North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -12.6 342
Results Rating -11.1 332
Consistency 0.16 240
Pace 63.6 310
Improvement -2.7 280

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 335 D- C D+ C- B-
Defense D- 329 D D- D C+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% 20 D- 51% 337 +0.8 152
2 Pt. Jumpers 45% 98 D 33% 331 -1.4 257
Three Pointers 34% 309 F+ 29% 344 -5.8 343
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 96 F+ -6.8 359
1st FG Attempt D- 0.89 345
Second Chance C 30.1% 186 C 1.03 177 C 0.31 171
Opponents' Steals D- 11.2% 324
Other Turnovers C 7.3% 190
Turnovers D+ 18.5% 295
Freethrows C 0.31 169 D- 68% 328 C- 0.21 221
Total Offense D -6.6 335

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots F+ 32% 352 D+ 12.7% 290
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 305 D+ 6.8% 296
Three Pointers C- 81% 244 C 0.9% 197
Total F 42% 359 D- 7.5% 341


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 60 D+ 61% 265 +4.1 313
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 349 F 46% 354 -1.3 84
Three Pointers 42% 127 C 34% 204 +1.0 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.1 350 D+ +2.5 281
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 306
Second Chance D- 34.5% 327 D 1.14 314 D- 0.39 341
Turnovers from Steals C 9.6% 178
Other Turnovers F 5.0% 361
Turnovers D 14.6% 309
Freethrows C+ 0.28 111 D- 75% 328 C+ 0.21 155
Total Defense D- -6.0 329

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 187 C 11.4% 151
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 297 C- 3.6% 251
Three Pointers D 89% 325 B+ 2.0% 32
Total D+ 59% 256 C+ 6.3% 126

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.0 334 16.9 111
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 354 0.21 307
Consistency 0.11 89 0.14 279
Improvement -2.3 296 -0.4 208

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 345 343 341
Results Rating Rank 332 329 327
Conference Record 4 - 14 4 - 14 4 - 14
Conference Finish 12 12 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100.0%
First Four0% n/a n/a
First Round0% n/a n/a
Second Round0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0% n/a n/a
Final Four0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0% n/a n/a
National Champion0% n/a n/a

