Butler
Big East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#44
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#25
Pace74.3#69
Improvement+1.0#105

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#46
First Shot+2.8#104
After Offensive Rebound+4.1#18
Layup/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#87
Freethrows+1.2#125
Improvement+1.2#85

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#62
First Shot+4.1#59
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#169
Layups/Dunks-7.0#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#11
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#48
Freethrows+3.8#14
Improvement-0.2#209
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 4.0% 5.0% 1.7%
Top 6 Seed 14.4% 17.4% 8.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 62.1% 67.2% 51.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 59.9% 65.1% 49.0%
Average Seed 8.1 7.9 8.5
.500 or above 93.3% 96.2% 87.2%
.500 or above in Conference 68.7% 72.1% 61.3%
Conference Champion 4.0% 4.6% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.9% 3.7%
First Four8.5% 8.2% 9.0%
First Round57.4% 62.6% 46.3%
Second Round29.5% 33.2% 21.7%
Sweet Sixteen8.5% 9.9% 5.4%
Elite Eight2.7% 3.2% 1.7%
Final Four0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Boise St. (Home) - 67.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 8
Quad 26 - 310 - 11
Quad 35 - 115 - 12
Quad 46 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Wed, Nov 5 317 Southern Indiana W 88-58 97%     1 - 0 +18.4 +5.1 +11.3
  Sat, Nov 8 354 IU Indianapolis W 112-80 99%     2 - 0 +15.9 +4.0 +4.7
  Tue, Nov 11 350 Chicago St. W 98-66 98%     3 - 0 +17.2 +12.8 +3.0
  Sat, Nov 15 40 @SMU L 85-87 36%     3 - 1 +12.9 +13.5 -0.4
  Fri, Nov 21 89 South Carolina W 79-72 70%     4 - 1 +12.8 +10.1 +2.8
  Sun, Nov 23 26 Virginia W 80-73 38%     5 - 1 +21.4 +12.9 +8.7
  Fri, Nov 28 160 Wright St. W 94-69 91%     6 - 1 +21.7 +13.7 +6.2
  Tue, Dec 2 203 Eastern Michigan W 84-68 93%     7 - 1 +10.4 +14.4 -3.1
  Sat, Dec 6 59 Boise St. W 76-71 68%    
  Sat, Dec 13 72 Providence W 88-81 74%    
  Tue, Dec 16 5 @Connecticut L 68-80 13%    
  Sat, Dec 20 60 Northwestern W 78-76 58%    
  Mon, Dec 22 351 NJIT W 90-63 99%    
  Tue, Dec 30 45 @Creighton L 76-79 39%    
  Sat, Jan 3 39 Villanova W 74-72 58%    
  Tue, Jan 6 13 St. John's L 81-85 37%    
  Wed, Jan 14 77 @Xavier W 79-78 53%    
  Sat, Jan 17 76 @Seton Hall W 72-71 54%    
  Tue, Jan 20 121 DePaul W 82-71 85%    
  Fri, Jan 23 83 Marquette W 83-76 75%    
  Wed, Jan 28 13 @St. John's L 78-88 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 85 Georgetown W 83-75 76%    
  Wed, Feb 4 72 @Providence W 85-84 52%    
  Sat, Feb 7 83 @Marquette W 80-79 56%    
  Wed, Feb 11 5 Connecticut L 71-77 30%    
  Sun, Feb 15 76 Seton Hall W 75-68 73%    
  Wed, Feb 18 85 @Georgetown W 80-78 57%    
  Sat, Feb 21 77 Xavier W 82-75 74%    
  Wed, Feb 25 39 @Villanova L 71-75 37%    
  Wed, Mar 4 45 Creighton W 79-76 60%    
  Sat, Mar 7 121 @DePaul W 79-74 68%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.0 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.6 4.9 6.3 4.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 18.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.2 5.9 3.0 0.5 0.0 18.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.4 5.5 4.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.4 3.7 1.0 0.1 10.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.9 2.9 0.7 0.0 8.8 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 3.4 5.7 8.5 10.6 12.4 13.7 12.7 11.3 8.2 5.3 3.0 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 91.6% 0.4    0.4 0.1
17-3 71.8% 1.1    0.7 0.3 0.1
16-4 45.1% 1.3    0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 13.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.0% 4.0 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 48.3% 51.7% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.5% 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.5% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 3.0% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 4.9 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 100.0%
15-5 5.3% 99.9% 16.0% 83.9% 5.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 8.2% 98.8% 11.4% 87.4% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.6%
13-7 11.3% 95.8% 7.2% 88.6% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.6 2.9 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.5 95.5%
12-8 12.7% 88.8% 5.5% 83.3% 8.6 0.1 0.6 1.4 2.9 3.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 1.4 88.1%
11-9 13.7% 74.6% 4.3% 70.3% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.8 3.5 1.7 0.0 3.5 73.4%
10-10 12.4% 59.3% 2.3% 57.0% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.9 2.3 0.0 5.0 58.3%
9-11 10.6% 28.6% 1.6% 27.0% 10.6 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.8 0.1 7.5 27.4%
8-12 8.5% 9.7% 0.9% 8.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 7.7 8.8%
7-13 5.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.6 0.7%
6-14 3.4% 0.5% 0.5% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.4
5-15 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 1.9
4-16 0.9% 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 62.1% 5.5% 56.6% 8.1 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.3 8.1 10.1 11.0 10.9 7.3 0.3 0.0 37.9 59.9%