Pepperdine
West Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Expected Predictive Rating-8.7#304
Pace68.0#226
Improvement+0.4#150

Offense
Total Offense-4.9#299
First Shot-3.2#260
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#288
Layup/Dunks-2.9#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#151
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement+0.3#150

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#193
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#134
Layups/Dunks-2.3#260
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#199
Freethrows+0.3#155
Improvement+0.1#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 1.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 17.7% 3.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 39.4% 18.0% 39.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Home) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 32 - 83 - 16
Quad 45 - 68 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Fri, Nov 7 30 @UCLA L 63-74 3%     0 - 1 +6.4 +4.5 +0.6
  Sat, Nov 15 171 Northern Colorado L 81-88 OT 42%     0 - 2 -10.7 -7.0 -2.6
  Tue, Nov 18 241 New Orleans W 90-79 58%     1 - 2 +3.4 +7.4 -4.6
  Fri, Nov 21 132 Stephen F. Austin L 60-63 33%     1 - 3 -4.2 -9.6 +5.2
  Wed, Nov 26 184 Fresno St. L 53-76 35%     1 - 4 -24.7 -19.4 -5.7
  Sat, Nov 29 242 @Cal St. Fullerton L 69-83 35%     1 - 5 -15.7 -5.1 -10.5
  Tue, Dec 2 204 Abilene Christian L 63-71 51%     1 - 6 -13.8 -2.1 -12.8
  Sat, Dec 6 178 Vermont L 56-65 45%     1 - 7 -13.3 -14.9 +0.5
  Sat, Dec 13 305 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-62 48%     2 - 7 +2.8 -1.6 +4.7
  Thu, Dec 18 275 @Long Beach St. L 78-81 40%     2 - 8 -6.2 +2.3 -8.5
  Sat, Dec 20 231 Rice W 84-62 57%     3 - 8 +14.6 +6.8 +7.7
  Sun, Dec 28 6 Gonzaga L 63-87 1%    
  Tue, Dec 30 44 St. Mary's L 61-75 9%    
  Fri, Jan 2 86 @Santa Clara L 65-80 8%    
  Sun, Jan 4 138 @Pacific L 65-75 17%    
  Thu, Jan 8 260 @San Diego L 73-76 39%    
  Sat, Jan 10 95 San Francisco L 66-74 21%    
  Wed, Jan 14 256 Portland W 74-71 60%    
  Wed, Jan 21 6 @Gonzaga L 60-90 0.2%   
  Sat, Jan 24 149 @Washington St. L 68-77 19%    
  Wed, Jan 28 260 San Diego W 76-73 60%    
  Wed, Feb 4 112 @Seattle L 63-75 14%    
  Sat, Feb 7 138 Pacific L 68-72 35%    
  Wed, Feb 11 44 @St. Mary's L 58-78 3%    
  Sat, Feb 14 123 Loyola Marymount L 64-69 33%    
  Wed, Feb 18 256 @Portland L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Feb 21 154 @Oregon St. L 64-73 21%    
  Wed, Feb 25 112 Seattle L 66-72 29%    
  Sat, Feb 28 149 Washington St. L 71-74 38%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.6 3.8 6.4 1.9 0.1 0.0 12.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 5.7 8.9 3.4 0.3 19.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.3 8.0 9.7 3.9 0.4 0.0 24.4 11th
12th 1.2 5.2 9.3 7.7 2.6 0.3 0.0 26.3 12th
Total 1.2 5.4 11.6 16.8 18.5 17.2 13.0 8.3 4.5 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.1
11-7 0.3% 0.3
10-8 0.9% 0.9
9-9 2.2% 2.2
8-10 4.5% 4.5
7-11 8.3% 8.3
6-12 13.0% 13.0
5-13 17.2% 17.2
4-14 18.5% 18.5
3-15 16.8% 16.8
2-16 11.6% 11.6
1-17 5.4% 5.4
0-18 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%