Eastern Illinois
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#336
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#136
Pace75.0#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#343
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-4.1#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 11.1% 4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 14.1% 40.7% 13.7%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 61.7% 37.6%
Conference Champion 4.7% 10.9% 4.6%
Last Place in Conference 18.7% 8.5% 18.8%
First Four2.7% 4.5% 2.7%
First Round2.5% 8.3% 2.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 7
Quad 410 - 1210 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 20   @ Illinois L 67-112 2%     0 - 1 -28.8 -9.6 -12.0
  Nov 10, 2024 24   @ Indiana L 55-90 2%     0 - 2 -19.2 -11.4 -6.8
  Nov 15, 2024 50   @ Northwestern L 58-81 1%    
  Nov 19, 2024 114   @ DePaul L 67-84 5%    
  Nov 24, 2024 278   @ Valparaiso L 70-78 25%    
  Nov 29, 2024 294   Northern Illinois L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 03, 2024 93   @ Butler L 65-84 4%    
  Dec 14, 2024 225   @ Eastern Kentucky L 72-82 18%    
  Dec 19, 2024 321   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 72-77 34%    
  Dec 21, 2024 279   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 02, 2025 351   Lindenwood W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 04, 2025 312   Western Illinois W 69-68 51%    
  Jan 07, 2025 293   SIU Edwardsville L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 09, 2025 325   Tennessee Tech W 73-71 56%    
  Jan 16, 2025 314   @ Tennessee Martin L 76-81 33%    
  Jan 18, 2025 306   @ Tennessee St. L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 274   Morehead St. L 67-69 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 317   Southern Indiana W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 312   @ Western Illinois L 66-72 31%    
  Feb 01, 2025 351   @ Lindenwood L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 04, 2025 293   @ SIU Edwardsville L 68-75 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 325   @ Tennessee Tech L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 13, 2025 306   Tennessee St. L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 314   Tennessee Martin W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 20, 2025 317   @ Southern Indiana L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 274   @ Morehead St. L 64-72 26%    
  Feb 27, 2025 279   Arkansas Little Rock L 75-76 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 321   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-74 55%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 2.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 6.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 3.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 7.5 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 3.6 3.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.7 0.8 0.1 9.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.3 1.2 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 4.3 1.5 0.1 10.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.9 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 4.0 3.8 1.6 0.2 12.8 10th
11th 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.2 3.5 2.4 0.7 0.1 12.8 11th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.0 3.9 6.0 7.9 9.4 10.5 10.8 10.5 9.8 8.5 6.7 5.0 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 100.0% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 93.1% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
16-4 80.5% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
15-5 55.4% 1.3    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-6 28.3% 1.0    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-7 8.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.3% 43.4% 43.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 36.7% 36.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-4 1.2% 32.3% 32.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8
15-5 2.3% 28.5% 28.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6
14-6 3.5% 19.5% 19.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.8
13-7 5.0% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.4
12-8 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.6 6.2
11-9 8.5% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 8.1
10-10 9.8% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 9.5
9-11 10.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 10.4
8-12 10.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.8
7-13 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.4
6-14 9.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.4
5-15 7.9% 7.9
4-16 6.0% 6.0
3-17 3.9% 3.9
2-18 2.0% 2.0
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 3.5 95.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%