Morgan St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -13.5 349
Results Rating -10.7 329
Consistency 0.15 191
Pace 74.9 32
Improvement +2.1 109

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 315 D- D D+ B D-
Defense F+ 352 D F D F F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 272 D- 50% 347 -4.6 329
2 Pt. Jumpers 58% 21 D+ 34% 291 +2.0 76
Three Pointers 36% 288 D+ 31% 290 -4.0 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- -1.2 326 D- -5.3 345
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 348
Second Chance C- 28.3% 241 F 0.85 358 D 0.24 327
Opponents' Steals C- 9.9% 242
Other Turnovers D+ 8.0% 271
Turnovers D+ 17.9% 264
Freethrows B- 0.34 74 B- 75% 97 B 0.25 61
Total Offense D -5.7 315

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C+ 51% 131 D+ 12.4% 269
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 31% 94 C 4.9% 181
Three Pointers D+ 79% 298 C 1.0% 210
Total C- 54% 209 C- 6.2% 247


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% 4 D 63% 320 +8.2 363
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 359 C- 40% 257 -2.6 14
Three Pointers 39% 245 C+ 33% 128 -1.7 115
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.6 364 D+ +2.0 266
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 310
Second Chance D- 35.5% 341 F+ 1.20 360 F 0.43 361
Turnovers from Steals F 5.1% 364
Other Turnovers A- 9.1% 15
Turnovers D 14.2% 323
Freethrows F 0.42 364 B- 71% 95 F 0.30 359
Total Defense F+ -7.8 352

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D- 58% 345 D+ 8.5% 274
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 44% 359 D+ 2.7% 306
Three Pointers C- 85% 221 D+ 0.4% 282
Total D- 64% 336 D+ 4.6% 253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 94 16.0 11
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 119 0.25 361
Consistency 0.11 94 0.09 15
Improvement +0.6 154 +1.6 99

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 354 349 336
Results Rating Rank 342 331 309
Conference Record 9 - 5 10 - 4 10 - 4
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Four