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 31 - 62 - 8
Quad 45 - 137 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 93 @Mississippi St. L 62 - 86 3% -5  10% 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -10 F+ B- F D+ -4 C B- F
 Tue, Nov 11 277 Northwestern St. W 87 - 83 OT 38% +5  85% 1 - 1 D+ -5 C+ +3 D- A+ C- F+ -8 F A+ D
 Sat, Nov 15 140 East Tennessee St. L 74 - 78 16% +8  88% 1 - 2 D+ -6 C- -1 D+ A+ D+ D -5 F+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 40 @Clemson L 61 - 81 1% -14  5% 1 - 3 C- -3 C+ +3 D A A+ F+ -9 B F A
 Sat, Nov 22 286 @Chattanooga L 57 - 71 21% -6  28% 1 - 4 F -18 F -12 D D F D- -8 D+ F A
 Mon, Dec 1 192 @Jacksonville St. W 73 - 66 11% -2  17% 2 - 4 B- +8 C+ +3 F+ B+ B+ B+ +5 A+ F D-
 Wed, Dec 3 122 @San Francisco W 65 - 63 5% -4  37% 3 - 4 B- +8 D+ -3 F A+ F A+ +11 A+ D+ D+
 Mon, Dec 15 302 @Alabama A&M L 60 - 68 25% -0  36% 3 - 5 D- -14 F -15 D F D- C+ +1 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 19 158 @Loyola Marymount L 57 - 91 8% -22  0% 3 - 6 F -31 F -14 F F+ A F -17 F F F
 Thu, Jan 1 309 Stetson L 67 - 70 48% -0  38% 3 - 7 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -12 F C F+ D+ -3 F A- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 264 Florida Gulf Coast L 55 - 72 36% -8  0% 3 - 8 0 - 2 F -26 F -24 F F B- C- -3 D- C+ B
 Thu, Jan 8 294 @Eastern Kentucky L 80 - 88 23% -3  15% 3 - 9 0 - 3 D- -13 C+ +3 C+ C B- F -17 D+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 285 @Bellarmine W 82 - 73 20% +1  39% 4 - 9 1 - 3 B- +5 A- +10 A+ D C D+ -3 D+ F+ D
 Thu, Jan 15 340 North Florida L 91 - 105 61% -10  12% 4 - 10 1 - 4 F -29 C+ +3 B- A C F -33 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 293 Jacksonville L 68 - 90 43% -13  10% 4 - 11 1 - 5 F -33 F+ -10 F C C F -24 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 204 @Queens L 62 - 87 11% -10  4% 4 - 12 1 - 6 F -24 F -16 F D F F+ -9 D- F C+
 Thu, Jan 29 264 @Florida Gulf Coast L 64 - 72 18% -8  5% 4 - 13 1 - 7 D -11 F+ -9 F A C C- -2 D+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 31 309 @Stetson W 68 - 66 27% +3  81% 5 - 13 2 - 7 C- -4 D -5 D+ D+ D- C+ +1 A F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 169 @Central Arkansas L 60 - 81 9% -7  15% 5 - 14 2 - 8 F -19 F -11 F D C F+ -8 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 176 @Austin Peay L 62 - 91 9% -17  4% 5 - 15 2 - 9 F -27 D+ -4 D- D+ D+ F -27 F F F
 Mon, Feb 9 169 Central Arkansas L 65 - 72 20% +5  82% 5 - 16 2 - 10 D -11 F -10 C- C+ F C -1 B F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 303 West Georgia L 73 - 82 46% -6  2% 5 - 17 2 - 11 F -21 C- -2 B- F+ B F -19 F F F
 Sun, Feb 15 294 Eastern Kentucky W 84 - 78 OT 43% -1  39% 6 - 17 3 - 11 C- -5 D -6 D+ C F C+ +1 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 204 Queens L 78 - 85 24% +1  55% 6 - 18 3 - 12 D- -12 D+ -2 C- A C F -10 F A D
 Sat, Feb 21 197 @Lipscomb L 51 - 73 11% -4  39% 6 - 19 3 - 13 F -21 F -17 F C- C D- -7 F A+ C+
 Wed, Feb 25 285 Bellarmine W 73 - 68 39% +3  78% 7 - 19 4 - 13 C- -5 C- -1 D A+ F C- -2 A F D
 Sat, Feb 28 303 @West Georgia L 63 - 75 25% -8  0% 7 - 20 4 - 14 F+ -18 F -14 F F F D+ -4 F B- A-
 Wed, Mar 4 264 Florida Gulf Coast L 58 - 69 26% -2  12% 7 - 21 F+ -17 F -13 D F F D -5 B- F+ F
Totals 7 - 21 4 - 14 -13 D -7 F F+ B- D- -6 F+ D- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- D F+ F+ 46% 45% 34% B- D- C C C D+ C D- C- D- D+ F C D+ 43% 14% 42% D- D D- D D- D C+ D- C+
