IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.1	#321
Expected Predictive Rating	-15.2	#353

Pace	75.0	#44
Improvement	-1.7	#287

Offense
Total Offense	-4.8	#313

First Shot	-6.5	#343
After Offensive Rebound	+1.7	#91

Layup/Dunks	+3.7	#62
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#131
3 Pt Jumpshots	-7.9	#356
Freethrows	-2.9	#330

Improvement	-1.0	#266

Defense
Total Defense	-4.3	#305

First Shot	-4.3	#311
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.0	#182

Layups/Dunks	-3.1	#289
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.3	#176
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.2	#202
Freethrows	-1.2	#268

Improvement	-0.7	#250

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.3%	8.8%	3.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.9	16.0

.500 or above	13.7%	25.0%	9.1%
.500 or above in Conference	46.6%	65.2%	39.1%
Conference Champion	6.0%	12.6%	3.3%
Last Place in Conference	12.5%	5.1%	15.4%

First Four	4.7%	7.5%	3.5%
First Round	3.0%	5.1%	2.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Southern Indiana (Away) - 28.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	0 - 4	0 - 6
Quad 4	11 - 12	11 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2024	108	@ Colorado St.	L	79-87 OT	7%	0 - 1			-0.9	+0.1	+0.1
Nov 10, 2024	187	@ Wyoming	L	66-81	16%	0 - 2			-13.3	-5.6	-7.5
Nov 13, 2024	254	Howard	L	84-88 OT	35%	0 - 3			-9.2	+2.1	-11.1
Nov 16, 2024	361	Alabama A&M	W	81-71	79%	1 - 3			-7.7	-11.3	+2.1
Nov 25, 2024	178	@ Chattanooga	L	78-85	15%	1 - 4			-4.9	-2.4	-1.9
Nov 26, 2024	176	Bryant	L	85-97	22%	1 - 5			-12.8	-1.2	-9.9
Dec 01, 2024	182	UNC Asheville	L	74-92	31%	1 - 6			-22.1	-4.4	-17.0
Dec 10, 2024	106	@ Western Kentucky	L	60-84	7%	1 - 7			-16.7	-10.8	-4.2
Dec 19, 2024	281	@ Southern Indiana	L	72-78	29%
Dec 21, 2024	279	@ Morehead St.	L	71-77	29%
Jan 02, 2025	297	Southeast Missouri St.	W	75-74	54%
Jan 04, 2025	244	Arkansas Little Rock	L	72-73	44%
Jan 09, 2025	347	@ Lindenwood	L	73-74	49%
Jan 11, 2025	328	@ Western Illinois	L	70-72	42%
Jan 16, 2025	263	SIU Edwardsville	L	72-73	48%
Jan 18, 2025	322	Eastern Illinois	W	73-70	61%
Jan 21, 2025	327	Tennessee Martin	W	78-74	63%
Jan 23, 2025	332	Tennessee Tech	W	77-73	65%
Jan 30, 2025	244	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	69-76	25%
Feb 01, 2025	297	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	72-77	33%
Feb 06, 2025	328	Western Illinois	W	73-69	63%
Feb 08, 2025	347	Lindenwood	W	77-71	70%
Feb 13, 2025	322	@ Eastern Illinois	L	70-73	39%
Feb 15, 2025	263	@ SIU Edwardsville	L	69-76	28%
Feb 18, 2025	327	@ Tennessee Martin	L	75-77	42%
Feb 22, 2025	332	@ Tennessee Tech	L	74-76	44%
Feb 27, 2025	279	Morehead St.	W	74-73	50%
Mar 01, 2025	281	Southern Indiana	W	76-75	50%
Projected Record						10 - 18	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	1.7	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0		6.0	1st
2nd												0.1	1.3	2.7	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.0	0.0				7.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.6	3.8	2.3	0.6	0.1	0.0						8.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.4	4.3	3.0	0.6	0.0								9.4	4th
5th									0.0	1.1	4.5	3.5	0.7	0.0									9.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.8	4.1	4.4	0.9	0.0										10.2	6th
7th							0.0	0.6	3.6	5.0	1.3	0.1											10.6	7th
8th						0.0	0.6	3.1	5.0	1.8	0.1												10.7	8th
9th					0.1	0.7	2.9	4.4	2.1	0.2	0.0												10.4	9th
10th			0.0	0.3	1.0	2.8	3.3	1.8	0.2	0.0													9.4	10th
11th	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.5	2.1	2.0	0.9	0.2	0.0														7.5	11th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.7	3.2	5.5	7.7	10.1	11.8	12.4	11.8	10.5	8.9	6.2	4.3	2.7	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1
18-2	99.1%	0.2		0.2	0.0
17-3	96.8%	0.5		0.5	0.0
16-4	85.4%	1.2		1.0	0.2	0.0
15-5	65.2%	1.7		1.0	0.6	0.1	0.0
14-6	33.9%	1.5		0.5	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-7	9.8%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-8	1.3%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-9	0.0%	0.0							0.0	0.0
10-10	0.0%

Total	6.0%	6.0		3.4	1.8	0.6	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
19-1	0.1%		53.6%	53.6%		14.5													0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
18-2	0.2%		42.2%	42.2%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-3	0.6%		37.1%	37.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4
16-4	1.4%		32.0%	32.0%		16.0																0.0	0.4	1.0
15-5	2.7%		25.2%	25.2%		16.0																0.0	0.7	2.0
14-6	4.3%		21.6%	21.6%		16.0																0.0	0.9	3.4
13-7	6.2%		16.0%	16.0%		16.0																	1.0	5.2
12-8	8.9%		9.5%	9.5%		16.0																	0.8	8.0
11-9	10.5%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.6	9.9
10-10	11.8%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.3	11.5
9-11	12.4%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																	0.2	12.2
8-12	11.8%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
7-13	10.1%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
6-14	7.7%																							7.7
5-15	5.5%																							5.5
4-16	3.2%																							3.2
3-17	1.7%																							1.7
2-18	0.7%																							0.7
1-19	0.2%																							0.2
0-20	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		5.3%	5.3%	0.0%	16.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	5.2	94.7		0.0%