Southland
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace Results Rating Conf Results Rating
82 McNeese St. 49.0%   12   24 - 5 19 - 3 +7.0      +2.9 101 +4.1 70 66.1 247 +9.3 65 +7.2 2
101 Stephen F. Austin 36.8%   25 - 4 20 - 2 +4.8      +1.9 117 +2.9 91 65.5 259 +7.8 76 +10.4 1
143 UT Rio Grande Valley 8.1%   16 - 13 14 - 8 +1.1      +0.3 154 +0.7 145 66.9 224 -0.6 167 0.0 3
188 TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.1%   13 - 14 13 - 9 -1.8      -3.4 261 +1.6 127 66.9 222 -1.7 190 -0.9 4
196 New Orleans 1.3%   14 - 17 12 - 10 -2.1      0.0 161 -2.2 238 73.4 54 -1.6 187 -2.1 6
245 Lamar 0.0%   10 - 19 7 - 15 -4.7      -4.5 290 -0.2 176 64.3 293 -7.1 281 -7.9 10
249 Nicholls St. 0.6%   12 - 18 12 - 10 -4.9      -2.7 242 -2.2 240 70.5 123 -3.7 230 -1.8 5
262 Incarnate Word 0.0%   9 - 19 7 - 15 -5.8      -0.5 178 -5.3 318 63.7 306 -7.3 283 -7.8 9
277 Northwestern St. 0.1%   8 - 21 8 - 14 -6.4      -4.4 287 -2.0 235 63.6 313 -8.2 297 -6.5 8
287 SE Louisiana 0.0%   8 - 22 6 - 16 -7.2      -6.6 336 -0.6 198 64.9 274 -8.4 298 -9.0 12
288 Houston Christian 0.2%   10 - 19 8 - 14 -7.2      -3.9 272 -3.4 274 61.8 341 -7.0 276 -6.4 7
306 East Texas A&M 0.0%   9 - 21 6 - 16 -8.7      -6.4 331 -2.2 243 70.3 129 -7.4 288 -8.8 11


Recent Games

Date Team Points Team Points Interest
Mon, Mar 2 101 Stephen F. Austin 76 262 Incarnate Word 68   
Mon, Mar 2 196 New Orleans 78 287 SE Louisiana 82   
Mon, Mar 2 82 McNeese St. 75 249 Nicholls St. 65   
Mon, Mar 2 188 TX A&M Corpus Christi 84 306 East Texas A&M 71   
Mon, Mar 2 277 Northwestern St. 62 143 UT Rio Grande Valley 74   
Mon, Mar 2 288 Houston Christian 75 245 Lamar 53   


Upcoming Games

Date Team Points Team Points Chance Interest
Sun, Mar 8 249 Nicholls St. 72 277 Northwestern St. 70 56%   
Sun, Mar 8 288 Houston Christian 71 196 New Orleans 76 69%   




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Season

Projected Place
Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Stephen F. Austin 1.0 100.0
McNeese St. 2.0 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 3.0 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.0 100.0
New Orleans 5.0 100.0
Nicholls St. 5.0 100.0
Houston Christian 7.0 100.0
Northwestern St. 7.0 100.0
Lamar 9.0 100.0
Incarnate Word 9.0 100.0
SE Louisiana 11.0 100.0
East Texas A&M 11.0 100.0

Projected Wins
Team Exp Conf Record Exp Overall Record 0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0
Stephen F. Austin 20 - 2 25 - 4 100.0
McNeese St. 19 - 3 24 - 5 100.0
UT Rio Grande Valley 14 - 8 16 - 13 100.0
TX A&M Corpus Christi 13 - 9 13 - 14 100.0
New Orleans 12 - 10 15 - 17 100.0
Nicholls St. 12 - 10 13 - 18 100.0
Houston Christian 8 - 14 10 - 20 100.0
Northwestern St. 8 - 14 8 - 22 100.0
Lamar 7 - 15 10 - 19 100.0
Incarnate Word 7 - 15 9 - 19 100.0
SE Louisiana 6 - 16 8 - 22 100.0
East Texas A&M 6 - 16 9 - 21 100.0

Projected Regular Season Champion
Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Stephen F. Austin 100.0% 100.0
McNeese St.
UT Rio Grande Valley
TX A&M Corpus Christi
New Orleans
Nicholls St.
Houston Christian
Northwestern St.
Lamar
Incarnate Word
SE Louisiana
East Texas A&M


NCAA Tournament Selection and Simulation

Tournament Selection
TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
McNeese St. 49.0% 48.9% 0.2% 12   9.2 36.5 3.3 51.0 0.3%
Stephen F. Austin 36.8% 36.8% 0.0% 1.2 22.1 12.9 0.6 63.2 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 8.1% 8.1% 0.0% 0.6 4.3 3.0 0.2 91.9 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 0.4 3.4 0.2 95.9 0.0%
New Orleans 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 0.1 1.1 0.0 98.7 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0 0.6 99.4 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2 99.9 0.0%
East Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%

Conference Totals
Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.8 0.2
1st Round 99.6% 1.0 0.4 99.6 0.1
2nd Round 11.6% 0.1 88.4 11.6
Sweet Sixteen 1.5% 0.0 98.5 1.5
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0

Tournament Simulation
TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
McNeese St. 49.0% 0.2% 48.9% 7.6% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stephen F. Austin 36.8% 0.0% 36.8% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UT Rio Grande Valley 8.1% 0.0% 8.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
TX A&M Corpus Christi 4.1% 0.0% 4.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Orleans 1.3% 0.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Lamar 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholls St. 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Incarnate Word 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northwestern St. 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
SE Louisiana 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Houston Christian 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
East Texas A&M 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%