Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.7 229
Expected Predictive Rating -5.9 259
Pace 69.4 161
Improvement +2.9 70

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C #154 C C+ D+ C C-
Defense D+ #292 D D- C D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 158 55% 261 -0.8 211
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 114 39% 141 +1.4 101
Three Pointers 37% 258 37% 38 +0.2 169
1st FG Attempt 1.03 149 +0.7 150
Second Chance 31.0% 165 1.08 107 0.33 124
Turnovers 18.8% 297
Freethrows 0.29 227 74% 120 0.22 192
Total Offense +0.3 154

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 51 59% 223 -3.6 305
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% 312 47% 360 +0.3 165
Three Pointers 40% 199 36% 269 -0.9 229
1st FG Attempt 1.10 312 -4.2 310
Second Chance 32.9% 283 1.16 335 0.38 327
Turnovers 16.6% 201
Freethrows 0.32 242 76% 337 0.24 276
Total Defense -4.0 292

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection -0.3 234 +0.9 336
Shot Type Accuracy +1.0 134 +3.2 298
Possession Length 17.4 189 17.1 152
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 309 0.20 283
Improvement +0.2 #168 +2.7 #47

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6% 7% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 59% 71% 35%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 2% 0% 4%
First Four5% 6% 4%
First Round4% 5% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Idaho St. (Home) - 66.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 34 - 124 - 17
Quad 46 - 411 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 34 @UCLA L 74 - 80 4% -7  11% 0 - 1 B+ +11 B +6 A+ D D- B +6 C B D
 Wed, Nov 5 151 @Loyola Marymount L 62 - 70 25% -1  34% 0 - 2 C- -5 F+ -10 C F D B +5 B+ F C
 Sat, Nov 8 77 @Colorado L 97 - 102 OT 10% -1  27% 0 - 3 B- +5 A+ +14 A+ D- B D- -8 D C D
 Wed, Nov 12 132 @Seattle L 67 - 94 21% -15  1% 0 - 4 F -22 D+ -3 B- D- C F -18 F F A-
 Sun, Nov 23 190 @Central Arkansas L 65 - 92 32% -20  0% 0 - 5 F -26 F -12 F+ B- F F -14 F B- C+
 Tue, Nov 25 144 @North Texas L 71 - 79 OT 23% -2  26% 0 - 6 C- -4 C- -0 C- D+ B C- -3 B- F+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 257 @Denver L 89 - 93 45% -0  47% 0 - 7 D+ -6 B+ +7 A+ C F F -14 F A D-
 Sat, Dec 6 357 UMKC W 90 - 66 90% +15  90% 1 - 7 B- +6 C +1 F+ A+ D+ B- +3 C- F A+
 Fri, Dec 12 138 California Baptist L 83 - 88 43% -5  19% 1 - 8 D+ -7 B+ +9 B+ A C F -15 F F B+
 Wed, Dec 17 125 Washington St. L 63 - 78 29% -12  0% 1 - 9 D- -13 F -15 F+ F D C+ +2 D- C+ B+
 Sat, Dec 20 110 @Utah L 77 - 101 16% -11  1% 1 - 10 F+ -17 C+ +3 D+ C B- F -20 F F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 21 @BYU L 81 - 109 2% -10  6% 1 - 11 D+ -7 B +7 B A D+ F -12 F+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 3 189 @Idaho L 81 - 84 32% -2  29% 1 - 12 0 - 1 C- -2 B +7 D- A+ F D- -9 F+ F B