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 26% 33% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four6% 7% 3%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Coppin St. (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 11 - 5
Quad 411 - 1112 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 80 @Georgetown L 70 - 87 2% -10  21% 0 - 1 D+ -7 D -6 D+ C- F C+ +0 A- D- F
 Tue, Nov 11 193 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 79 - 81 21% -6  16% 0 - 2 D+ -7 C- -0 D- B- C+ D- -7 F C- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 290 @Mercyhurst L 72 - 86 20% -13  6% 0 - 3 F -18 C- -2 F A+ F F -17 F F C+
 Tue, Nov 18 281 N.C. A&T L 73 - 79 35% -4  9% 0 - 4 F+ -16 D- -8 D F A+ D- -8 F+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 21 248 @Old Dominion L 56 - 88 14% -18  0% 0 - 5 F -34 F -18 F F+ D F -17 F+ D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 214 Drexel L 66 - 71 24% -7  2% 0 - 6 D -11 D+ -4 C F A D- -7 D A- B+
 Sat, Dec 6 253 Longwood L 80 - 84 31% -1  46% 0 - 7 D- -12 D+ -3 D- D- C- F+ -9 D+ F C
 Tue, Dec 9 90 @DePaul L 49 - 92 3% -28  0% 0 - 8 F -34 F -17 F F F F -19 F F+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 334 Niagara W 81 - 73 55% +4  89% 1 - 8 D+ -7 C+ +2 A+ A F F+ -8 C- F F
 Fri, Dec 19 73 @California L 50 - 97 2% -22  0% 1 - 9 F -36 F -18 F D- D- F -18 F F D+
 Sun, Dec 21 122 @San Francisco L 64 - 94 5% -13  21% 1 - 10 F -24 D- -7 D+ C- F F -18 C F C-
 Tue, Dec 23 158 @Loyola Marymount L 56 - 83 7% -16  0% 1 - 11 F -24 F -16 F B+ F F+ -8 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 350 @Maryland Eastern Shore L 49 - 66 39% -6  17% 1 - 12 0 - 1 F -27 F -26 F F F C- -2 B- F+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 359 South Carolina St. W 72 - 67 71% -2  16% 2 - 12 1 - 1 D- -14 D- -8 F F A D -6 D- F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 347 NC Central L 78 - 89 61% -4  14% 2 - 13 1 - 2 F -27 D -5 D F B F -23 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 361 @Delaware St. W 80 - 79 57% +5  76% 3 - 13 2 - 2 D- -14 C- -2 D F B+ F -13 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 182 @Howard W 78 - 77 9% -3  15% 4 - 13 3 - 2 C+ +2 D+ -4 F A+ D B+ +6 A+ F C+
 Mon, Jan 26 313 @Norfolk St. W 79 - 78 24% -3  36% 5 - 13 4 - 2 D+ -5 D -5 C- F D+ C -0 A F F
 Sat, Jan 31 362 @Coppin St. W 89 - 80 58% +12  100% 6 - 13 5 - 2 D+ -6 C +2 F A D F+ -9 F C F+
 Sat, Feb 7 350 Maryland Eastern Shore W 79 - 71 62% +2  79% 7 - 13 6 - 2 D -8 C+ +2 C- D A+ F -10 B- C F
 Mon, Feb 16 347 @NC Central L 76 - 80 38% -11  7% 7 - 14 6 - 3 D- -14 F+ -8 F F D+ D -6 D- F A-
 Sat, Feb 21 361 Delaware St. W 82 - 68 77% +3  66% 8 - 14 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 D+ D D+ D -5 C- D+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 359 @South Carolina St. W 90 - 83 50% +5  83% 9 - 14 8 - 3 D+ -6 B +6 A- B+ F F -13 F D+ F
 Sat, Feb 28 182 Howard L 59 - 84 20% -10  2% 9 - 15 8 - 4 F -30 F -17 F C- A+ F -12 C- F D
 Mon, Mar 2 313 Norfolk St. W 90 - 84 45% +10  91% 10 - 15 9 - 4 D+ -6 C+ +3 A F A F+ -10 A- F F
 Thu, Mar 5 362 Coppin St. W 81 - 73 78%
Totals 11 - 15 10 - 4 -13 D -6 A D- D- F+ -8 D+ B- B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D+ D+ D- 36% 58% 36% D- D- C- F D D+ B- B- B F+ D C- C+ D+ 48% 13% 39% F D D- F+ F D F B- F
1.01 50% 34% 31% -5 -1 0.89 28% 0.8 .24 18% .34 75% .25 1.20 63% 40% 33% +2 +2 1.10 35% 1.2 .43 14% .42 71% .24
