Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-14.0#358
Expected Predictive Rating-21.6#363
Pace74.7#56
Improvement-0.9#246

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#337
First Shot-4.3#289
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#312
Layup/Dunks-2.2#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.5#352
Freethrows+1.2#109
Improvement-1.1#267

Defense
Total Defense-7.5#356
First Shot-4.1#307
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#339
Layups/Dunks-0.2#183
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#91
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#264
Freethrows-3.0#331
Improvement+0.2#172
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 8.1% 3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.9% 5.3% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 37.4% 53.9% 36.8%
Conference Champion 3.4% 7.5% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 21.5% 11.4% 21.8%
First Four4.0% 8.0% 3.9%
First Round1.3% 2.6% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 3.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 20 - 6
Quad 47 - 147 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 86 @Georgetown L 70-87 3%     0 - 1 -7.7 -4.6 -1.9
  Tue, Nov 11 259 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79-81 29%     0 - 2 -10.4 -1.0 -9.3
  Sat, Nov 15 324 @Mercyhurst L 72-86 24%     0 - 3 -20.5 -0.6 -20.4
  Tue, Nov 18 299 N.C. A&T L 73-79 37%     0 - 4 -16.6 -2.4 -14.3
  Fri, Nov 21 212 @Old Dominion L 56-88 11%     0 - 5 -32.3 -15.0 -18.9
  Tue, Nov 25 267 Drexel L 66-71 30%     0 - 6 -13.6 -5.5 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 287 Longwood L 80-84 35%     0 - 7 -14.1 -3.1 -10.7
  Tue, Dec 9 134 @DePaul L 67-86 4%    
  Sat, Dec 13 342 Niagara W 72-71 52%    
  Fri, Dec 19 76 @California L 65-90 1%    
  Sun, Dec 21 100 @San Francisco L 65-87 2%    
  Tue, Dec 23 140 @Loyola Marymount L 64-82 4%    
  Sat, Jan 3 345 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 65-70 31%    
  Sat, Jan 10 349 South Carolina St. W 78-77 55%    
  Mon, Jan 12 350 NC Central W 74-72 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 351 @Delaware St. L 71-75 35%    
  Sat, Jan 24 313 @Howard L 73-82 22%    
  Mon, Jan 26 218 @Norfolk St. L 65-78 11%    
  Sat, Jan 31 364 @Coppin St. W 76-75 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 345 Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-67 53%    
  Sat, Feb 14 349 @South Carolina St. L 75-80 34%    
  Mon, Feb 16 350 @NC Central L 71-75 34%    
  Sat, Feb 21 351 Delaware St. W 74-72 56%    
  Sat, Feb 28 313 Howard L 76-79 41%    
  Mon, Mar 2 218 Norfolk St. L 68-75 25%    
  Thu, Mar 5 364 Coppin St. W 79-73 71%    
Projected Record 6 - 20 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.2 2.2 3.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 8.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.3 6.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 12.0 3rd
4th 0.2 4.0 7.5 2.5 0.2 14.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.7 8.5 3.1 0.1 15.6 5th
6th 0.4 3.8 8.7 3.4 0.2 16.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 7.6 3.4 0.2 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.4 1.8 4.3 4.5 1.9 0.1 13.0 8th
Total 0.4 1.9 5.2 9.2 13.5 16.1 16.4 14.2 10.8 6.5 3.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
12-2 92.1% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
11-3 63.1% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
10-4 31.9% 1.1    0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0
9-5 8.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 0.0
13-1 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-2 0.6% 30.3% 30.3% 16.0 0.2 0.4
11-3 1.5% 17.7% 17.7% 16.0 0.3 1.2
10-4 3.6% 14.5% 14.5% 16.0 0.5 3.1
9-5 6.5% 10.6% 10.6% 16.0 0.7 5.8
8-6 10.8% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.7 10.2
7-7 14.2% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.6 13.6
6-8 16.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 15.9
5-9 16.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 15.7
4-10 13.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.4
3-11 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.1
2-12 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.1
1-13 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.9
0-14 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 16.0 4.0 96.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%