 Thu, Jan 8 162 Montana St. L 64 - 68 49% +0  54% 1 - 13 0 - 2 D+ -7 D- -7 F D C+ C -1 D+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 170 Montana W 66 - 65 50% -2  22% 2 - 13 1 - 2 C- -3 D+ -3 C+ C- B- C+ +1 B C- D+
 Thu, Jan 15 232 @Weber St. L 80 - 91 40% -1  53% 2 - 14 1 - 3 D- -12 D+ -3 D A- F+ D- -8 D- F C+
 Sat, Jan 17 250 @Idaho St. W 84 - 66 44% +15  98% 3 - 14 2 - 3 A- +16 B+ +8 A F D- A- +9 A+ F F
 Thu, Jan 22 142 Portland St. L 61 - 65 43% -5  0% 3 - 15 2 - 4 D+ -6 F+ -9 D C+ C B- +3 A- F C
 Sat, Jan 24 254 Sacramento St. W 75 - 67 68% +7  94% 4 - 15 3 - 4 C -0 C -0 D- A+ C+ C+ +0 C+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 29 311 @Northern Arizona L 86 - 92 59% -12  0% 4 - 16 3 - 5 D- -12 A +12 C A- D F -24 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 175 @Northern Colorado L 71 - 74 29% +1  51% 4 - 17 3 - 6 C -1 C- -2 C B- F C+ +1 B B F
 Thu, Feb 5 170 @Montana W 82 - 74 28% -0  41% 5 - 17 4 - 6 B +10 B+ +8 A C- D- C+ +2 D B- A-
 Sat, Feb 7 162 @Montana St. W 72 - 71 27% +2  70% 6 - 17 5 - 6 C+ +4 B- +4 C A+ C- C -0 C- A F
 Thu, Feb 12 250 Idaho St. W 78 - 74 66%
 Sat, Feb 14 232 Weber St. W 82 - 79 62%
 Thu, Feb 19 254 @Sacramento St. L 82 - 83 45%
 Sat, Feb 21 142 @Portland St. L 69 - 77 23%
 Thu, Feb 26 175 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 51%
 Sat, Feb 28 311 Northern Arizona W 79 - 71 78%
 Mon, Mar 2 189 Idaho W 77 - 76 54%
Totals 10 - 20 9 - 9 -4 C +0 C C+ D+ D+ -4 D D- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C+ B C+ 39% 24% 37% C- C C C+ C+ D+ C- C+ C D+ C- F D+ D 44% 16% 40% D D D+ D- D- C C- D- D+
1.09 55% 39% 37% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.1 .33 19% .29 74% .22 1.14 59% 47% 36% +3 +1 1.10 33% 1.2 .38 17% .32 76% .22
Nov
3		 UCLA B A+ B C- A+ 38% 15% 48% B A+ F+ B- D D- D+ F D- B C- F C+ C 33% 28% 40% C C C A- B D A+ A+ A+
1.05 89% 43% 30% +10 +1 1.23 21% 1.0 .21 23% .26 64% .16 1.13 63% 50% 35% +6 -1 1.10 33% 1.0 .33 11% .16 60% .10
Nov
5		 Loyola Marymount F+ B- C- F+ C+ 40% 36% 23% D C F F F D A+ F+ A B B+ D- A- A- 36% 19% 45% D B+ C+ F F C F A- D-
0.88 58% 35% 27% -3 -2 0.91 18% 0.5 .09 18% .44 68% .30 0.99 53% 44% 29% -4 0 0.94 26% 1.8 .47 18% .37 62% .23
Nov
8		 Colorado A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 28% C A+ F B D- B C- C+ C D- A- F F D+ 52% 13% 36% F D C+ C- C D F A- F
1.24 64% 53% 56% +16 -1 1.33 18% 1.2 .21 14% .28 74% .21 1.30 52% 57% 50% +8 +2 1.21 31% 1.0 .31 11% .56 69% .39
Nov
12		 Seattle D+ D+ A C B- 42% 23% 35% C B- F C- D- C C F+ D+ F F F F F 50% 13% 37% D- F B F F A- B+ C+ B+
0.91 50% 50% 33% -1 0 1.00 22% 0.9 .19 20% .29 65% .19 1.28 69% 71% 53% +20 +2 1.46 21% 1.8 .38 22% .23 69% .16
Nov
23		 Central Arkansas F F F C- F 27% 10% 63% C F+ A- D- B- F D+ D+ D+ F D A+ F F 43% 4% 53% F F D A B- C+ B B B
