IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.8	#177
Expected Predictive Rating	+6.9	#75

Pace	69.0	#193
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+1.2	#143

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.1	#238

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.5%	18.6%	12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.0	13.8	14.3

.500 or above	83.5%	91.0%	75.0%
.500 or above in Conference	83.8%	88.3%	78.7%
Conference Champion	18.3%	22.4%	13.6%
Last Place in Conference	0.7%	0.4%	1.0%

First Four	0.5%	0.4%	0.7%
First Round	15.2%	18.4%	11.6%
Second Round	1.3%	1.8%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Samford (Home) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	4 - 5	4 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 4	19 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	286	@ Air Force	W	73-57	60%	1 - 0			+12.4	+6.3	+8.0
Nov 11, 2024	314	Tennessee Martin	W	87-69	84%	2 - 0			+6.6	+8.4	-2.0
Nov 15, 2024	141	Samford	W	81-80	53%
Nov 18, 2024	3	@ Auburn	L	66-89	2%
Nov 23, 2024	319	Louisiana Monroe	W	75-67	77%
Nov 24, 2024	332	@ Northwestern St.	W	76-70	70%
Dec 01, 2024	178	@ Wofford	L	70-73	39%
Dec 04, 2024	325	Tennessee Tech	W	78-66	85%
Dec 11, 2024	154	@ East Carolina	L	68-73	34%
Dec 19, 2024	303	Charleston Southern	W	78-69	80%
Dec 22, 2024	164	@ Loyola Marymount	L	68-72	37%
Jan 02, 2025	328	Bellarmine	W	77-65	84%
Jan 04, 2025	225	Eastern Kentucky	W	79-74	68%
Jan 09, 2025	239	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	68-69	49%
Jan 11, 2025	322	@ Stetson	W	75-70	67%
Jan 16, 2025	232	@ Jacksonville	L	69-70	48%
Jan 18, 2025	140	@ North Florida	L	76-81	33%
Jan 23, 2025	143	Lipscomb	W	78-77	53%
Jan 25, 2025	215	Austin Peay	W	72-67	67%
Jan 29, 2025	297	@ Queens	W	80-77	61%
Feb 01, 2025	346	Central Arkansas	W	82-68	89%
Feb 05, 2025	215	@ Austin Peay	L	69-70	47%
Feb 08, 2025	349	@ West Georgia	W	78-69	77%
Feb 13, 2025	140	North Florida	W	79-78	53%
Feb 15, 2025	232	Jacksonville	W	73-67	68%
Feb 18, 2025	349	West Georgia	W	81-66	89%
Feb 20, 2025	143	@ Lipscomb	L	75-80	33%
Feb 24, 2025	346	@ Central Arkansas	W	79-71	76%
Feb 26, 2025	297	Queens	W	83-74	78%
Projected Record						18 - 11	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.6	4.3	5.6	4.2	2.0	0.4		18.3	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	2.3	5.6	5.1	1.9	0.3				15.5	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.4	2.7	6.0	4.2	1.1	0.1					14.5	3rd
4th									0.0	0.3	2.4	5.7	4.0	0.8	0.0						13.3	4th
5th									0.2	2.0	5.1	3.4	0.8	0.0							11.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.5	3.9	3.1	0.6	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.1	0.9	3.0	2.3	0.5	0.0									6.8	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	0.6	1.9	1.8	0.5	0.0										4.9	8th
9th					0.0	0.4	1.2	1.2	0.3	0.0											3.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0												1.7	10th
11th			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0													0.9	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0															0.3	12th

Total		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	1.5	2.7	4.4	6.8	9.1	11.4	12.8	13.3	12.2	10.5	7.5	4.5	2.0	0.4			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	2.0		2.0	0.0
16-2	93.0%	4.2		3.5	0.7	0.0
15-3	73.8%	5.6		3.4	1.9	0.2
14-4	40.7%	4.3		1.7	1.9	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.0%	1.6		0.3	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.3%	18.3		11.4	5.2	1.4	0.3	0.1

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		48.9%	47.3%	1.5%	11.5							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2		2.9%
17-1	2.0%		52.1%	52.1%		12.6										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0		1.0
16-2	4.5%		41.0%	41.0%		13.1												0.0	0.5	0.8	0.5	0.1		2.7
15-3	7.5%		35.5%	35.5%		13.5												0.0	0.3	1.1	1.0	0.3	0.0	4.9
14-4	10.5%		27.3%	27.3%		13.9													0.1	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.0	7.6
13-5	12.2%		18.7%	18.7%		14.4													0.0	0.3	0.9	0.9	0.1	9.9
12-6	13.3%		13.2%	13.2%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.2	11.6
11-7	12.8%		11.0%	11.0%		15.0														0.0	0.3	0.7	0.4	11.4
10-8	11.4%		7.0%	7.0%		15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	10.6
9-9	9.1%		3.8%	3.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	8.7
8-10	6.8%		2.5%	2.5%		15.8																0.0	0.1	6.6
7-11	4.4%		1.2%	1.2%		15.9																0.0	0.0	4.3
6-12	2.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
5-13	1.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.5
4-14	0.7%																							0.7
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		15.5%	15.5%	0.0%	14.0							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	1.4	3.6	4.8	4.0	1.5	84.5		0.0%