Utah Tech
Western Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating -2.1 198
Results Rating +0.5 149
Consistency 0.11 15
Pace 66.5 240
Improvement +2.9 75

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 157 C+ D+ C+ F+ C+
Defense C- 245 C C- D+ C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 193 B- 61% 94 +1.0 141
2 Pt. Jumpers 33% 236 C 38% 182 -0.9 231
Three Pointers 44% 128 C+ 35% 130 +2.1 107
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.3 157 C+ +1.8 110
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 109
Second Chance C- 28.0% 248 D 0.93 311 D+ 0.26 289
Opponents' Steals C 9.3% 166
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 148
Turnovers C+ 16.3% 147
Freethrows F+ 0.23 357 C 72% 202 F+ 0.17 355
Total Offense C +0.2 157

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 177 B- 9.7% 109
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 203 B 2.6% 33
Three Pointers C- 82% 237 B- 0.6% 108
Total C 56% 177 B 4.4% 51


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 105 D- 65% 342 +4.7 332
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 284 B 34% 54 -1.9 37
Three Pointers 41% 171 B+ 30% 32 -2.3 81
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 284 C -0.1 170
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 193
Second Chance C- 32.0% 258 C 1.04 196 C- 0.33 241
Turnovers from Steals C- 8.9% 221
Other Turnovers D 6.2% 318
Turnovers D+ 15.1% 281
Freethrows C+ 0.29 141 C 72% 158 C+ 0.21 137
Total Defense C- -2.3 245

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 159 D- 5.4% 352
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 140 C+ 6.1% 94
Three Pointers B+ 78% 33 C 0.9% 145
Total C+ 53% 119 D 3.7% 323

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 212 17.6 245
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 267 0.16 151
Consistency 0.12 187 0.11 92
Improvement +4.2 24 -1.3 258

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 215 195 172
Results Rating Rank 176 156 134
Conference Record 11 - 7 11 - 7 12 - 6
Conference Finish 3 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7% 11% 6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 4% 11% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round7% 11% 6%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Utah Valley (Home) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 50 - 9
Quad 37 - 37 - 12
Quad 49 - 316 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 284 @South Dakota W 81 - 79 OT 56% +2  66% 1 - 0 C- -2 F+ -8 C F D B+ +6 A+ C- C
 Fri, Nov 7 4 @Arizona L 67 - 93 1% -11  8% 1 - 1 C+ +2 B +6 B- B- D+ C- -3 F A+ B
 Sun, Nov 9 58 @Arizona St. L 66 - 81 9% -11  0% 1 - 2 C- -2 D -4 C- C D B- +2 B D+ F+
