Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.3#66
Expected Predictive Rating+6.0#86
Pace69.3#141
Improvement+0.1#186

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#42
First Shot+4.4#69
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#78
Layup/Dunks-3.9#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#148
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#73
Freethrows+4.3#9
Improvement+1.5#110

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#111
First Shot+1.4#132
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#123
Layups/Dunks-0.4#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#51
Freethrows+1.7#68
Improvement-1.4#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 1.8% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.8 11.5 12.8
.500 or above 8.9% 13.6% 1.9%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
First Round1.3% 1.6% 0.8%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: DePaul (Away) - 60.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 66 - 16
Quad 34 - 110 - 17
Quad 45 - 115 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 219   Missouri St. W 72-65 90%     1 - 0 +1.3 +0.7 +0.8
  Nov 08, 2024 276   Austin Peay L 66-68 94%     1 - 1 -11.0 -6.4 -4.7
  Nov 11, 2024 302   Western Michigan W 85-65 95%     2 - 1 +9.6 +6.7 +2.8
  Nov 15, 2024 37   SMU W 81-70 43%     3 - 1 +21.0 +12.0 +9.1
  Nov 22, 2024 214   Merrimack W 78-39 89%     4 - 1 +33.8 +18.8 +20.8
  Nov 28, 2024 58   Northwestern W 71-69 42%     5 - 1 +12.3 +7.0 +5.4
  Nov 29, 2024 28   Mississippi St. W 87-77 27%     6 - 1 +24.7 +18.3 +6.1
  Dec 03, 2024 338   Eastern Illinois W 73-58 97%     7 - 1 +1.0 +0.3 +1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 3   @ Houston L 51-79 7%     7 - 2 -3.0 -2.2 -4.9
  Dec 10, 2024 136   North Dakota St. L 68-71 82%     7 - 3 -4.2 +0.1 -4.7
  Dec 14, 2024 7   Wisconsin L 74-83 16%     7 - 4 +9.7 +9.6 -0.2
  Dec 18, 2024 29   @ Marquette L 70-80 20%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +7.3 +13.2 -7.0
  Dec 21, 2024 32   Connecticut L 74-78 38%     7 - 6 0 - 2 +7.6 +6.0 +1.5
  Jan 01, 2025 43   Villanova L 65-73 46%     7 - 7 0 - 3 +1.2 +2.0 -1.8
  Jan 04, 2025 14   @ St. John's L 62-70 13%     7 - 8 0 - 4 +12.4 -3.2 +16.5
  Jan 08, 2025 79   @ Providence L 65-84 44%     7 - 9 0 - 5 -9.2 -1.7 -8.3
  Jan 11, 2025 31   Creighton L 76-80 36%     7 - 10 0 - 6 +7.9 +10.0 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2025 167   Seton Hall W 82-77 85%     8 - 10 1 - 6 +2.1 +18.0 -15.4
  Jan 21, 2025 32   @ Connecticut L 78-80 OT 21%     8 - 11 1 - 7 +14.7 +11.4 +3.2
  Jan 25, 2025 120   DePaul W 86-69 78%     9 - 11 2 - 7 +17.0 +21.3 -2.7
  Jan 28, 2025 29   Marquette L 69-78 35%     9 - 12 2 - 8 +3.2 +6.7 -4.1
  Jan 31, 2025 73   @ Georgetown L 70-73 42%     9 - 13 2 - 9 +7.3 +8.6 -1.4
  Feb 05, 2025 167   @ Seton Hall W 84-54 72%     10 - 13 3 - 9 +32.2 +18.2 +15.0
  Feb 08, 2025 79   Providence W 82-81 64%     11 - 13 4 - 9 +5.7 +12.5 -6.8
  Feb 15, 2025 73   Georgetown W 97-86 62%     12 - 13 5 - 9 +16.2 +21.2 -5.9
  Feb 18, 2025 42   @ Xavier L 63-76 28%     12 - 14 5 - 10 +1.5 -8.7 +11.5
  Feb 22, 2025 120   @ DePaul W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 26, 2025 14   St. John's L 70-77 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 43   @ Villanova L 70-76 27%    
  Mar 05, 2025 42   Xavier L 76-77 48%    
  Mar 08, 2025 31   @ Creighton L 71-80 19%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.4 0.2 0.6 6th
7th 2.1 6.6 4.1 0.2 13.0 7th
8th 2.9 17.4 10.8 1.2 32.4 8th
9th 10.3 27.6 14.4 1.5 0.0 53.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 10.5 30.5 33.9 19.0 5.7 0.5 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.5% 31.3% 6.3% 25.0% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 26.7%
9-11 5.7% 7.6% 2.6% 4.9% 10.9 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.3 5.1%
8-12 19.0% 1.6% 1.6% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 18.6 0.1%
7-13 33.9% 1.0% 1.0% 12.2 0.3 0.1 33.6
6-14 30.5% 0.5% 0.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 30.4
5-15 10.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.1 10.4
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.6 0.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.1%