Air Force
Mountain West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#331
Expected Predictive Rating-10.1#308
Pace62.5#348
Improvement-0.5#222

Offense
Total Offense-6.5#338
First Shot-4.1#288
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#318
Layup/Dunks-0.2#180
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#250
Freethrows+0.4#158
Improvement+0.9#109

Defense
Total Defense-3.6#288
First Shot-2.9#269
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#241
Layups/Dunks-1.2#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#151
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-1.4#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 85.4% 81.2% 86.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Away) - 15.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 80 - 11
Quad 31 - 112 - 22
Quad 44 - 55 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 90 @Belmont L 63-79 5%     0 - 1 -7.1 -1.7 -6.3
  Sat, Nov 8 180 Austin Peay L 54-74 29%     0 - 2 -24.5 -20.2 -3.8
  Tue, Nov 11 227 LIU Brooklyn L 72-76 38%     0 - 3 -10.9 -3.5 -7.5
  Sat, Nov 15 112 Miami (OH) L 61-76 16%     0 - 4 -14.3 -9.7 -5.4
  Wed, Nov 19 276 Alabama St. W 66-64 46%     1 - 4 -7.0 -8.6 +1.7
  Fri, Nov 21 230 SIU Edwardsville W 77-63 38%     2 - 4 +7.0 +4.5 +2.8
  Sun, Nov 23 356 IU Indianapolis W 98-85 74%     3 - 4 -3.8 +4.3 -9.6
  Wed, Nov 26 157 Northern Colorado L 53-71 26%     3 - 5 -21.3 -14.3 -9.6
  Sat, Nov 29 270 South Dakota L 63-80 33%     3 - 6 -22.7 -12.9 -10.1
  Wed, Dec 3 137 Pacific L 65-80 20%     3 - 7 -16.3 +1.8 -20.3
  Sun, Dec 7 197 @Navy L 61-72 15%    
  Wed, Dec 17 56 @San Diego St. L 57-80 2%    
  Tue, Dec 30 107 Wyoming L 64-75 14%    
  Sat, Jan 3 132 @UNLV L 67-82 8%    
  Tue, Jan 6 51 Utah St. L 60-78 5%    
  Sat, Jan 10 84 New Mexico L 65-79 10%    
  Tue, Jan 13 182 @San Jose St. L 60-72 15%    
  Sat, Jan 17 106 Nevada L 62-74 15%    
  Tue, Jan 20 72 @Colorado St. L 59-80 3%    
  Sat, Jan 24 52 @Boise St. L 54-77 2%    
  Sat, Jan 31 183 Fresno St. L 66-72 31%    
  Tue, Feb 3 99 @Grand Canyon L 58-76 5%    
  Sat, Feb 7 56 San Diego St. L 60-77 6%    
  Tue, Feb 10 72 Colorado St. L 62-77 8%    
  Sat, Feb 14 183 @Fresno St. L 63-75 15%    
  Tue, Feb 17 84 @New Mexico L 62-82 4%    
  Sat, Feb 21 132 UNLV L 70-79 21%    
  Tue, Feb 24 182 San Jose St. L 63-69 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 107 @Wyoming L 61-78 6%    
  Tue, Mar 3 99 Grand Canyon L 61-73 14%    
  Sat, Mar 7 106 @Nevada L 59-77 6%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 2 - 18




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.5 9th
10th 0.3 1.1 1.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.0 10th
11th 0.3 2.4 5.6 5.5 2.6 0.6 0.0 17.0 11th
12th 14.4 23.9 21.2 11.9 3.8 0.7 0.1 75.9 12th
Total 14.4 24.2 23.6 17.8 10.5 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11 0.1% 0.1
8-12 0.3% 0.3
7-13 1.1% 1.1
6-14 2.6% 2.6
5-15 5.4% 5.4
4-16 10.5% 10.5
3-17 17.8% 17.8
2-18 23.6% 23.6
1-19 24.2% 24.2
0-20 14.4% 14.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 12.5%