Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.2 128
Results Rating -0.7 169
Consistency 0.13 77
Pace 69.5 147
Improvement +0.7 159

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 94 A- C- D+ C- C+
Defense C- 210 C C+ D C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 231 A- 67% 25 +2.2 99
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 271 C+ 40% 99 -1.1 238
Three Pointers 46% 65 B+ 38% 23 +5.8 24
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 135 A- +6.4 21
1st FG Attempt A- 1.16 23
Second Chance C 30.3% 184 D+ 0.95 298 C- 0.29 230
Opponents' Steals D+ 10.3% 269
Other Turnovers D+ 7.9% 267
Turnovers D+ 18.3% 282
Freethrows D+ 0.28 257 B- 74% 126 C- 0.21 226
Total Offense B- +3.3 94

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C- 46% 233 B+ 7.5% 27
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 236 C 4.8% 176
Three Pointers F+ 74% 344 C+ 0.8% 157
Total C- 53% 241 B+ 3.9% 23


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 215 C+ 57% 145 -0.9 134
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 83 D 42% 323 +2.0 330
Three Pointers 39% 240 C+ 33% 129 -1.6 118
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 102 C -0.1 175
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 156
Second Chance B- 27.5% 80 C- 1.06 231 C+ 0.29 121
Turnovers from Steals D 7.7% 309
Other Turnovers C- 6.9% 234
Turnovers D 14.6% 311
Freethrows C+ 0.29 139 D 75% 308 C+ 0.21 162
Total Defense C- -1.1 210

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 82 C 11.7% 144
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 27 D+ 3.2% 275
Three Pointers C+ 82% 140 B- 1.3% 82
Total B 49% 46 C 5.7% 171

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.7 100 17.9 277
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 189 0.17 178
Consistency 0.14 324 0.13 223
Improvement +0.5 158 +0.2 186

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 140 133 118
Results Rating Rank 186 171 143
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 7 - 11
Conference Finish 8 8 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0.0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 80 - 14
Quad 35 - 35 - 17
Quad 47 - 312 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 181 Idaho L 81 - 83 74% -9  0% 0 - 1 D+ -6 C +1 C D+ A+ D- -8 F B C-
 Fri, Nov 7 113 @Davidson L 69 - 85 34% -16  0% 0 - 2 D -10 C- -2 F+ B F D- -7 F B A
 Mon, Nov 10 111 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 57% +15  97% 1 - 2 B +10 B +6 B A+ F B +4 B+ A- D+
 Fri, Nov 14 49 Washington L 69 - 81 28% -10  4% 1 - 3 C- -4 B +6 B B A F -11 D+ B- F+
 Wed, Nov 19 261 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 84% +12  83% 2 - 3 A- +15 A+ +15 B+ A+ A- C -1 D- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 57 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 23% +2  62% 2 - 4 C+ +4 A+ +21 A+ A A F -18 F F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 52 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 21% -11  0% 2 - 5 C- -3 C- -1 C+ D C+ C- -3 D- F A
 Tue, Dec 2 110 @Bradley L 60 - 64 34% +3  84% 2 - 6 C+ +2 F -11 C+ F F A+ +14 A+ D+ F+
 Sun, Dec 7 81 Nevada L 64 - 78 42% -5  29% 2 - 7 D -10 D+ -3 C C F F+ -8 A F F+
