%    
  Sun, Jan 4 64 @Seton Hall L 68-69 49%    
  Wed, Jan 7 38 @Villanova L 68-72 35%    
  Sat, Jan 10 16 St. John's L 76-79 40%    
  Tue, Jan 13 86 Georgetown W 80-72 77%    
  Fri, Jan 16 65 @Providence L 80-81 50%    
  Wed, Jan 21 77 Xavier W 79-72 74%    
  Tue, Jan 27 88 @Marquette W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Jan 31 6 Connecticut L 68-74 28%    
  Wed, Feb 4 86 @Georgetown W 77-75 58%    
  Sat, Feb 7 64 Seton Hall W 72-66 70%    
  Wed, Feb 11 134 @DePaul W 77-70 72%    
  Sat, Feb 14 38 Villanova W 71-69 56%    
  Wed, Feb 18 6 @Connecticut L 65-77 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 16 @St. John's L 73-82 22%    
  Wed, Feb 25 134 DePaul W 80-67 87%    
  Sat, Feb 28 65 Providence W 83-77 70%    
  Wed, Mar 4 55 @Butler L 77-79 44%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 4.9 6.2 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.0 18.6 3rd
4th 0.2 2.2 5.8 6.3 2.8 0.5 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 5.4 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.8 4.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.5 3.0 0.7 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.3 5.3 7.9 10.6 12.5 13.0 13.4 11.2 8.5 5.8 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 94.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1
17-3 70.0% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
16-4 42.0% 1.4    0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.1% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.2% 4.2 2.1 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 40.5% 59.5% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 99.4% 26.8% 72.6% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
17-3 1.4% 100.0% 21.7% 78.3% 4.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.3% 99.7% 17.2% 82.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-5 5.8% 98.3% 12.7% 85.7% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.1%
14-6 8.5% 94.1% 10.7% 83.5% 7.7 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 2.1 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.5 93.4%
13-7 11.2% 86.1% 8.4% 77.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.7 2.1 0.7 0.0 1.6 84.8%
12-8 13.4% 69.3% 5.1% 64.2% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.6 3.0 1.7 0.0 4.1 67.7%
11-9 13.0% 46.6% 4.3% 42.3% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.0 2.3 0.1 7.0 44.2%
10-10 12.5% 23.7% 2.4% 21.2% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 0.1 0.0 9.6 21.8%
9-11 10.6% 7.1% 1.6% 5.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 9.9 5.6%
8-12 7.9% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.8 0.4%
7-13 5.3% 0.9% 0.9% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.2 0.1%
6-14 3.3% 0.5% 0.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
5-15 1.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.0 0.0 0.0 1.8
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 47.9% 5.5% 42.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.5 4.2 6.4 7.8 8.6 8.9 7.0 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 52.1 44.8%