Marquette
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#88
Expected Predictive Rating-0.5#179
Pace74.2#70
Improvement-1.0#256

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#113
First Shot+4.8#60
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#313
Layup/Dunks+6.0#24
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#354
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
Freethrows+3.1#39
Improvement-0.9#255

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#73
First Shot+0.8#148
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#34
Layups/Dunks-0.7#202
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#239
Freethrows+2.2#62
Improvement-0.1#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 9.9% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.4% 9.1% 2.0%
Average Seed 10.0 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 14.5% 32.2% 13.5%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 30.2% 20.6%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.0% 12.4% 17.2%
First Four0.9% 2.8% 0.8%
First Round2.6% 8.2% 2.2%
Second Round0.9% 3.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 12
Quad 23 - 65 - 17
Quad 33 - 28 - 20
Quad 45 - 013 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 330 Albany W 80-53 95%     1 - 0 +13.9 -6.5 +18.1
  Wed, Nov 5 199 Southern W 100-82 86%     2 - 0 +12.6 +14.7 -4.2
  Sun, Nov 9 28 Indiana L 77-100 23%     2 - 1 -9.1 +5.4 -12.9
  Wed, Nov 12 315 Arkansas Little Rock W 89-49 94%     3 - 1 +28.4 +15.2 +15.1
  Sat, Nov 15 93 Maryland L 82-89 63%     3 - 2 -4.4 +3.9 -7.6
  Wed, Nov 19 70 Dayton L 71-77 OT 54%     3 - 3 -0.9 -7.7 +7.5
  Sat, Nov 22 309 Central Michigan W 85-71 94%     4 - 3 +2.8 +4.9 -2.3
  Fri, Nov 28 53 Oklahoma L 74-75 34%     4 - 4 +9.2 +11.2 -2.1
  Tue, Dec 2 211 Valparaiso W 75-72 OT 87%     5 - 4 -3.3 -5.4 +1.8
  Sat, Dec 6 30 @Wisconsin L 76-96 16%     5 - 5 -3.4 +2.5 -3.8
  Sat, Dec 13 7 @Purdue L 67-84 5%    
  Wed, Dec 17 86 Georgetown W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Dec 20 43 @Creighton L 72-80 22%    
  Tue, Dec 30 64 Seton Hall W 71-70 52%    
  Sun, Jan 4 6 @Connecticut L 63-81 5%    
  Wed, Jan 7 77 Xavier W 78-76 56%    
  Sat, Jan 10 38 Villanova L 69-73 37%    
  Tue, Jan 13 16 @St. John's L 72-86 10%    
  Fri, Jan 16 134 @DePaul W 75-74 54%    
  Mon, Jan 19 65 Providence W 83-82 52%    
  Fri, Jan 23 55 @Butler L 76-83 27%    
  Tue, Jan 27 43 Creighton L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Jan 31 64 @Seton Hall L 67-73 30%    
  Sat, Feb 7 55 Butler L 79-80 46%    
  Tue, Feb 10 38 @Villanova L 66-76 20%    
  Sat, Feb 14 77 @Xavier L 75-79 35%    
  Wed, Feb 18 16 St. John's L 75-83 23%    
  Tue, Feb 24 86 @Georgetown L 76-79 39%    
  Sun, Mar 1 134 DePaul W 78-71 74%    
  Wed, Mar 4 65 @Providence L 79-85 31%    
  Sat, Mar 7 6 Connecticut L 66-78 15%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 8.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.9 2.9 0.5 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.3 4.5 0.7 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.6 4.6 0.9 0.0 16.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.4 4.2 6.0 3.7 0.9 0.0 16.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.1 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.6 7.7 11.2 13.6 14.4 13.3 11.2 8.5 5.8 3.5 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 78.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 59.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 20.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 90.6% 9.4% 81.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 89.7%
15-5 0.4% 82.0% 4.9% 77.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 81.0%
14-6 1.0% 67.1% 7.3% 59.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 64.5%
13-7 1.8% 38.5% 4.7% 33.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1 35.4%
12-8 3.5% 17.0% 1.8% 15.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 2.9 15.5%
11-9 5.8% 4.6% 1.7% 2.9% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 5.5 2.9%
10-10 8.5% 1.7% 1.4% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.3 0.3%
9-11 11.2% 0.7% 0.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.1
8-12 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-13 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 14.4
6-14 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 13.5
5-15 11.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 11.2
4-16 7.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.7
3-17 4.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-18 2.2% 2.2
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.1% 0.7% 2.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 96.9 2.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%