 Wed, Nov 12 323 Manhattan L 75 - 79 79% -3  12% 1 - 3 D- -15 C- -2 F C+ B+ F -13 F F B+
 Fri, Nov 14 365 Mississippi Valley W 81 - 75 2OT 96% +3  69% 2 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 D+ F B F+ -10 F A- F
 Sat, Nov 15 118 @Hawaii L 62 - 68 22% -6  0% 2 - 4 C -0 D- -8 C- F D A- +8 B+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 154 Portland St. L 63 - 68 52% -1  41% 2 - 5 D+ -8 F -10 C+ F C B- +3 B B- A
 Sat, Nov 29 275 UC Riverside W 77 - 69 75% +4  87% 3 - 5 C -1 B +7 B+ C A D- -7 F+ D D+
 Wed, Dec 3 43 @Santa Clara L 80 - 90 6% -12  0% 3 - 6 B- +5 C+ +3 A+ D F B- +3 C+ C- B
 Sat, Dec 20 211 @Weber St. W 82 - 80 41% +1  59% 4 - 6 C+ +2 B+ +8 A F B D -6 F A+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 72 @Creighton L 69 - 92 11% -11  0% 4 - 7 D- -12 D -5 B C+ F D- -7 F A+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 262 Southern Utah W 80 - 66 74% +2  51% 5 - 7 1 - 0 B- +5 C- -2 C+ C- D- A- +7 B B- B-
 Thu, Jan 1 235 @Abilene Christian W 79 - 64 46% +14  83% 6 - 7 2 - 0 B+ +14 A- +10 A+ D C B +4 D- A- A+
 Thu, Jan 8 133 @California Baptist L 72 - 84 25% -7  5% 6 - 8 2 - 1 D+ -7 A- +10 A F+ C+ F -19 C- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 96 @Utah Valley L 76 - 92 16% -7  9% 6 - 9 2 - 2 D+ -7 C -0 C+ B- F D -6 C+ F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 180 Texas Arlington L 52 - 56 58% -5  8% 6 - 10 2 - 3 D -8 F -20 F D+ A A+ +11 A- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 17 219 Tarleton St. W 75 - 71 67% +6  99% 7 - 10 3 - 3 C- -3 C- -1 B D- C- C- -2 B A- F
 Wed, Jan 21 133 @California Baptist L 64 - 73 25% -5  8% 7 - 11 3 - 4 C- -4 C+ +2 D- A- A+ D- -8 C+ F F
 Sat, Jan 24 262 Southern Utah W 102 - 91 74% +8  91% 8 - 11 4 - 4 C+ +2 A+ +19 B+ A A+ F -17 F+ D- F
 Thu, Jan 29 235 @Abilene Christian W 76 - 70 46% +7  99% 9 - 11 5 - 4 C+ +5 C- -1 C- B F B+ +5 C+ F C
 Sat, Jan 31 219 @Tarleton St. W 65 - 59 44% +1  46% 10 - 11 6 - 4 B- +5 C- -2 A+ F C A- +8 A+ F C+
 Thu, Feb 5 180 Texas Arlington W 87 - 84 2OT 58% +1  49% 11 - 11 7 - 4 C -1 B +6 B+ B A D- -8 B- F F
 Thu, Feb 12 96 Utah Valley W 81 - 77 32% +10  97% 12 - 11 8 - 4 B- +7 A- +11 A+ A+ B+ D+ -5 F A+ B
 Sat, Feb 14 133 California Baptist W 70 - 65 46% +1  54% 13 - 11 9 - 4 C+ +4 C+ +3 A- D A C+ +1 A+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 180 @Texas Arlington L 50 - 63 35% -6  5% 13 - 12 9 - 5 D -11 F -13 F F D+ C +0 B F C-
 Sat, Feb 21 219 @Tarleton St. W 80 - 72 44% -2  21% 14 - 12 10 - 5 B- +7 A +13 D A+ A D -5 B+ D F
 Thu, Feb 26 235 Abilene Christian W 85 - 81 69% +4  75% 15 - 12 11 - 5 C- -3 B+ +9 A D- A+ F -12 D D- F
