Butler
Big East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#93
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#250
Pace70.4#145
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#91
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.4#100
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 1.1% 1.7% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 12.9% 5.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 8.0% 11.7% 4.4%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.4
.500 or above 32.4% 43.4% 21.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.7% 30.1% 19.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 18.8% 15.0% 22.6%
First Four2.0% 2.8% 1.3%
First Round8.0% 11.5% 4.4%
Second Round3.6% 5.3% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.6% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Home) - 49.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 55 - 14
Quad 34 - 29 - 17
Quad 45 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 195   Missouri St. W 72-65 84%     1 - 0 +2.1 +1.3 +1.1
  Nov 08, 2024 215   Austin Peay L 66-68 86%     1 - 1 -7.9 -5.7 -2.3
  Nov 11, 2024 311   Western Michigan W 85-65 93%     2 - 1 +8.9 +6.8 +2.0
  Nov 15, 2024 63   SMU L 78-79 50%    
  Nov 22, 2024 206   Merrimack W 73-62 84%    
  Nov 28, 2024 50   Northwestern L 67-71 35%    
  Dec 03, 2024 336   Eastern Illinois W 84-65 96%    
  Dec 07, 2024 2   @ Houston L 59-76 6%    
  Dec 10, 2024 222   North Dakota St. W 80-68 85%    
  Dec 14, 2024 38   Wisconsin L 68-74 31%    
  Dec 18, 2024 29   @ Marquette L 69-79 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 1   Connecticut L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 01, 2025 77   Villanova W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 04, 2025 18   @ St. John's L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 08, 2025 84   @ Providence L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 16   Creighton L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 97   Seton Hall W 67-64 62%    
  Jan 21, 2025 1   @ Connecticut L 61-79 6%    
  Jan 25, 2025 114   DePaul W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 28, 2025 29   Marquette L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 31, 2025 105   @ Georgetown L 73-75 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 97   @ Seton Hall L 64-67 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 84   Providence W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 15, 2025 105   Georgetown W 76-72 63%    
  Feb 18, 2025 41   @ Xavier L 74-82 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 114   @ DePaul L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 26, 2025 18   St. John's L 73-78 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   @ Villanova L 69-74 34%    
  Mar 05, 2025 41   Xavier L 77-79 43%    
  Mar 08, 2025 16   @ Creighton L 69-80 17%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 6.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.3 2.7 0.8 0.1 8.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.5 3.0 0.8 0.1 10.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 14.0 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.8 5.6 3.2 0.6 0.0 14.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.1 5.1 2.4 0.4 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.3 1.2 2.7 3.6 2.9 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.1 11th
Total 0.3 1.2 3.1 5.3 8.0 10.7 12.0 12.4 11.9 10.4 8.1 6.2 4.4 2.9 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 70.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 49.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 18.0% 82.0% 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 95.9% 16.5% 79.4% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.1%
15-5 0.8% 94.4% 9.9% 84.5% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 93.8%
14-6 1.8% 83.4% 8.1% 75.3% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 82.0%
13-7 2.9% 66.4% 5.2% 61.2% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.0 64.5%
12-8 4.4% 41.9% 2.5% 39.4% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.6 40.4%
11-9 6.2% 24.3% 2.4% 21.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.1 4.7 22.4%
10-10 8.1% 8.0% 1.2% 6.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.4 6.9%
9-11 10.4% 2.1% 0.8% 1.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.2 1.3%
8-12 11.9% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.2%
7-13 12.4% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.4
6-14 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 12.0
5-15 10.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 10.7
4-16 8.0% 8.0
3-17 5.3% 5.3
2-18 3.1% 3.1
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 9.0% 1.0% 8.0% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.0 8.0%