Creighton
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#33
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#31
Pace69.7#150
Improvement+2.4#76

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#39
First Shot+9.6#10
After Offensive Rebound-3.1#333
Layup/Dunks+4.4#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.3#2
Freethrows+0.2#160
Improvement+1.3#104

Defense
Total Defense+6.4#36
First Shot+7.2#15
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#257
Layups/Dunks+3.0#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows+5.3#1
Improvement+1.1#122
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.9% 4.9% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 16.2% 19.4% 7.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.2% 87.1% 72.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80.9% 85.3% 69.3%
Average Seed 8.0 7.8 8.6
.500 or above 99.3% 99.9% 97.8%
.500 or above in Conference 97.5% 99.0% 93.4%
Conference Champion 13.4% 16.6% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.5% 5.6% 8.9%
First Round80.0% 84.4% 67.7%
Second Round43.4% 47.6% 31.8%
Sweet Sixteen13.4% 15.1% 8.7%
Elite Eight4.9% 5.6% 3.2%
Final Four1.7% 2.0% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 73.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 43 - 4
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 7
Quad 26 - 412 - 11
Quad 35 - 117 - 12
Quad 45 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 247   UT Rio Grande Valley W 99-86 96%     1 - 0 +5.5 +13.4 -9.1
  Nov 10, 2024 328   Fairleigh Dickinson W 96-70 98%     2 - 0 +12.8 +5.3 +4.8
  Nov 13, 2024 316   Houston Christian W 78-43 98%     3 - 0 +23.4 +2.4 +22.3
  Nov 16, 2024 223   UMKC W 79-56 95%     4 - 0 +16.7 +3.9 +12.7
  Nov 22, 2024 52   Nebraska L 63-74 69%     4 - 1 -3.2 -6.8 +3.8
  Nov 26, 2024 47   San Diego St. L 53-71 58%     4 - 2 -7.1 -6.4 -2.0
  Nov 27, 2024 21   Texas A&M L 73-77 41%     4 - 3 +11.3 +7.4 +4.0
  Nov 30, 2024 77   Notre Dame W 80-76 71%     5 - 3 +11.3 +8.3 +2.9
  Dec 04, 2024 6   Kansas W 76-63 35%     6 - 3 +29.8 +13.6 +16.2
  Dec 07, 2024 99   UNLV W 83-65 84%     7 - 3 +20.2 +14.9 +6.2
  Dec 14, 2024 7   @ Alabama L 75-83 19%     7 - 4 +14.2 +4.9 +9.7
  Dec 18, 2024 72   @ Georgetown L 57-81 59%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -13.5 -6.2 -8.1
  Dec 21, 2024 42   Villanova W 86-79 65%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +15.9 +24.7 -7.9
  Dec 31, 2024 16   St. John's W 57-56 47%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +14.7 -2.2 +17.0
  Jan 03, 2025 20   @ Marquette L 71-79 30%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +10.3 +6.2 +4.3
  Jan 11, 2025 84   @ Butler W 80-76 63%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +13.5 +11.3 +2.3
  Jan 14, 2025 81   Providence W 84-64 79%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +24.4 +11.2 +12.8
  Jan 18, 2025 24   @ Connecticut W 68-63 32%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +22.8 +13.3 +10.5
  Jan 21, 2025 106   @ DePaul W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 25, 2025 132   Seton Hall W 75-61 91%    
  Jan 29, 2025 41   Xavier W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 01, 2025 42   @ Villanova L 72-73 44%    
  Feb 05, 2025 81   @ Providence W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 20   Marquette W 74-73 52%    
  Feb 11, 2025 24   Connecticut W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 16, 2025 16   @ St. John's L 70-76 27%    
  Feb 23, 2025 72   Georgetown W 75-67 77%    
  Feb 26, 2025 106   DePaul W 80-68 87%    
  Mar 01, 2025 41   @ Xavier L 73-75 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 132   @ Seton Hall W 72-64 77%    
  Mar 08, 2025 84   Butler W 79-70 80%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 4.0 5.2 2.7 0.6 13.4 1st
2nd 0.0 1.7 7.7 9.1 3.1 0.3 21.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.3 8.9 9.5 2.4 0.0 23.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 8.2 8.4 1.5 0.0 20.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 4.9 4.9 1.0 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 2.8 2.6 0.7 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.6 9.8 16.2 20.0 19.5 15.5 8.3 3.0 0.6 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.6    0.5 0.0
17-3 89.7% 2.7    2.1 0.6
16-4 62.9% 5.2    2.3 2.5 0.4 0.0
15-5 26.0% 4.0    0.8 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 4.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.4% 13.4 5.8 5.4 1.8 0.4 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 29.1% 70.9% 2.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.0% 100.0% 24.9% 75.1% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
16-4 8.3% 99.3% 20.6% 78.7% 5.8 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.0 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.1 99.1%
15-5 15.5% 98.5% 18.0% 80.6% 7.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.1 5.1 3.8 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 98.2%
14-6 19.5% 95.5% 13.2% 82.3% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.2 6.4 4.2 1.7 0.2 0.9 94.9%
13-7 20.0% 88.5% 9.1% 79.4% 8.8 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.8 5.9 3.7 1.0 2.3 87.3%
12-8 16.2% 79.2% 8.2% 71.0% 9.4 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.9 4.5 2.0 0.0 3.4 77.3%
11-9 9.8% 56.4% 4.9% 51.5% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.3 0.1 4.3 54.2%
10-10 4.6% 27.0% 3.2% 23.8% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.1 3.4 24.6%
9-11 1.7% 5.8% 1.2% 4.7% 11.0 0.1 1.6 4.7%
8-12 0.6% 0.6
7-13 0.1% 0.1
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 83.2% 11.8% 71.4% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 4.7 7.6 14.0 17.8 16.3 12.4 6.2 0.2 16.9 80.9%