0.99 51% 33% 29% -7 +1 0.89 30% 1.0 .31 19% .31 68% .21 1.17 61% 46% 34% +3 +1 1.10 35% 1.1 .39 15% .28 75% .23
Nov
5		 Mississippi St. F F D+ B- D- 26% 43% 31% F F+ C- A+ B- F D- F F D+ D A- C- C 40% 24% 36% C C F A+ B- F F C+ F+
0.87 29% 35% 35% -8 -4 0.78 24% 1.3 .31 18% .20 58% .12 1.20 68% 31% 35% +3 0 1.07 43% 0.7 .30 10% .37 67% .25
Nov
11		 Northwestern St. C+ F+ F B F+ 51% 15% 34% B D- B+ A+ A+ C- A+ D- A+ F+ F D C F 40% 31% 29% C F B A+ A+ D F F F
1.17 50% 29% 38% -4 +2 0.98 40% 1.5 .60 17% .60 68% .41 1.11 67% 44% 33% +5 -1 1.10 20% 0.3 .07 15% .46 83% .38
Nov
15		 East Tennessee St. C- D- F B+ D 41% 13% 46% B- D+ B- A+ A+ D+ A A A+ D F F C- F 35% 18% 47% C+ F+ B+ A+ A+ F A A+ A+
1.08 53% 17% 38% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.4 .45 20% .39 81% .31 1.14 74% 50% 35% +8 0 1.18 22% 0.6 .14 10% .23 57% .13
Nov
17		 Clemson C+ D- F F+ D- 35% 13% 52% A- D A B- A A+ C F D+ F+ C D- B+ A- 39% 4% 57% D- B F D F A D- F F
0.97 47% 17% 28% -11 +1 0.81 33% 1.0 .33 13% .27 67% .18 1.29 61% 50% 31% -1 +2 1.04 54% 1.1 .60 19% .39 80% .31
Nov
22		 Chattanooga F C+ F D D 36% 19% 45% C- D C- F+ D F C F F D- D+ F C+ D+ 27% 15% 58% D+ D+ F C+ F A D+ B C-
0.94 60% 25% 32% -3 0 0.95 30% 1.0 .30 20% .35 53% .19 1.18 62% 57% 32% +2 0 1.06 42% 1.1 .45 20% .29 71% .21
Dec
1		 Jacksonville St. C+ F C+ D- F 52% 10% 38% A- F+ B- B+ B+ B+ C- C C- B+ A+ A+ B A+ 46% 8% 46% D+ A+ D+ F F D- C A+ A
1.11 44% 40% 30% -9 +2 0.88 32% 1.2 .37 14% .32 78% .25 1.00 41% 0% 32% -13 +2 0.81 31% 1.5 .45 14% .35 45% .16
Dec
3		 San Francisco D+ F B- F F 47% 29% 24% C- F A+ C A+ F B+ A+ A A+ A- D- A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C+ A+ B+ F D+ D+ B+ A A-
1.00 38% 40% 25% -12 -1 0.76 48% 1.1 .50 19% .32 82% .26 0.97 50% 43% 25% -9 0 0.84 27% 1.4 .38 14% .29 63% .18
Dec
15		 Alabama A&M F C F A D+ 32% 28% 40% F D F F F D- C- F D- C+ A+ F A+ A+ 36% 23% 40% D+ A+ F F F F F A- F
0.92 60% 23% 42% +1 -1 1.02 12% 0.5 .06 18% .32 59% .19 1.04 35% 45% 21% -14 -1 0.72 32% 1.2 .39 11% .53 68% .36
Dec
19		 Loyola Marymount F F C F F 43% 31% 25% C- F C- F F+ A A+ F B+ F B F F D- 40% 9% 51% F F F F F F C- B C
0.83 32% 38% 23% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.7 .21 12% .41 64% .26 1.32 55% 60% 43% +7 +2 1.20 38% 1.6 .59 13% .28 65% .18
Jan
1		 Stetson F D D- F F 45% 6% 49% A F B- D C F+ C+ D- C D+ F F A F 44% 16% 40% F F C+ A+ A- C+ F D- F
1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20 1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27
Jan
3		 Florida Gulf Coast F F F F F 48% 12% 40% B+ F F F F B- A+ F B+ C- C+ D- F D- 40% 21% 38% F+ D- C+ C+ C+ B A+ F+ A-
0.80 42% 0% 25% -18 +2 0.70 15% 0.8 .13 15% .46 67% .31 1.05 57% 45% 40% +5 0 1.12 28% 1.0 .28 19% .16 78% .13
Jan
8		 Eastern Kentucky C+ B A A- B 26% 32% 43% F C+ F A+ C B- A+ F C F B F D+ D+ 28% 16% 56% D- D+ F F F F F F F
1.21 67% 53% 40% +11 -2 1.19 23% 1.4 .33 14% .44 56% .25 1.34 50% 50% 36% +1 0 1.04 43% 1.4 .60 9% .38 83% .32
Jan
10		 Bellarmine A- A F A+ A+ 37% 20% 44% C A+ B+ F D C A+ B A+ D+ F A+ D+ D+ 35% 10% 55% C+ D+ B- F F+ D B+ A+ A+
1.36 73% 25% 61% +21 0 1.44 42% 0.8 .33 15% .43 77% .33 1.21 76% 20% 37% +7 +1 1.18 19% 1.8 .33 13% .25 62% .15
Jan
15		 North Florida C+ C+ C- B C 60% 10% 31% A B- C- A+ A C B F+ C+ F F F F F 30% 13% 57% C+ F F F F F D- F F