 Sun, Dec 14 70 @USC L 61 - 68 18% -6  0% 2 - 8 C+ +5 D- -8 C+ F C- A+ +12 A+ A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 17 173 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 62% +12  99% 3 - 8 B+ +14 C- -2 A F+ F A+ +15 A A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 178 Mercer W 84 - 78 73% +4  78% 4 - 8 C+ +2 C- -2 A+ F C B- +3 B- B D-
 Sun, Dec 28 215 @Portland W 67 - 62 59% +3  65% 5 - 8 1 - 0 B- +5 D -6 C- F D A +11 A+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 117 @Seattle L 55 - 69 35% -6  13% 5 - 9 1 - 1 D+ -8 F+ -10 F C F C+ +2 D+ A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 158 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 68% -1  49% 6 - 9 2 - 1 C -1 C+ +3 A+ F D+ D+ -4 B- B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 160 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 69% +11  99% 7 - 9 3 - 1 B +11 A- +10 A- A F+ B- +2 C+ C D
 Sat, Jan 10 32 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 8% -9  6% 7 - 10 3 - 2 B+ +12 A+ +15 A+ B- D- D+ -4 F+ A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 15 11 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 10% -10  10% 7 - 11 3 - 3 D+ -5 C +0 A+ D- F D -6 B F D+
 Sun, Jan 18 122 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 36% -0  38% 7 - 12 3 - 4 C +1 A +13 A+ F D F -13 F F B+
 Wed, Jan 21 238 @San Diego L 92 - 96 64% -8  6% 7 - 13 3 - 5 D+ -5 A +14 C+ B A F -20 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 270 Pepperdine W 95 - 79 85% +12  97% 8 - 13 4 - 5 B- +7 A +13 A+ B- C- D- -7 F A B+
 Wed, Jan 28 117 Seattle W 70 - 58 58% +6  91% 9 - 13 5 - 5 B+ +12 C+ +3 A+ F F A +10 A+ C D
 Sat, Jan 31 215 Portland W 104 - 74 78% +15  94% 10 - 13 6 - 5 A+ +24 A+ +24 A+ A A+ C -1 A- F F
 Wed, Feb 4 160 @Oregon St. L 64 - 74 47% +4  76% 10 - 14 6 - 6 D+ -7 D- -8 F D+ B- C+ +0 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 44 Santa Clara L 92 - 96 24% -3  20% 10 - 15 6 - 7 B- +5 A+ +18 A+ A+ B F -12 F A+ D+
 Tue, Feb 10 11 @Gonzaga L 53 - 83 4% -21  0% 10 - 16 6 - 8 D+ -8 F -12 C+ F F B +4 C- A B+
 Wed, Feb 18 126 Pacific W 87 - 70 60% +6  75% 11 - 16 7 - 8 A- +17 A+ +18 A+ F A C -1 B+ B F
 Sat, Feb 21 32 St. Mary's L 67 - 83 19% -4  37% 11 - 17 7 - 9 C- -4 B +6 A+ D- C- F -12 F A C
 Wed, Feb 25 158 @Loyola Marymount L 66 - 67 46% +5  93% 11 - 18 7 - 10 C+ +2 D+ -4 B B- F B+ +6 A+ C F
 Sat, Feb 28 270 @Pepperdine L 79 - 88 69% -9  1% 11 - 19 7 - 11 D- -12 D+ -4 D+ D+ D- D- -7 D F+ C-
Totals 11 - 19 7 - 11 +2 B- +3 F A- C+ C- -1 B+ B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- A- C+ B+ A- 37% 30% 46% C+ A- C D+ C- D+ D+ B- C- C- C+ D C+ C 38% 23% 39% B- C B- C- C+ D C+ D C+
1.13 67% 40% 38% +6 0 1.16 30% 1.0 .29 18% .28 74% .21 1.10 57% 42% 33% 0 0 1.01 28% 1.1 .29 15% .29 75% .21
Nov
3		 Idaho C C A+ F C- 37% 16% 47% B+ C F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ C- A+ D- C F D- F 35% 12% 54% D+ F A D- B C- D+ D+ D
1.13 58% 75% 25% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.3 .24 7% .51 74% .38 1.16 56% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.17 21% 1.1 .24 15% .31 74% .23
Nov
7		 Davidson C- F B- F+ F+ 35% 26% 39% C- F+ B B- B F A+ A+ A+ D- F F+ F F 30% 22% 48% B- F A+ F B A F F F
0.99 44% 42% 28% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 23% .43 83% .35 1.22 79% 50% 45% +17 -1 1.35 18% 1.5 .27 21% .38 81% .31
Nov
10		 St. Thomas B B A+ D+ B 42% 10% 48% B- B C+ A+ A+ F B- A+ A B F A+ B B+ 35% 12% 54% B B+ A+ F A- D+ C+ F D+
1.18 65% 60% 30% +3 +2 1.10 31% 2.0 .62 22% .30 94% .28 1.03 78% 0% 32% +1 +1 1.06 3% 3.0 .10 13% .27 81% .22
