New Orleans
Southland
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#216
Expected Predictive Rating+0.4#165
Pace72.2#115
Improvement-4.3#362

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#214
First Shot-3.6#279
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#78
Layup/Dunks-1.3#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows+2.0#80
Improvement-1.8#319

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#220
First Shot+1.7#119
After Offensive Rebounds-3.3#335
Layups/Dunks+1.4#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#272
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#67
Freethrows-2.2#304
Improvement-2.5#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 4.1% 2.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 24.8% 29.7% 11.7%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 62.6% 38.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 3.0% 10.9%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round3.5% 4.1% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 72.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 33 - 65 - 13
Quad 49 - 614 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 48 @TCU W 78-74 6%     1 - 0 +17.9 +8.2 +9.4
  Mon, Nov 10 29 @LSU L 58-93 4%     1 - 1 -18.2 -9.0 -7.9
  Fri, Nov 14 172 @Tulane W 85-63 31%     2 - 1 +23.9 +15.6 +9.8
  Tue, Nov 18 298 @Pepperdine L 79-90 55%     2 - 2 -15.7 +0.8 -15.9
  Fri, Nov 21 179 @Fresno St. L 76-85 32%     2 - 3 -7.4 -2.4 -4.1
  Mon, Nov 24 81 @Mississippi St. L 78-81 OT 11%     2 - 4 +7.2 +2.2 +5.3
  Wed, Nov 26 30 @Texas Tech L 50-82 4%     2 - 5 -15.3 -16.0 +1.0
  Wed, Dec 3 75 @Memphis L 70-86 10%     2 - 6 -5.4 +3.2 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 6 282 Houston Christian W 75-69 73%    
  Mon, Dec 8 171 Incarnate Word W 74-73 52%    
  Sat, Dec 13 7 @Houston L 55-81 1%    
  Mon, Dec 29 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-80 39%    
  Wed, Dec 31 237 @TX A&M Corpus Christi L 71-73 43%    
  Sat, Jan 3 302 @Northwestern St. W 74-72 56%    
  Mon, Jan 5 300 East Texas A&M W 75-68 75%    
  Sat, Jan 10 265 Nicholls St. W 77-71 69%    
  Mon, Jan 12 248 @SE Louisiana L 70-72 44%    
  Sat, Jan 17 144 Stephen F. Austin L 72-73 44%    
  Mon, Jan 19 195 Lamar W 70-68 57%    
  Sat, Jan 24 78 @McNeese St. L 65-79 11%    
  Mon, Jan 26 265 @Nicholls St. L 73-74 48%    
  Sat, Jan 31 302 Northwestern St. W 77-69 74%    
  Mon, Feb 2 300 @East Texas A&M W 72-71 55%    
  Sat, Feb 7 213 UT Rio Grande Valley W 80-77 60%    
  Mon, Feb 9 237 TX A&M Corpus Christi W 74-70 64%    
  Sat, Feb 14 282 @Houston Christian W 73-72 51%    
  Mon, Feb 16 171 @Incarnate Word L 71-76 32%    
  Sat, Feb 21 195 @Lamar L 67-71 36%    
  Mon, Feb 23 144 @Stephen F. Austin L 69-76 25%    
  Sat, Feb 28 78 McNeese St. L 68-76 25%    
  Mon, Mar 2 248 SE Louisiana W 73-69 65%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 11 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 2.2 1.2 0.4 0.0 7.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 3.7 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 3.0 4.8 2.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.2 4.9 2.6 0.4 0.1 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.4 2.5 0.4 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.8 4.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.3 2.2 0.3 9.5 8th
9th 0.3 1.9 3.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.4 3.8 5.9 8.1 10.1 11.7 11.9 11.4 10.2 8.5 5.9 4.1 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
19-3 89.8% 0.4    0.4 0.1
18-4 65.9% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
17-5 35.6% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
16-6 14.9% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-7 3.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-9 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
20-2 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-3 0.5% 25.5% 25.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
18-4 1.2% 24.5% 24.5% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
17-5 2.2% 16.1% 16.1% 13.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.8
16-6 4.1% 13.4% 13.4% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.6
15-7 5.9% 11.6% 11.6% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 5.2
14-8 8.5% 5.9% 5.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.0
13-9 10.2% 4.7% 4.7% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 9.7
12-10 11.4% 1.8% 1.8% 15.5 0.1 0.1 11.2
11-11 11.9% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 11.7
10-12 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
9-13 10.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.1
8-14 8.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.1
7-15 5.9% 5.9
6-16 3.8% 3.8
5-17 2.4% 2.4
4-18 1.2% 1.2
3-19 0.5% 0.5
2-20 0.2% 0.2
1-21 0.0% 0.0
0-22
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.4 96.4 0.0%