 Sat, Feb 28 262 @Southern Utah L 67 - 81 52% -4  35% 15 - 13 11 - 6 F+ -17 D- -6 C F D- F -11 D+ F F
 Sat, Mar 7 96 Utah Valley L 72 - 77 33%
Totals 15 - 14 11 - 7 -2 C +0 C C+ C+ C- -2 C+ C F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C B- C C+ C+ 38% 33% 44% C+ C+ C- D D+ C+ F+ C F+ C- D- B B+ C 42% 17% 41% D+ C C- C C- D+ C+ C C+
1.09 61% 38% 35% +2 0 1.06 28% 0.9 .26 16% .23 72% .17 1.12 65% 34% 30% 0 +1 1.03 32% 1.0 .33 15% .29 72% .17
Nov
3		 South Dakota F+ C+ A+ F C- 54% 8% 38% B+ C D F F D F F F B+ B C+ A+ A+ 49% 24% 27% C A+ D- B+ C- C F D+ F
0.98 61% 80% 26% 0 +3 1.08 28% 0.6 .16 18% .19 62% .12 0.96 52% 36% 13% -12 0 0.78 32% 0.9 .27 17% .51 77% .39
Nov
7		 Arizona B B D+ F+ C+ 26% 26% 48% B- B- B+ C B- D+ A+ C+ A+ C- F B F F 47% 26% 26% C- F C A+ A+ B B B+ B+
0.94 58% 33% 27% -6 -2 0.87 29% 0.8 .24 20% .47 70% .33 1.31 84% 36% 50% +18 0 1.38 41% 0.5 .22 17% .34 70% .24
Nov
9		 Arizona St. D C+ C- D C 24% 22% 53% D+ C- D- A C D A+ F B- B- D+ B B B 36% 26% 38% B+ B B- F D+ F+ A+ C+ A+
0.93 58% 36% 31% -3 -1 0.94 25% 1.2 .30 23% .40 59% .24 1.14 62% 33% 32% -1 -1 0.98 30% 1.5 .43 11% .25 75% .19
Nov
12		 Manhattan C- F D+ D+ F 38% 15% 46% C+ F B D C+ B+ C+ F D+ F D+ C+ F F 52% 17% 30% F F F C F B+ F D- F
1.16 50% 38% 33% -4 +1 0.96 43% 1.0 .43 12% .26 60% .16 1.22 58% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.13 38% 1.1 .41 19% .38 85% .32
Nov
14		 Mississippi Valley D- A+ B F D+ 32% 17% 51% C- D+ D+ F F B B F+ C F+ F D+ A F 31% 29% 41% F F C+ A+ A- F A F B+
1.09 82% 44% 26% +3 0 1.08 34% 0.6 .22 15% .44 68% .30 1.01 83% 41% 25% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.5 .11 16% .18 82% .14
Nov
15		 Hawaii D- B+ D+ F C 35% 26% 39% D C- F F F D D- B D+ A- D- F A+ B+ 50% 17% 33% C- B+ D+ F F A+ F F F
0.88 63% 36% 24% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 18% .26 73% .19 0.96 67% 57% 7% -6 +1 0.93 32% 1.7 .54 27% .49 84% .41
Nov
25		 Portland St. F A- D+ F C+ 43% 21% 36% C C+ F F F C F A- F B- D+ A+ A B+ 43% 19% 38% C B F A+ B- A F C- F
0.89 67% 33% 25% -2 0 0.98 10% 0.7 .06 18% .17 80% .14 0.96 60% 22% 28% -6 0 0.91 41% 0.6 .26 24% .44 71% .31
Nov
29		 UC Riverside B C A+ B- B+ 49% 22% 29% C B+ F+ A+ C A D+ A+ B- D- F F A- F 39% 22% 39% C+ F+ C- F+ D D+ D+ B C-
1.22 58% 64% 36% +7 +1 1.16 22% 1.4 .30 11% .32 83% .27 1.09 72% 50% 28% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.0 .29 17% .32 71% .23
Dec
3		 Santa Clara C+ A C- B A+ 45% 11% 45% B A+ A+ F D F F A+ F B- F C+ B+ C+ 38% 12% 50% D+ C+ F A- C- B B A+ A
1.05 72% 33% 36% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.6 .25 29% .15 100% .15 1.18 74% 43% 30% +4 +1 1.12 45% 1.0 .45 18% .21 54% .11
Dec
20		 Weber St. B+ A+ A+ B A+ 28% 28% 44% F A C F F B A F B- D D A+ F F 51% 5% 44% F F A A+ A+ C F C- F