Nov
14		 Washington B B D+ D- C+ 38% 12% 50% A+ B B+ C B A F+ A+ D F B+ F F+ C- 32% 19% 49% D D+ C+ C+ B- F+ F D+ F
1.11 63% 33% 28% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 11% .18 80% .14 1.30 53% 56% 39% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 11% .42 78% .33
Nov
19		 Southern Utah A+ A+ A+ C- A- 36% 24% 40% D+ B+ B- A+ A+ A- C- D+ C- C D+ F+ F F 31% 31% 38% A D- A+ A A+ C D+ D D+
1.36 71% 57% 35% +10 -1 1.21 34% 1.9 .66 10% .25 69% .17 1.03 63% 44% 40% +7 -2 1.12 17% 0.8 .13 19% .28 75% .21
Nov
25		 Arizona St. A+ A- C- A+ A+ 29% 22% 49% C- A+ C- A+ A A A+ B- A+ F D+ F F F 44% 14% 42% D- F C F F D+ F D F
1.32 64% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 30% 1.4 .43 15% .48 76% .36 1.40 64% 57% 48% +14 +1 1.32 32% 1.6 .52 14% .47 79% .38
Nov
26		 Seton Hall C- B+ A+ F C 43% 7% 50% A C+ C F D C+ D B+ C- C- F A+ B F+ 45% 34% 21% A D- A F F A A F B-
0.92 60% 67% 22% -7 +2 0.93 30% 0.7 .20 23% .31 75% .23 1.13 81% 25% 30% +4 -1 1.09 29% 1.9 .54 21% .25 85% .21
Dec
2		 Bradley F A F A+ B 23% 41% 36% F C+ D F F F F A+ D A+ C C A+ A+ 33% 21% 46% C A+ B+ F D+ F+ D+ A+ B
0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21 0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21
Dec
7		 Nevada D+ A F B B- 29% 26% 45% D- C A- F C F A+ A A+ F+ A+ B D- A- 33% 37% 31% A A D F F F+ C+ F D+
1.01 67% 18% 37% -1 -1 0.98 34% 0.9 .31 22% .45 77% .35 1.23 38% 33% 40% -6 -2 0.86 38% 1.4 .54 9% .37 86% .31
Dec
14		 USC D- B- F C+ C+ 34% 12% 54% B C+ F B F C- D D D A+ B- C- A+ A+ 48% 27% 25% C A+ A+ F+ A+ D+ F F+ F
0.87 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.98 12% 1.0 .12 18% .24 71% .17 0.97 57% 42% 9% -9 0 0.84 17% 1.2 .21 16% .57 79% .45
Dec
17		 Eastern Washington C- A+ A- B A 42% 12% 46% B- A B F F+ F F F F A+ C+ C A+ A+ 43% 19% 38% D+ A A A+ A+ D+ C A B-
1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09 0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20
Dec
20		 Mercer C- B+ A+ A+ A+ 37% 20% 43% C A+ F F F C B+ F C+ B- C F A+ C 28% 33% 39% A+ B- C+ B+ B D- A+ A+ A+
1.12 63% 60% 50% +17 0 1.35 17% 0.4 .07 17% .32 65% .21 1.04 59% 55% 25% 0 -2 0.98 31% 0.9 .27 13% .22 50% .11
Dec
28		 Portland D C+ F B- C- 33% 18% 49% C- C- D+ F F D A+ F+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 18% 45% C+ A+ C- F F+ F F A+ C
0.98 60% 13% 36% -2 0 0.98 28% 0.5 .15 19% .51 68% .34 0.91 45% 10% 16% -22 0 0.58 30% 1.4 .43 9% .38 58% .22
Dec
30		 Seattle F+ D F+ F F 30% 28% 43% D- F A+ F C F A+ F B+ C+ B+ D- F F+ 17% 30% 52% A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C- F F+ F
0.80 50% 31% 15% -17 -2 0.66 49% 0.6 .27 28% .47 57% .26 1.01 50% 43% 42% +6 -3 1.09 6% 0.0 .00 16% .44 76% .33
Jan
2		 Loyola Marymount C+ B A+ A+ A+ 35% 25% 39% C A+ F F F D+ F+ A+ C- D+ A- C- C- B+ 44% 19% 37% F B- A F B- F D- C- D
1.12 61% 54% 45% +12 -1 1.24 19% 0.6 .11 17% .22 92% .21 1.09 50% 40% 35% -3 +1 0.98 19% 1.3 .24 11% .32 70% .23
Jan
4		 Oregon St. A- A+ A+ D A 39% 17% 43% C A- A C+ A F+ A C A B- A- F C+ B- 33% 13% 53% D+ C+ A- F C D C- A+ B
1.24 72% 50% 30% +5 0 1.13 42% 1.1 .45 18% .41 73% .30 1.03 47% 50% 33% -3 +1 0.98 20% 1.7 .33 15% .38 67% .25
Jan
10		 St. Mary's A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 43% 12% 45% A- A+ C+ B B- D- A C A D+ B C- F F 33% 15% 52% C F+ A+ A+ A+ A- D F F
