Wyoming
Mountain West
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#186
Expected Predictive Rating+0.6#164
Pace64.4#291
Improvement-1.3#239

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#210
First Shot+0.3#165
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#284
Layup/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#152
Freethrows+0.1#167
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#167
First Shot-1.1#213
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#80
Layups/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#129
Freethrows-0.8#248
Improvement-0.9#229
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.5
.500 or above 8.6% 22.3% 5.3%
.500 or above in Conference 3.9% 11.7% 2.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.5% 2.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 50 - 7
Quad 22 - 62 - 13
Quad 33 - 45 - 17
Quad 48 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2024 301   Tennessee St. W 81-66 81%     1 - 0 +4.4 +3.3 +0.9
  Nov 13, 2024 17   @ Texas Tech L 49-96 4%     1 - 1 -27.8 -15.5 -12.6
  Nov 16, 2024 284   Utah Tech W 86-69 80%     2 - 1 +7.1 +5.0 +1.5
  Nov 22, 2024 220   SE Louisiana W 64-61 68%     3 - 1 -3.0 -9.4 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2024 148   Tulane W 64-63 41%     4 - 1 +2.1 -5.3 +7.5
  Nov 27, 2024 152   Loyola Marymount L 70-73 42%     4 - 2 -2.2 +3.1 -5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 54   @ Utah St. L 67-70 10%     4 - 3 0 - 1 +10.0 +9.7 -0.2
  Dec 10, 2024 268   @ South Dakota L 81-82 58%     4 - 4 -4.3 -5.2 +1.0
  Dec 14, 2024 44   BYU L 49-68 12%     4 - 5 -7.6 -11.5 +0.9
  Dec 19, 2024 353   Bellarmine W 92-55 91%     5 - 5 +20.8 +17.7 +7.1
  Dec 22, 2024 309   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 73-69 67%     6 - 5 -1.7 +11.2 -12.1
  Dec 28, 2024 68   Nevada W 66-63 27%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +8.4 +2.8 +5.8
  Dec 31, 2024 57   Boise St. L 58-67 22%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -2.0 -5.1 +1.9
  Jan 04, 2025 275   @ Air Force W 70-65 60%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +1.3 +7.8 -5.6
  Jan 07, 2025 53   New Mexico L 53-61 20%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -0.3 -13.1 +12.7
  Jan 14, 2025 57   @ Boise St. L 55-96 11%     8 - 8 2 - 4 -28.5 -11.1 -18.8
  Jan 18, 2025 76   Colorado St. L 63-79 29%     8 - 9 2 - 5 -11.5 -0.3 -12.7
  Jan 21, 2025 99   @ UNLV L 63-72 19%    
  Jan 25, 2025 160   @ San Jose St. L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 28, 2025 254   Fresno St. W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 47   @ San Diego St. L 57-72 8%    
  Feb 04, 2025 54   Utah St. L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 08, 2025 99   UNLV L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 12, 2025 53   @ New Mexico L 66-80 8%    
  Feb 15, 2025 76   @ Colorado St. L 62-73 15%    
  Feb 18, 2025 275   Air Force W 68-60 77%    
  Feb 22, 2025 160   San Jose St. W 70-69 56%    
  Feb 25, 2025 68   @ Nevada L 60-72 13%    
  Mar 01, 2025 47   San Diego St. L 60-69 19%    
  Mar 04, 2025 254   @ Fresno St. W 74-73 54%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 2.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 2.8 3.6 1.2 0.2 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.7 9.2 14.5 10.1 3.1 0.2 38.8 8th
9th 0.6 5.7 14.2 12.5 5.7 0.9 0.0 39.5 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 4.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
Total 0.4 3.4 9.9 18.1 22.0 21.4 13.8 7.3 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.1 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.1% 0.1
12-8 0.2% 0.0 0.2
11-9 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 1.1
10-10 2.6% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.0 2.6
9-11 7.3% 0.4% 0.4% 14.0 0.0 7.2
8-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 13.8
7-13 21.4% 0.3% 0.3% 15.1 0.1 0.0 21.3
6-14 22.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 22.0
5-15 18.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 18.1
4-16 9.9% 9.9
3-17 3.4% 3.4
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%