0.90 46% 20% 33% -6 0 0.92 36% 1.0 .36 31% .26 69% .18 1.28 65% 0% 54% +17 +3 1.42 30% 0.8 .24 17% .23 64% .15
Nov
25		 North Texas C- C- D- D C- 40% 26% 34% C- C- B- F D+ B D- A C- C- C- D+ A+ B- 42% 17% 42% C+ B- C+ F F+ D+ F B- F
0.97 55% 31% 29% -5 -1 0.90 36% 0.8 .28 21% .33 79% .26 1.08 60% 38% 20% -8 +1 0.88 32% 1.3 .41 16% .49 67% .33
Dec
3		 Denver B+ A+ A A+ A+ 34% 34% 32% F A+ D A- C F C+ B B- F D+ B- F F 38% 23% 38% D F D+ A+ A D- F F F
1.28 82% 47% 50% +19 -2 1.36 30% 1.3 .39 17% .33 74% .24 1.34 61% 36% 61% +16 0 1.34 32% 0.7 .23 12% .54 85% .46
Dec
6		 UMKC C D+ C+ F F 43% 9% 47% B F+ B A+ A+ D+ A+ B A+ B- D C+ A+ C 48% 29% 23% D C- C- F F A+ F A- D-
1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31 0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24
Dec
12		 California Baptist B+ D- B+ A+ B+ 56% 21% 23% B B+ A- A A C A+ F A F D- F B- F 53% 18% 29% D F F D F B+ F F F
1.18 48% 45% 50% +2 +1 1.08 33% 1.2 .39 16% .45 67% .30 1.25 63% 75% 31% +8 +1 1.20 54% 1.0 .54 21% .50 82% .41
Dec
17		 Washington St. F C- C F F 43% 19% 38% B F+ D+ F F D C+ F+ C- C+ F+ F D+ D 42% 12% 46% D- D- F A+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.89 57% 40% 20% -8 +1 0.87 23% 0.6 .13 17% .31 67% .20 1.10 73% 50% 38% +10 +1 1.25 38% 0.7 .28 21% .16 56% .09
Dec
20		 Utah C+ C F C D+ 35% 25% 40% D D+ A F C B- B+ C B F F D- F F 46% 13% 40% D F A- F F D+ B- B- B
1.09 57% 27% 33% -3 -1 0.93 41% 0.7 .30 14% .31 68% .21 1.43 83% 43% 52% +24 +1 1.52 24% 2.0 .48 14% .28 71% .20
Dec
22		 BYU B A- A+ D- A- 11% 40% 49% F B B- A+ A D+ D B+ D+ F F B- D F+ 25% 13% 62% D+ F+ D- F F D+ B- F C-
1.08 67% 52% 29% +3 -5 0.98 29% 1.5 .45 19% .20 75% .15 1.45 93% 38% 38% +12 0 1.27 43% 1.4 .60 12% .30 85% .26
Jan
3		 Idaho B D F+ C+ D 32% 36% 32% F+ D- A+ D A+ F A+ D- A- D- A F F+ F 31% 13% 56% C F+ F F F B F C+ F
1.17 53% 32% 35% -3 -2 0.91 57% 0.9 .52 22% .46 68% .31 1.21 43% 83% 40% +6 0 1.16 40% 1.2 .47 19% .51 72% .37
Jan
8		 Montana St. D- F A F F 48% 20% 32% C+ F B F D C+ B A+ A+ C C- D D D 31% 28% 41% B- D+ F A D+ A+ F F+ F
0.99 38% 50% 25% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.7 .26 15% .31 94% .29 1.05 58% 45% 38% +4 -2 1.08 41% 0.8 .33 26% .44 81% .36
Jan
10		 Montana D+ F A+ A C+ 42% 23% 35% C C+ F A+ C- B- F A+ F C+ D A A+ A- 61% 15% 24% F B F A C- D+ D- F+ F+
1.04 45% 50% 39% 0 0 1.02 17% 1.6 .28 14% .13 100% .13 1.02 64% 29% 18% -3 +2 1.00 30% 0.9 .27 19% .35 83% .29
Jan
15		 Weber St. D+ D C+ C D+ 45% 31% 24% D- D D+ A+ A- F+ A+ A+ A+ D- A- F F D 56% 10% 34% F+ D- D- F+ F C+ F F F
1.07 55% 40% 33% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.7 .45 20% .45 81% .37 1.21 46% 60% 47% +2 +3 1.12 37% 1.2 .43 17% .48 80% .39
Jan
17		 Idaho St. B+ F+ B+ A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% F A D- F F D- A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A+ A+ 41% 13% 46% D+ A+ C- F F F D F F
