UT Rio Grande Valley
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#213
Expected Predictive Rating-5.8#256
Pace74.6#60
Improvement-2.3#320

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#199
First Shot-0.8#201
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#204
Layup/Dunks+3.4#73
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#363
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#92
Freethrows-2.3#305
Improvement-2.3#348

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#232
First Shot-2.5#259
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#143
Layups/Dunks+0.6#154
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#264
Freethrows-1.6#283
Improvement+0.0#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.9% 4.8% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 37.0% 47.6% 23.9%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 60.6% 47.4%
Conference Champion 2.8% 3.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 4.3% 7.9%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.9% 4.7% 2.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Home) - 55.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 411 - 614 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 28 @Baylor L 81-96 4%     0 - 1 +1.8 +5.1 -1.8
  Sat, Nov 8 320 @Southern Utah W 95-72 61%     1 - 1 +16.8 +16.3 -0.5
  Tue, Nov 11 59 @Boise St. L 65-85 8%     1 - 2 -7.7 -4.5 -1.7
  Sat, Nov 22 242 @Missouri St. L 67-74 44%     1 - 3 -8.5 +1.9 -11.2
  Mon, Nov 24 17 @Illinois L 73-87 3%     1 - 4 +6.0 +9.1 -3.1
  Wed, Dec 3 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 60-73 24%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -8.9 -7.9 -1.2
  Sun, Dec 7 182 Austin Peay W 76-75 55%    
  Thu, Dec 11 190 Texas Arlington W 75-73 58%    
  Tue, Dec 16 195 @Lamar L 68-72 36%    
  Mon, Dec 29 216 New Orleans W 80-77 61%    
  Wed, Dec 31 265 Nicholls St. W 78-72 70%    
  Sat, Jan 3 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 76-72 65%    
  Mon, Jan 5 171 Incarnate Word W 75-74 53%    
  Sat, Jan 10 300 @East Texas A&M W 75-73 55%    
  Mon, Jan 12 302 @Northwestern St. W 75-73 55%    
  Sat, Jan 17 78 McNeese St. L 69-77 25%    
  Mon, Jan 19 248 SE Louisiana W 75-70 66%    
  Sat, Jan 24 282 @Houston Christian W 74-73 52%    
  Mon, Jan 26 237 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 73-75 44%    
  Sat, Jan 31 171 @Incarnate Word L 72-77 33%    
  Mon, Feb 2 282 Houston Christian W 77-71 72%    
  Sat, Feb 7 216 @New Orleans L 77-80 40%    
  Mon, Feb 9 265 @Nicholls St. L 75-76 49%    
  Sat, Feb 14 144 Stephen F. Austin L 73-74 46%    
  Mon, Feb 16 195 Lamar W 71-69 58%    
  Sat, Feb 21 248 @SE Louisiana L 72-73 45%    
  Mon, Feb 23 78 @McNeese St. L 66-80 12%    
  Sat, Feb 28 300 East Texas A&M W 78-70 75%    
  Mon, Mar 2 302 Northwestern St. W 78-70 74%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 2.1 1.3 0.3 0.1 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.5 2.6 0.8 0.1 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 5.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.8 2.5 0.4 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.8 2.1 0.3 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.3 2.1 0.3 9.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.2 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.0 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.8 4.0 6.8 8.0 10.0 11.3 11.4 11.8 9.9 7.9 5.9 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-3 82.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1
18-4 64.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
17-5 36.5% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-6 15.3% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
15-7 3.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 30.0% 30.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.4% 33.1% 33.1% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-4 1.0% 29.4% 29.4% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
17-5 2.4% 24.5% 24.5% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 1.8
16-6 3.8% 14.8% 14.8% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.3
15-7 5.9% 10.1% 10.1% 14.6 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 5.3
14-8 7.9% 8.3% 8.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 7.3
13-9 9.9% 4.2% 4.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 9.5
12-10 11.8% 3.0% 3.0% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 11.5
11-11 11.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.1 0.1 11.2
10-12 11.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 11.2
9-13 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.0
8-14 8.0% 8.0
7-15 6.8% 6.8
6-16 4.0% 4.0
5-17 2.8% 2.8
4-18 1.6% 1.6
3-19 0.6% 0.6
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.1% 0.1
0-22 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.9% 3.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.6 96.1 0.0%