1.23 86% 57% 36% +15 -2 1.28 29% 0.4 .13 14% .40 65% .26 1.20 64% 0% 53% +13 +3 1.35 23% 0.3 .08 17% .54 73% .40
Dec
22		 Creighton D B D+ C- B- 49% 17% 34% A B F A+ C+ F F+ F F+ D- F B F F 43% 5% 52% F F C A+ A+ C+ B- B- B-
0.96 62% 33% 33% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.8 .30 21% .14 63% .09 1.28 75% 33% 45% +15 +2 1.38 28% 0.4 .13 15% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 Southern Utah C- C- F A+ C- 53% 11% 36% A C+ B+ F C- D- D F F+ A- A- F+ B+ A- 51% 14% 35% F B C+ B- B- B- F A+ D-
1.11 55% 17% 45% +2 +2 1.11 38% 0.7 .28 17% .22 62% .13 0.92 48% 43% 29% -7 +2 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 21% .37 62% .23
Jan
1		 Abilene Christian A- A- A+ A+ A+ 37% 11% 52% C+ A+ C F D C F A+ F B F A+ A+ F+ 46% 22% 33% D D- C+ A+ A- A+ D- B D
1.19 71% 60% 46% +16 +1 1.37 26% 0.8 .22 23% .23 92% .21 0.96 86% 20% 20% +2 0 1.07 31% 0.7 .21 27% .39 68% .27
Jan
8		 California Baptist A- A- D A A 49% 19% 32% B A C+ F F+ C+ B- B+ B F B D C C 46% 15% 39% D+ C- F F F F F D- F
1.15 65% 33% 40% +5 +1 1.15 29% 0.4 .13 14% .34 78% .26 1.35 48% 43% 33% -4 +1 0.96 52% 1.4 .73 11% .47 77% .36
Jan
10		 Utah Valley C D+ C+ B- C 49% 21% 30% C+ C+ C- A B- F C+ A+ A D C+ F A C+ 54% 13% 33% C- C+ B+ F F+ D+ F F F
0.99 52% 40% 36% -2 +1 1.00 29% 1.2 .35 25% .35 90% .31 1.20 59% 57% 28% 0 +2 1.06 31% 1.5 .47 18% .43 89% .38
Jan
15		 Texas Arlington F F F F F 51% 23% 26% A- F B- F D+ A D- F F A+ A B A A+ 62% 13% 26% F A- C+ A+ A+ B+ F+ F F
0.77 44% 17% 7% -22 +1 0.58 32% 0.9 .28 12% .30 50% .15 0.83 41% 33% 25% -14 +3 0.79 33% 0.5 .15 24% .41 81% .33
Jan
17		 Tarleton St. C- A+ F C B 38% 11% 51% B B F B D- C- B C+ B C- C+ F A+ A- 57% 17% 26% F B F A+ A- F D A+ B
1.08 88% 0% 35% +8 +1 1.20 23% 1.2 .27 23% .43 74% .32 1.02 55% 50% 13% -8 +2 0.90 39% 0.6 .22 11% .36 59% .21
Jan
21		 California Baptist C+ F F A+ D- 36% 28% 36% D D- B- A+ A- A+ F A+ F+ D- B- B B- C+ 49% 18% 33% D+ C+ B- F F F F A+ C
1.03 37% 20% 42% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.2 .36 10% .18 100% .18 1.18 50% 33% 31% -6 +1 0.92 35% 1.4 .49 11% .38 57% .22
Jan
24		 Southern Utah A+ B- B+ A B 52% 18% 31% B+ B+ B- A+ A A+ B- B B F F A B F+ 50% 24% 26% D+ F+ C F D- F F F F
1.41 63% 45% 42% +7 +1 1.19 34% 1.3 .46 4% .29 75% .22 1.26 76% 25% 31% +5 0 1.12 30% 1.2 .37 12% .47 80% .38
Jan
29		 Abilene Christian C- C+ F A+ C- 45% 17% 38% C C- B C+ B F A+ D- A B+ C+ A+ B- B 48% 14% 38% F C+ B- F F C A A+ A+
1.03 63% 14% 44% +4 +1 1.12 31% 1.1 .34 28% .57 67% .38 0.95 54% 14% 32% -7 +2 0.92 30% 1.5 .43 20% .26 53% .14
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Tarleton St. C- A C- A+ A+ 30% 17% 52% C- A+ F F F C F F F A- A C- A+ A+ 46% 10% 44% F A+ F C- F C+ C- F D
