Washington St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 #141
Expected Predictive Rating -1.2 #186
Pace 69.0 #178
Improvement +0.5 #157

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #112 A- C- D+ C C+
Defense #216 C C+ D C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #225 1.32 #29 +2.1 #105
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #249 0.82 #85 -0.8 #219
Three Pointers 46% #74 1.10 #74 +4.5 #42
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #41 +5.8 #41
Freethrows 17.1 #218 73% #161 12.5 #194
Second Chance 30.3% #189 0.97 #272 0.29 #231
Turnovers 17.7% #261
Total Offense +2.4 #112

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #273 1.14 #156 +2.2 #104
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #116 0.79 #235 -1.0 #263
Three Pointers 43% #136 1.03 #198 -1.0 #218
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #172 +0.2 #170
Freethrows 17.3 #165 74% #288 12.8 #186
Second Chance 25.5% #29 1.16 #315 0.30 #116
Turnovers 14.6% #289
Total Defense -1.3 #216

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.7% #144 -0.9% #98
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.5% #37 0.4% #190
Possession Length 16.7 #115 18.6 #333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #164 0.16 #140
Improvement +0.8 #139 -0.3 #210

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 2.6% 3.0% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 33.9% 38.1% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.9% 10.8%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 84.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 81 - 13
Quad 36 - 56 - 17
Quad 46 - 213 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 183 Idaho L 81 - 83 71% -9  0 - 1 -7 +3 C D+ A+ -10 F B+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 137 @Davidson L 69 - 85 37% -16  0 - 2 -11 -1 F A- F -11 F B- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 131 St. Thomas W 81 - 71 59% +15  1 - 2 +9 +9 B A+ F +0 B+ A D
 Fri, Nov 14 47 Washington L 69 - 81 25% -10  1 - 3 -4 +8 B B A+ -13 D B D-
 Wed, Nov 19 284 Southern Utah W 98 - 74 85% +12  2 - 3 +14 +19 A A+ A+ -6 F A+ C
 Tue, Nov 25 88 Arizona St. L 94 - 100 30% +2  2 - 4 +0 +21 A+ A A+ -20 F F C-
 Wed, Nov 26 56 Seton Hall L 61 - 75 19% -11  2 - 5 -4 +1 B- D C -6 F F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 119 @Bradley L 60 - 64 33% +3  2 - 6 +2 -9 C F F +10 A+ C- F
 Sun, Dec 7 80 Nevada L 64 - 78 37% -5  2 - 7 -10 -1 C+ C F -10 A+ F F
 Sun, Dec 14 48 @USC L 61 - 68 12% -6  2 - 8 +7 -4 C+ F C- +11 A+ A+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 243 Eastern Washington W 78 - 63 71% +12  3 - 8 +10 +0 A- F F +10 A+ A+ D
 Sat, Dec 20 149 Mercer W 84 - 78 63% +4  4 - 8 +4 +2 A+ F C +1 B A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 28 210 @Portland W 67 - 62 55% +3  5 - 8 1 - 0 +5 -3 C F D- +8 A+ F F
 Tue, Dec 30 121 @Seattle L 55 - 69 33% -6  5 - 9 1 - 1 -8 -9 F C- F -0 C- A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 155 Loyola Marymount W 78 - 76 65% -1  6 - 9 2 - 1 -1 +7 A+ F D+ -8 C+ B F
 Sun, Jan 4 195 Oregon St. W 81 - 67 73% +11  7 - 9 3 - 1 +9 +11 A- A+ F -1 C C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 42 @St. Mary's L 82 - 88 10% -9  7 - 10 3 - 2 +9 +16 A+ C F -7 D- A+ A
 Thu, Jan 15 6 Gonzaga L 65 - 86 7% -10  7 - 11 3 - 3 -3 +2 A+ F F -6 A- F D+
 Sun, Jan 18 101 @San Francisco L 80 - 85 26% -0  7 - 12 3 - 4 +3 +18 A+ F D -15 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 21 209 @San Diego L 92 - 96 54% -8  7 - 13 3 - 5 -4 +19 B+ C+ A+ -23 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 279 Pepperdine W 78 - 67 84%
 Wed, Jan 28 121 Seattle W 72 - 71 55%
 Sat, Jan 31 210 Portland W 80 - 73 75%
 Wed, Feb 4 195 @Oregon St. W 74 - 73 51%
 Sat, Feb 7 54 Santa Clara L 75 - 81 28%
 Tue, Feb 10 6 @Gonzaga L 69 - 91 2%
 Wed, Feb 18 132 Pacific W 75 - 73 58%
 Sat, Feb 21 42 St. Mary's L 69 - 77 23%
 Wed, Feb 25 155 @Loyola Marymount L 72 - 74 42%
 Sat, Feb 28 279 @Pepperdine W 75 - 70 67%
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 10 +1 +2 A- C- D+ -1 C C+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.5 4.9 6.9 2.6 0.3 15.2 4th
5th 0.1 6.1 10.1 3.2 0.2 19.8 5th
6th 0.0 2.8 11.8 4.2 0.2 0.0 19.0 6th
7th 0.4 9.6 6.0 0.4 16.3 7th
8th 0.0 4.1 7.9 0.8 0.0 12.8 8th
9th 0.7 6.0 1.6 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.1 2.4 2.2 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.6 0.2 2.3 11th
12th 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.7 12th
Total 0.2 1.2 4.8 12.9 22.0 25.2 19.5 10.4 3.4 0.5 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.5
11-7 3.4% 1.0% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.3
10-8 10.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4
9-9 19.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 19.5
8-10 25.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 25.1
7-11 22.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 22.0
6-12 12.9% 12.9
5-13 4.8% 4.8
4-14 1.2% 1.2
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 14.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%