IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.4	#306
Expected Predictive Rating	-13.5	#336

Pace	69.9	#166
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.4	#281

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.5%	12.9%	7.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	38.5%	44.7%	22.2%
.500 or above in Conference	64.8%	68.8%	54.2%
Conference Champion	13.4%	15.0%	9.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.1%	4.7%	9.8%

First Four	8.5%	9.2%	6.5%
First Round	7.2%	8.3%	4.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Alabama A&M (Home) - 72.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 5
Quad 4	13 - 11	13 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	91	@ Colorado St.	L	79-87 OT	7%	0 - 1			+0.7	+0.7	+1.2
Nov 10, 2024	196	@ Wyoming	L	66-81	21%	0 - 2			-13.9	-7.2	-6.5
Nov 13, 2024	246	Howard	L	84-88 OT	37%	0 - 3			-8.2	+3.5	-11.4
Nov 16, 2024	340	Alabama A&M	W	77-70	73%
Nov 25, 2024	179	@ Chattanooga	L	68-78	19%
Nov 26, 2024	193	Bryant	L	76-82	31%
Dec 01, 2024	211	UNC Asheville	L	73-75	44%
Dec 10, 2024	118	@ Western Kentucky	L	73-87	11%
Dec 19, 2024	317	@ Southern Indiana	L	70-72	44%
Dec 21, 2024	274	@ Morehead St.	L	65-69	35%
Jan 02, 2025	321	Southeast Missouri St.	W	76-71	66%
Jan 04, 2025	279	Arkansas Little Rock	W	75-73	56%
Jan 09, 2025	351	@ Lindenwood	W	72-70	59%
Jan 11, 2025	312	@ Western Illinois	L	67-69	42%
Jan 16, 2025	293	SIU Edwardsville	W	72-70	59%
Jan 18, 2025	336	Eastern Illinois	W	77-71	70%
Jan 21, 2025	314	Tennessee Martin	W	79-75	64%
Jan 23, 2025	325	Tennessee Tech	W	74-69	66%
Jan 30, 2025	279	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	72-76	36%
Feb 01, 2025	321	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	73-74	46%
Feb 06, 2025	312	Western Illinois	W	70-66	63%
Feb 08, 2025	351	Lindenwood	W	75-67	76%
Feb 13, 2025	336	@ Eastern Illinois	W	75-74	51%
Feb 15, 2025	293	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	69-73	38%
Feb 18, 2025	314	@ Tennessee Martin	L	76-78	43%
Feb 22, 2025	325	@ Tennessee Tech	L	71-72	46%
Feb 27, 2025	274	Morehead St.	W	68-66	56%
Mar 01, 2025	317	Southern Indiana	W	73-69	64%
Projected Record						13 - 15	11 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.7	2.2	3.3	3.1	2.3	1.2	0.4	0.1		13.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	1.4	3.7	4.0	2.4	0.8	0.1	0.0				12.6	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	4.2	4.1	1.5	0.3	0.0						11.6	3rd
4th										0.0	1.1	4.4	4.2	1.3	0.2								11.1	4th
5th									0.1	0.9	3.8	4.3	1.1	0.1									10.3	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.2	4.1	1.1	0.1										9.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.0	0.5	2.7	3.8	1.4	0.1											8.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.5	2.3	3.4	1.6	0.1												7.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.6	1.8	2.7	1.3	0.1													6.6	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	0.8	1.6	1.8	0.9	0.1	0.0													5.4	10th
11th	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0														3.6	11th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.8	3.1	4.5	6.5	8.2	9.6	10.7	11.3	11.1	9.8	7.8	6.1	3.9	2.5	1.2	0.4	0.1			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
19-1	100.0%	0.4		0.4	0.0
18-2	98.9%	1.2		1.2	0.0
17-3	94.0%	2.3		2.0	0.3
16-4	78.3%	3.1		2.2	0.8	0.1
15-5	54.5%	3.3		1.8	1.3	0.2	0.0
14-6	27.7%	2.2		0.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-7	7.4%	0.7		0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-8	0.7%	0.1				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	13.4%	13.4		8.6	3.5	1.0	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.1%		55.2%	55.2%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
19-1	0.4%		56.7%	56.7%		14.7														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
18-2	1.2%		47.1%	47.1%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6
17-3	2.5%		39.8%	39.8%		15.7														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.5
16-4	3.9%		40.4%	40.4%		15.9															0.0	0.2	1.4	2.3
15-5	6.1%		30.4%	30.4%		16.0																0.1	1.8	4.2
14-6	7.8%		27.0%	27.0%		16.0																0.0	2.1	5.7
13-7	9.8%		17.4%	17.4%		16.0																0.0	1.7	8.1
12-8	11.1%		10.6%	10.6%		16.0																	1.2	9.9
11-9	11.3%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.6	10.7
10-10	10.7%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.3	10.4
9-11	9.6%		1.9%	1.9%		16.0																	0.2	9.5
8-12	8.2%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	8.1
7-13	6.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
6-14	4.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.5
5-15	3.1%																							3.1
4-16	1.8%																							1.8
3-17	1.0%																							1.0
2-18	0.3%																							0.3
1-19	0.1%																							0.1
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		11.5%	11.5%	0.0%	15.9													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	10.3	88.5		0.0%