IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.6	#286
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.9	#324

Pace	58.3	#361
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#305

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.9	13.8

.500 or above	1.7%	3.6%	0.8%
.500 or above in Conference	1.7%	2.7%	1.1%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	48.0%	39.5%	52.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 33.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 6	1 - 12
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 19
Quad 4	5 - 5	8 - 24

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	177	North Alabama	L	57-73	40%	0 - 1			-19.8	-12.7	-9.0
Nov 07, 2024	210	Jacksonville St.	W	73-67	47%	1 - 1			+0.3	+5.7	-4.8
Nov 11, 2024	339	LIU Brooklyn	L	54-63	76%	1 - 2			-22.9	-14.5	-10.1
Nov 15, 2024	151	Belmont	L	67-72	34%
Nov 21, 2024	119	@ California	L	62-75	12%
Nov 24, 2024	356	Mercyhurst	W	68-57	84%
Nov 27, 2024	296	Sacramento St.	W	62-59	62%
Nov 30, 2024	189	@ Wright St.	L	68-76	23%
Dec 02, 2024	213	@ Miami (OH)	L	62-69	27%
Dec 07, 2024	287	Stony Brook	W	67-66	50%
Dec 16, 2024	192	@ Northern Colorado	L	65-73	24%
Dec 21, 2024	47	@ Boise St.	L	56-75	4%
Dec 31, 2024	94	UNLV	L	61-70	21%
Jan 04, 2025	196	Wyoming	L	65-67	44%
Jan 07, 2025	55	@ San Diego St.	L	53-72	5%
Jan 11, 2025	251	San Jose St.	W	65-64	53%
Jan 14, 2025	46	@ Nevada	L	55-75	4%
Jan 17, 2025	234	@ Fresno St.	L	65-71	30%
Jan 22, 2025	55	San Diego St.	L	56-69	14%
Jan 25, 2025	43	Utah St.	L	62-76	11%
Jan 28, 2025	91	@ Colorado St.	L	57-72	9%
Feb 01, 2025	251	@ San Jose St.	L	62-67	32%
Feb 04, 2025	46	Nevada	L	58-72	12%
Feb 08, 2025	56	New Mexico	L	68-81	14%
Feb 11, 2025	94	@ UNLV	L	58-73	10%
Feb 18, 2025	196	@ Wyoming	L	62-70	26%
Feb 22, 2025	234	Fresno St.	L	68-69	49%
Feb 25, 2025	91	Colorado St.	L	60-69	21%
Mar 01, 2025	56	@ New Mexico	L	65-84	5%
Mar 04, 2025	47	Boise St.	L	59-72	13%
Mar 08, 2025	43	@ Utah St.	L	59-79	4%
Projected Record						8 - 23	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																0.0							0.0	1st
2nd													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	3rd
4th									0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0									0.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0									0.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0										1.5	6th
7th						0.1	0.5	1.2	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0											4.4	7th
8th					0.4	2.1	3.9	3.1	1.5	0.2	0.0												11.4	8th
9th			0.0	1.5	5.2	6.5	4.1	1.2	0.2	0.0													18.8	9th
10th		0.4	4.5	9.8	8.2	3.7	0.8	0.1	0.0														27.5	10th
11th	4.2	10.0	11.8	7.1	2.0	0.4	0.0																35.5	11th

Total	4.2	10.4	16.3	18.4	15.8	12.8	9.4	5.7	3.5	1.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0								Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	25.0%	0.0		0.0
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																	0.0	0.0					0.0
14-6	0.0%																							0.0
13-7	0.1%																							0.1
12-8	0.2%		1.9%	1.9%		13.0														0.0				0.2
11-9	0.5%		2.2%	2.2%		12.7													0.0	0.0				0.5
10-10	0.9%		0.4%	0.4%		14.0															0.0			0.9
9-11	1.8%		0.2%	0.2%		14.0															0.0			1.8
8-12	3.5%																							3.5
7-13	5.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.7
6-14	9.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	9.4
5-15	12.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.8
4-16	15.8%																							15.8
3-17	18.4%																							18.4
2-18	16.3%																							16.3
1-19	10.4%																							10.4
0-20	4.2%																							4.2

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	13.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%