Nov
3		 Georgetown D F F+ A+ D+ 38% 27% 35% C D+ C D C- F A+ C- A C+ C+ F A+ A+ 46% 9% 44% F A- C- F+ D- F F B+ F
0.93 39% 31% 41% -5 -1 0.90 30% 0.9 .27 21% .40 71% .29 1.15 56% 80% 17% -9 +2 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 9% .57 69% .39
Nov
11		 Maryland Baltimore Co. C- F F A+ D- 45% 22% 33% C- D- B+ C- B- C+ D+ A- C D- F F F F 45% 5% 50% F F C- C C- A+ F A+ F
1.10 42% 23% 47% -4 0 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 13% .21 77% .16 1.13 75% 50% 41% +13 +3 1.34 24% 1.0 .24 25% .45 67% .30
Nov
15		 Mercyhurst C- C+ F F F 38% 43% 20% F F A+ C- A+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 32% 28% 40% D F F F F C+ F A+ F
1.06 60% 18% 25% -11 -3 0.75 51% 1.0 .51 24% .74 84% .62 1.27 69% 29% 40% +4 -1 1.08 41% 1.7 .69 16% .49 61% .30
Nov
18		 N.C. A&T D- C+ A+ F D 41% 25% 34% C- D F F F A+ D C+ D+ D- F F C+ F 29% 29% 42% B- F+ C F F B- F D F
1.05 60% 53% 24% -1 0 1.00 14% 0.4 .05 7% .26 71% .19 1.14 69% 54% 32% +6 -2 1.11 30% 1.8 .52 20% .49 78% .38
Nov
21		 Old Dominion F D- D- F F 52% 20% 28% B F C F F+ D C F F F D C F+ F 28% 22% 50% C- F+ F B+ D- F F C F
0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20 1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34
Nov
25		 Drexel D+ B+ B F C+ 40% 38% 23% F+ C F F F A B+ C+ B+ D- F A+ C+ D+ 45% 12% 43% F D F A+ A- B+ F F F
1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28 1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42
Dec
6		 Longwood D+ D- A+ F D- 44% 19% 37% C D- F+ D+ D- C- C+ A+ A+ F+ C+ A+ F D+ 46% 18% 36% F+ D+ C- F F C F A F
1.07 54% 70% 25% -1 +1 1.02 21% 0.9 .18 19% .36 91% .33 1.12 56% 14% 43% -1 +1 1.03 33% 1.6 .53 20% .74 66% .49
Dec
9		 DePaul F F F F F 26% 38% 36% F F A+ F F F A+ A A+ F F A+ F F 38% 17% 45% D+ F B- F F+ F+ F F F
0.72 27% 25% 20% -21 -3 0.55 45% 0.3 .13 30% .65 77% .50 1.36 88% 14% 42% +13 0 1.29 28% 1.6 .44 13% .63 78% .49
Dec
13		 Niagara C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 29% 47% F A+ A+ F+ A F A+ A A+ F+ C- F B+ C 50% 8% 42% F C- A F F F F C- F
1.21 78% 73% 44% +22 -2 1.42 56% 0.9 .50 34% .48 86% .41 1.09 58% 50% 30% -1 +2 1.04 14% 2.8 .38 13% .33 74% .24
Dec
19		 California F B- B F F 35% 29% 35% D- F F A- D- D- B F C F D- A F F 50% 14% 36% F F A- F F D+ D- F F
0.72 59% 43% 6% -13 -1 0.73 16% 1.2 .19 20% .34 58% .20 1.40 68% 29% 50% +12 +2 1.30 22% 2.6 .57 13% .38 96% .36
Dec
21		 San Francisco D- A+ D C C+ 15% 39% 46% F D+ F A+ C- F A- D- B F F B+ A+ C 42% 23% 35% C+ C F F F C- F B- F
0.95 71% 33% 33% 0 -4 0.93 18% 1.5 .26 18% .34 68% .23 1.39 83% 30% 20% +1 0 1.05 47% 1.5 .70 15% .78 69% .54
Dec
23		 Loyola Marymount F F F F F 32% 49% 19% F F A+ D+ B+ F A- F C+ F+ D F D F 44% 9% 47% F F F C- F C+ F A F
0.80 33% 22% 22% -19 -4 0.55 43% 1.0 .41 24% .36 63% .23 1.19 65% 75% 38% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.1 .41 19% .49 61% .30
Jan
3		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F B- F F 26% 32% 43% F F F F F F D D- D- C- D A+ A+ A- 55% 13% 32% F B- D F F+ F F B+ F
0.73 42% 40% 20% -13 -2 0.72 19% 0.6 .11 22% .31 69% .21 0.99 62% 0% 20% -10 +2 0.87 32% 1.1 .35 18% .49 67% .33
Jan
10		 South Carolina St. D- B F+ F F 48% 20% 33% D F D- F F A A F C D F D A+ D- 40% 28% 33% F+ D- F F F A+ F+ A+ B
1.08 68% 33% 20% -3 +1 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 12% .48 61% .29 1.01 71% 42% 21% 0 -1 1.00 38% 1.3 .50 27% .39 47% .18