1.02 71% 38% 50% +16 0 1.35 21% 0.0 .00 22% .16 38% .06 0.93 45% 40% 14% -19 +2 0.69 44% 1.0 .44 20% .34 82% .28
Feb
5		 Texas Arlington B D+ B- A B 48% 21% 31% A- B+ B B- B A F+ C- D- D- C D+ A+ B- 46% 18% 36% D+ B- B- F F F A+ A A+
1.14 54% 42% 39% +1 +1 1.05 33% 1.2 .39 12% .30 70% .21 1.10 55% 42% 21% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.4 .47 10% .16 64% .10
Feb
12		 Utah Valley A- B- A+ A A+ 47% 20% 33% C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B+ D F F D+ F F B+ F 53% 12% 35% C- F C- A+ A+ B C- B+ C+
1.20 58% 60% 41% +8 +1 1.20 37% 1.3 .47 18% .29 63% .18 1.14 77% 50% 29% +9 +2 1.24 38% 0.5 .19 22% .30 63% .19
Feb
14		 California Baptist C+ F+ C- A+ B+ 50% 15% 35% A- A- D+ D- D A C- F D C+ A+ C A- A+ 28% 15% 57% B- A+ C- B+ B- F F A+ C-
1.09 46% 38% 50% +2 +1 1.10 24% 0.8 .19 11% .30 65% .19 1.01 20% 38% 29% -15 0 0.72 39% 0.8 .30 8% .37 59% .22
Feb
19		 Texas Arlington F D- A- F F+ 13% 33% 54% F F F+ F F D+ F A+ F+ C F A+ A+ B 49% 21% 30% C- B F D- F C- B+ A+ A+
0.82 50% 47% 20% -10 -3 0.76 20% 0.7 .14 18% .24 83% .20 1.03 74% 0% 14% -9 +1 0.85 43% 1.1 .46 20% .28 57% .16
Feb
21		 Tarleton St. A C C C- D 21% 21% 57% D- D B- A+ A+ A C- A+ B D F A+ B- B- 26% 38% 36% A+ B+ B F D F A- F C+
1.23 60% 40% 33% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.8 .67 17% .37 85% .32 1.11 71% 20% 32% -5 -3 0.87 28% 1.3 .36 11% .26 87% .22
Feb
26		 Abilene Christian B+ A A+ B A 51% 14% 35% B A F A- D- A+ F C+ F F F A+ A+ D- 42% 23% 35% C- D A+ F D- F A F C+
1.22 73% 71% 39% +15 +2 1.35 17% 1.3 .21 17% .26 73% .19 1.16 79% 23% 25% +1 0 1.04 19% 1.8 .35 10% .25 88% .22
Feb
28		 Southern Utah D- F D- A+ C+ 37% 29% 33% D- C F F F D- D A+ C F D- F A- D 34% 24% 42% B D+ F F+ F F F B- F
1.01 47% 33% 53% +4 -1 1.08 13% 0.5 .07 17% .22 83% .18 1.22 65% 50% 29% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.1 .49 14% .40 70% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 3.6 3.6 1st
2nd 4.7 15.6 20.4 2nd
3rd 62.4 13.6 76.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
Total 67.1 32.9 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 11.1% 3.6    0.6 3.1
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total 3.6% 3.6 0.6 3.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 32.9% 10.7% 10.7% 14.2 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.2 0.0 29.3
11-7 67.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.7 0.1 1.1 2.5 0.2 63.3
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.4% 7.4% 0.0% 14.5 92.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.5% 100.0% 14.2 0.3 11.1 53.3 34.5 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.9%
Lose Out 27.1%