Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#69
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.0#119
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#72
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#68
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 1.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 4.3% 4.3% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.8% 21.0% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.5% 19.7% 4.6%
Average Seed 8.2 8.2 8.8
.500 or above 49.3% 49.7% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 29.6% 29.9% 9.2%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 16.1% 15.9% 38.0%
First Four3.9% 3.9% 0.8%
First Round18.7% 18.8% 4.2%
Second Round9.7% 9.8% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.7% 2.7% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Morgan St. (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 355   Morgan St. W 88-64 99%    
  Nov 07, 2025 40   @ Maryland L 69-77 24%    
  Nov 12, 2025 331   Binghamton W 80-59 98%    
  Nov 15, 2025 42   Clemson L 67-68 46%    
  Nov 22, 2025 343   Wagner W 72-49 98%    
  Nov 27, 2025 65   Dayton L 70-71 47%    
  Dec 03, 2025 304   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 88-69 96%    
  Dec 07, 2025 25   @ North Carolina L 72-82 20%    
  Dec 13, 2025 297   St. Peter's W 74-55 95%    
  Dec 17, 2025 43   @ Marquette L 68-75 27%    
  Dec 20, 2025 50   Xavier W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 22, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 84-55 99%    
  Dec 31, 2025 8   St. John's L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 06, 2026 84   @ DePaul L 72-73 46%    
  Jan 10, 2026 101   Seton Hall W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 13, 2026 24   @ Creighton L 68-78 20%    
  Jan 17, 2026 4   Connecticut L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 21, 2026 39   @ Villanova L 63-71 26%    
  Jan 24, 2026 59   @ Providence L 70-74 36%    
  Jan 28, 2026 84   DePaul W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 31, 2026 66   @ Butler L 71-75 39%    
  Feb 04, 2026 24   Creighton L 71-75 37%    
  Feb 07, 2026 39   Villanova L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 14, 2026 4   @ Connecticut L 61-78 8%    
  Feb 18, 2026 66   Butler W 74-72 58%    
  Feb 21, 2026 101   @ Seton Hall W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 24, 2026 43   Marquette L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 28, 2026 50   @ Xavier L 71-77 32%    
  Mar 03, 2026 8   @ St. John's L 68-81 14%    
  Mar 07, 2026 59   Providence W 73-71 56%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 7.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.5 3.3 3.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.3 1.0 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.9 3.5 0.8 0.1 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.9 5.4 3.6 0.8 0.0 13.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.0 4.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.9 10th
11th 0.4 1.4 2.5 3.0 2.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.5 11th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.0 5.2 7.3 9.5 10.3 11.5 11.4 10.3 8.4 7.1 5.3 3.7 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 95.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 71.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 53.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 25.2% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 39.7% 60.3% 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 32.2% 67.8% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 3.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.7% 100.0% 21.1% 78.9% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.3% 99.4% 13.4% 85.9% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 2.6% 95.3% 9.2% 86.1% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 94.9%
13-7 3.7% 89.6% 5.5% 84.1% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.4 89.0%
12-8 5.3% 77.5% 4.1% 73.5% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.1 1.0 0.2 1.2 76.6%
11-9 7.1% 55.5% 1.8% 53.6% 9.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.3 0.6 0.0 3.2 54.6%
10-10 8.4% 32.6% 1.6% 31.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 0.7 0.0 5.7 31.5%
9-11 10.3% 12.2% 1.0% 11.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.0 11.4%
8-12 11.4% 3.3% 0.4% 3.0% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.1 3.0%
7-13 11.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.5 0.4%
6-14 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
5-15 9.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.5
4-16 7.3% 7.3
3-17 5.2% 5.2
2-18 3.0% 3.0
1-19 1.4% 1.4
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 20.8% 1.6% 19.2% 8.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.5 3.9 4.3 2.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.2 19.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0