Jan
12		 NC Central D A F B+ D+ 33% 27% 40% F+ D D F F B A+ D+ A+ F F F F F 64% 20% 16% F F A+ A+ A+ F F C- F
1.14 73% 25% 39% +5 -1 1.09 33% 0.5 .17 16% .57 70% .40 1.30 68% 67% 57% +18 +2 1.41 17% 0.8 .13 13% .55 76% .42
Jan
17		 Delaware St. C- F B+ A+ D+ 30% 26% 44% F D F+ F+ F B+ A+ B- A F B+ F A+ F 43% 26% 30% F F F F F F F C F
1.09 44% 43% 42% +2 -1 1.04 24% 1.0 .24 15% .43 74% .32 1.08 45% 75% 21% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 15% .63 69% .43
Jan
24		 Howard D+ F D C F 48% 22% 30% C- F A- A+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A+ 51% 24% 25% C+ A+ F F F C+ F F+ F
0.96 28% 31% 33% -17 +1 0.70 40% 1.4 .58 21% .45 79% .36 0.95 32% 31% 14% -22 0 0.58 53% 1.2 .66 21% .63 80% .50
Jan
26		 Norfolk St. D B- C C+ C 34% 20% 46% D- C- F A+ F D+ B+ B+ A- C B+ F A+ A+ 62% 9% 29% F A D- F F F F+ A C-
1.04 65% 40% 35% +3 0 1.08 12% 1.5 .18 18% .42 77% .32 1.03 47% 60% 12% -15 +3 0.79 34% 1.3 .45 12% .40 59% .24
Jan
31		 Coppin St. C A- F D- F+ 34% 28% 38% F+ F C- A+ A D A+ D- A+ F+ D A F F 48% 23% 29% F+ F F A+ C F+ F A+ F
1.17 71% 29% 32% 0 -1 1.00 34% 1.6 .54 18% .61 71% .44 1.05 60% 25% 40% 0 0 1.04 37% 0.7 .27 18% .57 57% .32
Feb
7		 Maryland Eastern Shore C+ B F+ C C 41% 29% 31% D- C- D+ D- D A+ B+ A- A F C A A+ B 51% 22% 27% F+ B- F A C F F F F
1.18 65% 29% 33% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 9% .41 80% .33 1.06 56% 27% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 13% .36 86% .31
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
16		 NC Central F+ F F A+ F 41% 21% 38% C- F A- F F D+ A+ C+ A D A+ D+ F D 48% 22% 30% D D- F+ F F A- F F+ F
1.04 48% 17% 43% -4 0 0.95 47% 0.5 .23 19% .39 74% .29 1.10 41% 40% 50% -1 +1 1.02 33% 1.5 .52 22% .44 80% .35
Feb
21		 Delaware St. D+ C+ B- C- C- 39% 20% 41% D+ D+ B F D D+ A+ B- A+ D D+ A+ A+ C+ 55% 20% 25% F C- D C D+ F F B D-
1.12 65% 40% 33% +3 0 1.08 36% 0.8 .31 19% .45 74% .34 0.93 57% 18% 21% -10 +1 0.85 28% 0.8 .21 15% .37 65% .24
Feb
25		 South Carolina St. B F A+ A+ B+ 57% 2% 40% A- A- C- A+ B+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F A+ F 43% 29% 27% F+ F F A D+ F F B+ F
1.23 46% 100% 59% +10 +4 1.29 37% 1.4 .53 22% .60 82% .49 1.14 73% 47% 21% +4 -1 1.08 41% 0.8 .31 12% .45 62% .28
Feb
28		 Howard F F F F F 37% 20% 43% D F C D C- A+ A+ C+ A+ F B F D+ C+ 65% 8% 27% F C- F D F D F A F
0.82 35% 18% 9% -29 0 0.44 33% 1.0 .33 12% .44 71% .32 1.17 47% 50% 36% -6 +4 0.98 47% 1.2 .53 18% .49 66% .32
Mar
2		 Norfolk St. C+ D+ F A+ A 38% 13% 49% C- A F F F A C- A+ B F+ B A+ A+ A+ 63% 13% 24% F A- F D+ F F D C+ D+
1.19 57% 29% 52% +12 +1 1.27 10% 0.7 .06 12% .36 83% .30 1.11 49% 25% 20% -13 +3 0.82 41% 1.0 .43 9% .38 65% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 25.9 25.9 1st
2nd 21.9 52.2 74.1 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 21.9 78.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 33.2% 25.9    25.9
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total 25.9% 25.9 25.9



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 78.1% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 5.1 72.9
9-5 21.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.7 21.2
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 16.0 94.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.1% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 24.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 32.9%
Lose Out 7.4%