1.16 71% 67% 36% +11 +1 1.27 25% 1.0 .25 18% .33 74% .24 1.24 53% 38% 48% +9 0 1.21 29% 0.6 .18 20% .35 100% .35
Jan
15		 Gonzaga C F D+ A+ A+ 32% 14% 55% A A+ B F D- F A+ F C D C A- C+ A- 50% 22% 28% F B F B- F D+ C C C
0.96 43% 33% 50% +8 0 1.18 28% 0.4 .11 25% .39 50% .20 1.27 63% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 47% 1.1 .53 12% .28 71% .20
Jan
18		 San Francisco A A+ C A+ A+ 47% 15% 38% A- A+ D F F D F F+ F F B- D F F 33% 25% 42% A- F D- F F B+ C F D-
1.24 76% 38% 50% +17 +1 1.40 23% 0.7 .15 16% .06 67% .04 1.32 56% 42% 50% +10 -1 1.21 37% 1.4 .52 19% .34 83% .29
Jan
21		 San Diego A A- A- D+ C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ B+ C B A A- A+ A+ F F B- F F 26% 29% 45% A F F C- F F B- A+ A-
1.31 70% 50% 32% +5 +1 1.14 40% 1.1 .43 14% .42 84% .35 1.37 73% 35% 54% +16 -2 1.31 43% 1.0 .43 9% .20 54% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Pepperdine A A+ B A+ A+ 31% 13% 56% D+ A+ A- D+ B- C- C- C+ C D- D F D+ F 31% 37% 33% A+ F A- A+ A B+ B- F C-
1.34 76% 43% 43% +14 0 1.31 41% 1.0 .41 17% .25 73% .19 1.11 63% 63% 35% +11 -3 1.19 23% 0.7 .15 21% .27 87% .23
Jan
28		 Seattle C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 32% 27% 41% D A+ D F F F A F B A B- A+ A+ A+ 47% 16% 37% D A+ C+ C- C D C+ F C-
1.03 77% 64% 47% +21 -1 1.41 25% 0.3 .08 28% .39 63% .24 0.85 54% 13% 16% -16 +1 0.73 23% 0.9 .21 15% .29 76% .22
Jan
31		 Portland A+ A+ F A+ A+ 39% 13% 48% B A+ C A+ A A+ C A+ B C A+ F A+ A- 40% 26% 34% B A- D- F F F F A+ D-
1.45 73% 14% 52% +16 +1 1.36 32% 1.5 .48 11% .30 84% .25 1.03 40% 62% 24% -6 -1 0.88 33% 1.5 .49 13% .48 57% .27
Feb
4		 Oregon St. D- F F F+ F 32% 6% 62% B- F F A+ D+ B- A+ B A+ C+ B+ A A+ A+ 53% 20% 27% D- A+ D- B D+ F D- B- D
0.95 33% 0% 28% -16 +1 0.72 21% 1.4 .28 13% .44 77% .34 1.09 48% 27% 20% -13 +1 0.78 32% 1.2 .37 7% .43 74% .32
Feb
7		 Santa Clara A+ A- F A+ A+ 48% 12% 40% B A+ A A A+ B F+ A+ C- F F F F F 43% 20% 38% C F B- A+ A+ D+ C- F+ D
1.30 68% 17% 48% +11 +2 1.27 41% 1.3 .52 18% .26 87% .22 1.35 75% 64% 43% +17 0 1.38 34% 0.6 .22 14% .26 81% .21
Feb
10		 Gonzaga F A+ C+ F C 30% 17% 52% B+ C+ F F F F C+ A+ B+ B D+ F A+ C- 45% 36% 19% B- C- C A+ A B+ B+ F C
0.75 71% 38% 21% -6 0 0.89 10% 0.7 .07 30% .30 80% .24 1.17 67% 63% 20% +9 -1 1.17 36% 0.9 .32 17% .24 86% .20
Feb
18		 Pacific A+ A+ A- A+ A+ 28% 24% 48% C+ A+ C F F A F F+ F C A+ D- D+ B 36% 28% 36% A- B+ A- C B F A B- A
1.33 87% 46% 54% +24 -1 1.48 25% 0.3 .07 11% .14 63% .09 1.07 42% 47% 37% -2 -1 0.96 28% 1.0 .28 15% .20 73% .14
Feb
21		 St. Mary's B B F A A 52% 10% 38% A+ A+ B- F D- C- C B C+ F D- F F F 36% 32% 32% A F F A+ A C A A- A+
1.06 60% 20% 39% +2 +2 1.10 26% 0.4 .12 16% .25 77% .19 1.32 67% 50% 56% +18 -2 1.34 45% 0.7 .31 16% .23 75% .17
Feb
25		 Loyola Marymount D+ C C- A+ B+ 37% 29% 35% C- B C- A B- F F A+ F B+ A- C- A+ A+ 37% 31% 31% B- A+ C- B- C F C F D
0.97 56% 36% 41% +2 -1 1.04 30% 1.3 .37 25% .12 83% .10 0.99 50% 41% 24% -7 -2 0.85 28% 1.0 .28 9% .27 82% .23
Feb
28		 Pepperdine D+ D+ C- C- D+ 39% 19% 42% D D+ B+ F D+ D- C A+ B- D- D+ C C D+ 52% 20% 28% F+ D F B+ F+ C- F F F
1.05 55% 36% 33% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.8 .30 19% .26 81% .21 1.17 61% 36% 33% +1 +1 1.06 45% 0.8 .37 17% .38 88% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 99.9
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.9 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 17.9%
Lose Out 29.8%