Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#187
Expected Predictive Rating-1.9#196
Pace67.6#218
Improvement+0.5#144

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot-1.5#214
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#200
Layup/Dunks+0.5#167
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#108
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#326
Freethrows+1.8#83
Improvement-0.7#249

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#152
First Shot-0.3#177
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#120
Layups/Dunks+1.8#108
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#49
Freethrows-2.0#305
Improvement+1.3#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.4 13.8
.500 or above 14.8% 16.1% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 11.8% 12.3% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.6% 12.8% 19.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Bellarmine (Home) - 87.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 6
Quad 21 - 61 - 12
Quad 33 - 54 - 17
Quad 48 - 212 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 321   Tennessee St. W 81-66 84%     1 - 0 +2.9 +1.5 +1.2
  Nov 13, 2024 25   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 6%     1 - 1 -30.2 -16.3 -14.3
  Nov 16, 2024 298   Utah Tech W 86-69 80%     2 - 1 +6.7 +4.7 +1.4
  Nov 22, 2024 230   SE Louisiana W 64-61 70%     3 - 1 -3.7 -8.5 +4.8
  Nov 26, 2024 203   Tulane W 64-63 53%     4 - 1 -1.1 -6.9 +5.8
  Nov 27, 2024 189   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 50%     4 - 2 -4.4 +1.3 -5.8
  Dec 04, 2024 47   @ Utah St. L 67-70 9%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +10.7 +11.2 -0.9
  Dec 10, 2024 228   @ South Dakota L 81-82 47%     4 - 4 -1.6 -3.2 +1.7
  Dec 14, 2024 44   BYU L 49-68 13%     4 - 5 -8.0 -12.2 +1.1
  Dec 19, 2024 333   Bellarmine W 78-66 88%    
  Dec 22, 2024 278   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 68-66 57%    
  Dec 28, 2024 54   Nevada L 64-72 22%    
  Dec 31, 2024 58   Boise St. L 66-74 24%    
  Jan 04, 2025 267   @ Air Force W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 07, 2025 71   New Mexico L 74-80 29%    
  Jan 14, 2025 58   @ Boise St. L 63-77 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 108   Colorado St. L 68-70 41%    
  Jan 21, 2025 113   @ UNLV L 65-73 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 185   @ San Jose St. L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 28, 2025 256   Fresno St. W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 45   @ San Diego St. L 60-75 9%    
  Feb 04, 2025 47   Utah St. L 68-77 21%    
  Feb 08, 2025 113   UNLV L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 12, 2025 71   @ New Mexico L 71-83 14%    
  Feb 15, 2025 108   @ Colorado St. L 65-73 23%    
  Feb 18, 2025 267   Air Force W 69-62 75%    
  Feb 22, 2025 185   San Jose St. W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 25, 2025 54   @ Nevada L 61-75 10%    
  Mar 01, 2025 45   San Diego St. L 63-72 20%    
  Mar 04, 2025 256   @ Fresno St. W 73-72 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.9 2.9 1.0 0.1 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.3 5.7 4.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 15.8 7th
8th 0.2 2.6 6.9 8.6 5.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 24.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.0 7.8 7.0 2.8 0.5 0.0 22.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 3.7 5.5 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 14.5 10th
11th 0.2 1.0 2.4 2.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.6 11th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.2 6.8 11.0 14.1 15.5 15.0 12.4 9.0 5.8 3.1 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 39.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 4.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 6.3% 6.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.3% 5.2% 5.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-7 0.8% 4.2% 4.2% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-8 1.6% 2.5% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.6
11-9 3.1% 1.4% 1.4% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.1
10-10 5.8% 1.0% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
9-11 9.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
8-12 12.4% 0.4% 0.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-13 15.0% 0.3% 0.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 14.9
6-14 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-15 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.1
4-16 11.0% 11.0
3-17 6.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-18 3.2% 3.2
1-19 1.0% 1.0
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.6 0.0%