Northwestern St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#302
Expected Predictive Rating-11.7#323
Pace63.2#330
Improvement+0.7#139

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#235
First Shot-0.3#188
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#298
Layup/Dunks-8.5#360
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#239
Freethrows+3.2#36
Improvement-0.4#212

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#342
First Shot-5.2#337
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#207
Layups/Dunks-3.0#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#306
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+1.1#94
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 1.1% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 2.0% 4.7% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 16.9% 30.5% 11.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 30.9% 16.9% 36.6%
First Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Away) - 28.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 82 - 14
Quad 46 - 88 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 39 @Texas A&M L 68-98 3%     0 - 1 -15.0 -3.6 -9.2
  Thu, Nov 6 144 @North Texas L 53-80 14%     0 - 2 -23.0 -5.9 -22.1
  Tue, Nov 11 200 @North Alabama L 83-87 OT 21%     0 - 3 -3.5 +5.3 -8.6
  Tue, Nov 18 100 @San Francisco L 64-84 8%     0 - 4 -12.0 +3.3 -17.9
  Fri, Nov 21 99 @Grand Canyon L 72-85 8%     0 - 5 -4.8 +6.4 -11.4
  Sat, Nov 29 199 Southern L 73-75 41%     0 - 6 -7.4 +0.1 -7.5
  Fri, Dec 5 80 @McNeese St. L 54-92 6%     0 - 7 0 - 1 -27.9 -10.6 -19.0
  Sun, Dec 7 246 @SE Louisiana L 65-71 29%    
  Sat, Dec 13 76 @California L 63-81 4%    
  Mon, Dec 29 214 Lamar L 65-66 45%    
  Wed, Dec 31 142 Stephen F. Austin L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 244 New Orleans L 73-74 49%    
  Mon, Jan 5 254 @Nicholls St. L 68-74 30%    
  Sat, Jan 10 210 TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-69 44%    
  Mon, Jan 12 209 UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 188 @Incarnate Word L 66-75 21%    
  Mon, Jan 19 263 @Houston Christian L 67-72 31%    
  Sat, Jan 24 300 East Texas A&M W 70-67 60%    
  Mon, Jan 26 142 @Stephen F. Austin L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Jan 31 244 @New Orleans L 71-77 29%    
  Mon, Feb 2 254 Nicholls St. W 71-70 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 300 @East Texas A&M L 67-70 39%    
  Mon, Feb 9 214 @Lamar L 62-69 26%    
  Sat, Feb 14 246 SE Louisiana L 67-68 49%    
  Mon, Feb 16 80 McNeese St. L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Feb 21 263 Houston Christian W 70-69 53%    
  Mon, Feb 23 188 Incarnate Word L 69-72 39%    
  Sat, Feb 28 210 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-72 25%    
  Mon, Mar 2 209 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 70-78 26%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 7 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.1 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.6 0.7 0.1 6.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 4.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 5.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.9 5.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 17.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.0 2.8 4.9 5.7 4.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 22.1 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.8 5.5 7.9 10.5 11.9 12.5 12.2 10.4 8.2 6.4 4.5 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-4 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-5 40.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 18.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2 0.0% 0.0
19-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-5 0.1% 20.5% 20.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-6 0.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4
15-7 0.9% 9.2% 9.2% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-8 1.8% 5.6% 5.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 1.7
13-9 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 2.7
12-10 4.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 4.4
11-11 6.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 6.4
10-12 8.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.2
9-13 10.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.4
8-14 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
7-15 12.5% 12.5
6-16 11.9% 11.9
5-17 10.5% 10.5
4-18 7.9% 7.9
3-19 5.5% 5.5
2-20 2.8% 2.8
1-21 1.0% 1.0
0-22 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%