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +3 1.15 36% 1.6 .58 13% .33 65% .21 1.49 69% 57% 45% +15 0 1.33 38% 1.3 .50 10% .30 95% .28
Jan
17		 Jacksonville F+ D- A+ F F 53% 11% 36% A- F F A+ C C A+ A A+ F B- D F F 61% 14% 25% F F D- F F D D+ F F
1.01 54% 60% 19% -8 +2 0.91 19% 1.5 .29 15% .52 77% .40 1.34 52% 43% 54% +4 +2 1.16 35% 1.9 .65 15% .31 89% .28
Jan
21		 Queens F D- F F F 54% 13% 33% A- F C F D F A C- A- F+ F+ F A+ D 58% 11% 31% F D- F C F C+ F F F
0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31 1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42
Jan
29		 Florida Gulf Coast F+ A- F F F 48% 24% 28% C- F D+ A+ A C A D B+ C- B- F C- D+ 27% 20% 53% C- D+ D+ C+ C B+ B+ F C
0.97 68% 18% 8% -11 0 0.80 27% 1.8 .48 17% .43 71% .31 1.09 54% 50% 35% +2 -1 1.04 31% 1.0 .31 20% .21 91% .19
Jan
31		 Stetson D A F D- D+ 40% 16% 44% C+ D+ D+ C- D+ D- A- F+ B- C+ F+ A+ A+ A+ 46% 22% 33% D A F F F C- D+ F F
1.08 72% 29% 30% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23 1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27
Feb
4		 Central Arkansas F F D D F 43% 12% 45% B- F D- C D C B- F F+ F+ D- A+ F F 39% 7% 54% F+ F D+ F+ D- C- A+ F A
0.90 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.88 22% 1.1 .24 20% .30 50% .15 1.22 67% 0% 41% +6 +2 1.19 29% 1.2 .35 15% .16 78% .12
Feb
7		 Austin Peay D+ F A+ F F 59% 18% 24% B+ D- A+ F D+ D+ F A F F D F F F 54% 6% 40% F F D+ F F F A+ A A+
1.00 50% 56% 25% -5 +2 0.96 45% 0.5 .21 19% .18 78% .14 1.47 63% 100% 55% +19 +3 1.46 30% 1.7 .52 11% .16 67% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
9		 Central Arkansas F D A+ D- D 58% 8% 34% A C- C+ C C+ F A+ C+ A+ C B- F A+ B+ 39% 9% 52% F+ B C- F F B+ F D F
0.96 55% 67% 31% -1 +3 1.05 30% 1.1 .33 28% .47 74% .35 1.07 56% 75% 25% -5 +2 0.96 28% 1.4 .41 19% .42 74% .31
Feb
11		 West Georgia C- C D- A+ B- 53% 23% 25% C- B- F+ D- F+ B D- D D- F C+ D F F 33% 31% 37% C- F D+ F F F B- F D+
1.13 61% 33% 46% +5 +1 1.13 22% 0.9 .19 12% .28 69% .19 1.27 53% 44% 47% +7 -2 1.13 31% 1.3 .41 11% .24 86% .21
Feb
15		 Eastern Kentucky D D+ B+ C D 45% 14% 40% B+ D+ A F C F A+ F+ A+ C+ C+ F A+ A 43% 5% 52% F B B- A+ A+ F F A+ D
1.13 58% 50% 35% +2 +1 1.10 42% 0.8 .33 20% .77 67% .52 1.05 54% 100% 22% -8 +2 0.90 29% 0.7 .20 11% .39 58% .23
Feb
18		 Queens D+ C F A+ D 60% 10% 29% A C- C- A+ A C C F F F D+ B F F 49% 7% 44% F F A+ F+ A D F F+ F
1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17 1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39
Feb
21		 Lipscomb F D- D+ F F 41% 33% 25% D F B- F+ C- C F F F D- F F F F 35% 13% 52% B- F A A+ A+ C+ B+ A+ A
0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12 1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10
Feb
25		 Bellarmine C- F+ A+ C+ F+ 48% 13% 40% A- D A+ C- A+ F A+ C- A+ C- C A+ A+ A+ 67% 2% 31% F A F F F D F D F
1.24 53% 60% 38% +2 +2 1.10 57% 1.1 .63 22% .63 72% .46 1.16 61% 0% 15% -8 +4 0.95 33% 1.3 .44 14% .45 83% .37
Feb
28		 West Georgia F F F F F 63% 15% 23% B+ F D F F F A+ A+ A+ D+ C- F C- F 47% 16% 37% F F D- A+ B- A- A- F C-
0.92 47% 14% 27% -13 +2 0.81 26% 0.7 .18 19% .49 81% .40 1.09 57% 75% 33% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 20% .20 100% .20
Mar
4		 Florida Gulf Coast F C B- F D- 48% 14% 38% B D F F F F F D+ F D D- B- A+ B 44% 26% 30% D B- D- D- F+ F A+ C A+
0.93 58% 43% 26% -4 +2 0.98 21% 0.8 .17 21% .14 71% .10 1.11 67% 36% 19% -4 0 0.94 34% 1.2 .40 11% .13 71% .09



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%