California Baptist
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#130
Expected Predictive Rating+10.3#63
Pace65.1#296
Improvement-0.5#229

Offense
Total Offense-0.3#174
First Shot+2.1#121
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#311
Layup/Dunks+5.7#25
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#286
Freethrows+1.4#106
Improvement-0.6#231

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#102
First Shot+1.3#131
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#112
Layups/Dunks-1.4#229
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#117
Freethrows+1.0#122
Improvement+0.1#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.7% 27.9% 23.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.2
.500 or above 97.7% 99.3% 96.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.1% 92.7% 88.7%
Conference Champion 26.8% 31.7% 24.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round24.7% 27.8% 23.0%
Second Round2.2% 2.8% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Utah (Away) - 34.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 37 - 8
Quad 416 - 323 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 278 South Carolina Upstate W 87-75 86%     1 - 0 +2.6 +9.8 -7.4
  Fri, Nov 7 125 @UC Irvine W 69-61 36%     2 - 0 +13.8 +3.5 +10.2
  Fri, Nov 14 361 Western Illinois W 69-59 96%     3 - 0 -7.5 -5.1 -1.2
  Tue, Nov 18 271 UC Riverside W 80-57 85%     4 - 0 +13.9 -4.1 +16.1
  Fri, Nov 21 284 Grambling St. W 72-59 86%     5 - 0 +3.3 +2.2 +2.3
  Tue, Nov 25 262 San Diego W 76-61 77%     6 - 0 +9.3 -1.8 +10.9
  Sat, Nov 29 163 @Oregon St. W 75-69 49%     7 - 0 +8.4 +5.8 +2.8
  Mon, Dec 1 64 @Colorado L 70-78 18%     7 - 1 +3.8 +2.6 +0.9
  Wed, Dec 3 8 BYU L 44-66 6%     7 - 2 -2.7 +0.7 -14.2
  Sat, Dec 6 117 @Utah L 70-74 35%    
  Fri, Dec 12 251 @Eastern Washington W 75-71 65%    
  Tue, Dec 16 201 Southern W 76-68 76%    
  Sat, Dec 20 274 Sacramento St. W 78-67 85%    
  Mon, Dec 29 90 @Utah Valley L 65-72 27%    
  Thu, Jan 1 190 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 54%    
  Sat, Jan 3 202 @Tarleton St. W 71-69 55%    
  Thu, Jan 8 254 Utah Tech W 73-63 82%    
  Sat, Jan 10 320 Southern Utah W 77-63 90%    
  Thu, Jan 15 234 @Abilene Christian W 66-62 63%    
  Wed, Jan 21 254 Utah Tech W 73-63 83%    
  Sat, Jan 24 90 Utah Valley L 68-69 47%    
  Sat, Jan 31 190 @Texas Arlington W 68-67 54%    
  Thu, Feb 5 202 Tarleton St. W 74-66 75%    
  Sat, Feb 7 234 Abilene Christian W 69-59 80%    
  Thu, Feb 12 320 @Southern Utah W 74-66 77%    
  Sat, Feb 14 254 @Utah Tech W 70-66 65%    
  Thu, Feb 19 90 @Utah Valley L 65-72 28%    
  Thu, Feb 26 190 Texas Arlington W 71-64 74%    
  Sat, Feb 28 202 Tarleton St. W 74-66 75%    
  Thu, Mar 5 234 Abilene Christian W 69-59 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 320 @Southern Utah W 74-66 77%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 4.7 6.8 6.8 4.3 1.8 0.3 26.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.5 7.1 11.3 9.8 5.5 1.8 0.1 38.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.2 6.3 5.4 2.6 0.5 0.0 18.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.5 4.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 9.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 7th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.9 4.7 8.0 10.8 13.3 15.6 14.9 12.3 8.5 4.4 1.8 0.3 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.8    1.8
16-2 97.9% 4.3    3.9 0.4
15-3 79.2% 6.8    5.2 1.6
14-4 55.5% 6.8    4.4 2.4 0.1
13-5 31.3% 4.7    2.4 2.1 0.2
12-6 10.8% 1.7    0.5 0.9 0.3 0.0
11-7 3.0% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 26.8% 26.8 18.4 7.5 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 51.7% 49.4% 2.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 4.5%
17-1 1.8% 58.0% 58.0% 11.8 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.7
16-2 4.4% 46.7% 46.7% 12.2 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.6 0.0 2.3
15-3 8.5% 41.3% 41.3% 12.6 0.1 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.0
14-4 12.3% 37.1% 37.1% 12.8 0.0 1.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 7.8
13-5 14.9% 29.1% 29.1% 13.1 0.0 0.9 2.3 1.0 0.1 10.6
12-6 15.6% 25.5% 25.5% 13.4 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.5 0.2 11.7
11-7 13.3% 17.9% 17.9% 13.7 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.3 10.9
10-8 10.8% 11.7% 11.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 9.5
9-9 8.0% 10.3% 10.3% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 7.2
8-10 4.7% 7.9% 7.9% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.3
7-11 2.9% 4.9% 4.9% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.8
6-12 1.4% 2.9% 2.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.7
4-14 0.2% 0.2
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 24.7% 24.7% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 6.5 9.8 5.9 1.4 0.2 75.3 0.0%