1.24 50% 50% 67% +15 -2 1.29 24% 0.3 .08 18% .61 82% .50 0.98 42% 67% 19% -13 +1 0.78 33% 1.3 .42 12% .35 90% .32
Jan
22		 Portland St. F+ F+ D D+ D 42% 29% 29% D D D A+ C+ C B C B- B- C- A+ A+ A 56% 19% 25% D A- B- F F C A- F C+
0.90 47% 31% 31% -8 -1 0.84 24% 1.3 .30 19% .42 74% .31 0.96 59% 22% 17% -9 +2 0.88 29% 1.6 .46 19% .24 85% .20
Jan
24		 Sacramento St. C C+ F F+ F+ 44% 14% 42% C D- C A+ A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ C+ C- A+ B- B 41% 18% 41% F C+ A F C- B F F F
1.16 59% 14% 29% -6 +1 0.92 33% 2.0 .67 15% .33 83% .27 1.03 56% 14% 31% -7 +1 0.90 19% 1.8 .35 18% .53 86% .45
Jan
29		 Northern Arizona A D- F A+ C- 51% 10% 39% B+ C A+ D+ A- D A+ B+ A+ F A- F F F 55% 8% 37% F F D F F F F F F
1.33 52% 20% 47% +3 +2 1.12 49% 1.0 .49 19% .53 79% .42 1.42 48% 50% 56% +7 +3 1.22 27% 2.0 .54 8% .47 93% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Northern Colorado C- D D- A- C 52% 17% 31% B C D A+ B- F F A+ F C+ C- F A+ A- 38% 9% 54% F+ B D+ A+ B F B+ F B
1.05 52% 33% 38% -2 +1 1.00 21% 1.7 .36 18% .18 90% .16 1.10 62% 60% 27% -2 +1 1.00 31% 0.8 .24 6% .17 82% .14
Feb
5		 Montana B+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 24% 43% D+ A C C- C- D- A+ F A- C+ C- F D+ D- 38% 21% 40% B- D D A+ B- A- C- C+ C-
1.16 56% 50% 43% +8 -1 1.16 29% 1.0 .29 18% .42 63% .26 1.05 61% 60% 37% +8 0 1.17 27% 0.8 .20 24% .32 76% .24
Feb
7		 Montana St. B- D- D+ A+ C- 54% 22% 24% C+ C B+ A+ A+ C- F+ A- D C A F D- C 36% 18% 46% D- C- A A- A F F+ B+ D-
1.11 48% 36% 42% -3 +1 0.98 37% 1.4 .52 17% .20 82% .17 1.09 44% 56% 39% +2 0 1.06 21% 0.9 .18 8% .33 70% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.5 1.6 1.0 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.9 6.1 4.6 0.4 12.0 3rd
4th 0.3 9.3 11.6 2.1 23.4 4th
5th 0.0 4.7 14.1 2.1 0.0 21.0 5th
6th 1.1 11.7 3.8 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.2 5.3 6.9 0.3 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 2.4 5.7 0.8 8.9 8th
9th 0.2 1.1 0.3 1.7 9th
10th 0.2 0.1 0.4 10th
Total 0.5 3.9 12.5 24.4 28.4 20.4 8.4 1.6 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 7.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.6% 17.4% 17.4% 15.3 0.2 0.1 1.3
11-7 8.4% 9.9% 9.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 7.6
10-8 20.4% 8.7% 8.7% 16.0 1.8 18.6
9-9 28.4% 6.7% 6.7% 16.0 1.9 26.5
8-10 24.4% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.8 23.6
7-11 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 12.3
6-12 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8
5-13 0.5% 0.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.8% 5.8% 0.0% 16.0 94.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 15.3 70.4 29.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 0.2%