Georgetown
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#86
Expected Predictive Rating+10.4#60
Pace70.0#169
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#73
First Shot+2.5#107
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#66
Layup/Dunks+3.2#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#163
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#297
Freethrows+2.9#45
Improvement+2.6#24

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#115
First Shot+1.7#113
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#185
Layups/Dunks+9.4#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#292
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#313
Freethrows-2.1#299
Improvement-3.5#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 1.6% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 24.0% 9.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 10.6% 22.7% 8.7%
Average Seed 9.5 9.2 9.7
.500 or above 49.6% 72.3% 46.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.2% 33.3% 21.6%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.0% 11.6% 17.8%
First Four3.6% 5.7% 3.2%
First Round9.4% 20.8% 7.6%
Second Round3.5% 8.0% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 1.2% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 13.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 10
Quad 25 - 57 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 358 Morgan St. W 87-70 97%     1 - 0 +0.0 -1.0 -0.2
  Fri, Nov 7 93 @Maryland W 70-60 41%     2 - 0 +18.6 +3.3 +15.4
  Wed, Nov 12 354 Binghamton W 83-70 97%     3 - 0 -3.2 +6.2 -8.8
  Sat, Nov 15 33 Clemson W 79-74 35%     4 - 0 +15.3 +10.7 +4.6
  Sat, Nov 22 298 Wagner W 92-75 93%     5 - 0 +6.4 +9.5 -4.1
  Thu, Nov 27 70 Dayton L 79-84 OT 43%     5 - 1 +3.1 +5.2 -1.8
  Fri, Nov 28 32 Miami (FL) L 65-78 25%     5 - 2 +0.4 +4.9 -5.5
  Wed, Dec 3 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-81 91%     6 - 2 +0.6 +15.7 -14.7
  Sun, Dec 7 22 @North Carolina L 72-84 14%    
  Sat, Dec 13 326 St. Peter's W 80-61 96%    
  Wed, Dec 17 88 @Marquette L 76-79 40%    
  Sat, Dec 20 77 Xavier W 77-75 57%    
  Mon, Dec 22 364 Coppin St. W 88-61 99%    
  Wed, Dec 31 16 St. John's L 75-83 23%    
  Tue, Jan 6 134 @DePaul W 75-74 55%    
  Sat, Jan 10 64 Seton Hall W 71-70 53%    
  Tue, Jan 13 43 @Creighton L 72-80 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 6 Connecticut L 67-78 15%    
  Wed, Jan 21 38 @Villanova L 67-76 20%    
  Sat, Jan 24 65 @Providence L 79-84 32%    
  Wed, Jan 28 134 DePaul W 78-71 74%    
  Sat, Jan 31 55 @Butler L 76-83 27%    
  Wed, Feb 4 43 Creighton L 75-77 42%    
  Sat, Feb 7 38 Villanova L 70-73 38%    
  Sat, Feb 14 6 @Connecticut L 64-81 6%    
  Wed, Feb 18 55 Butler L 79-80 47%    
  Sat, Feb 21 64 @Seton Hall L 68-73 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 88 Marquette W 79-76 61%    
  Sat, Feb 28 77 @Xavier L 74-78 36%    
  Tue, Mar 3 16 @St. John's L 72-86 11%    
  Sat, Mar 7 65 Providence W 82-81 53%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.1 8.8 5th
6th 0.2 2.2 4.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.5 3.7 0.7 0.0 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.2 4.4 0.7 0.0 14.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.4 6.1 4.4 0.9 0.0 15.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.0 5.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 15.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.1 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 11th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.1 4.5 7.4 10.9 12.8 13.9 13.1 11.4 9.0 6.3 3.8 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 93.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 36.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 16.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 98.2% 10.9% 87.3% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
15-5 0.4% 96.9% 5.4% 91.5% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.7%
14-6 1.0% 93.9% 6.7% 87.2% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.5%
13-7 2.3% 82.3% 4.9% 77.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.4 81.4%
12-8 3.8% 64.5% 1.7% 62.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 1.4 63.9%
11-9 6.3% 41.2% 2.5% 38.7% 10.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 3.7 39.7%
10-10 9.0% 21.6% 1.7% 19.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.1 7.0 20.2%
9-11 11.4% 5.1% 0.8% 4.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 10.9 4.4%
8-12 13.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.0 0.5%
7-13 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 11.4 0.0 0.0 13.8 0.0%
6-14 12.8% 0.2% 0.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7
5-15 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 10.9
4-16 7.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4
3-17 4.5% 4.5
2-18 2.1% 2.1
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 11.4% 0.8% 10.5% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.3 3.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.6 10.6%