Hawaii
Big West
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +4.9 102
Expected Predictive Rating +4.0 102
Pace 73.2 63
Improvement -2.1 272

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- #201 C C+ D B B
Defense B #38 B+ B- C C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 44 60% 115 +4.3 47
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% 300 37% 208 -2.4 296
Three Pointers 41% 178 32% 265 -1.2 223
1st FG Attempt 1.03 151 +0.7 148
Second Chance 30.8% 169 1.07 122 0.33 133
Turnovers 19.0% 303
Freethrows 0.35 62 73% 158 0.25 72
Total Offense -1.2 201

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% 30 50% 23 -0.1 185
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 120 37% 157 -0.4 223
Three Pointers 33% 351 28% 12 +6.6 2
1st FG Attempt 0.90 30 +6.1 30
Second Chance 27.6% 73 1.00 137 0.28 83
Turnovers 16.6% 199
Freethrows 0.30 186 67% 10 0.20 116
Total Defense +6.1 38

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +1.1 44 +0.3 218
Shot Type Accuracy -0.4 188 -6.2 14
Possession Length 16.7 117 16.9 133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 210 0.17 165
Improvement +2.1 #80 -4.3 #351

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40% 41% 32%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 67% 71% 42%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round40% 41% 32%
Second Round4% 4% 3%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 1%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Cal St. Bakersfield (Away) - 86.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 37 - 47 - 7
Quad 415 - 022 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 80 @Oregon L 59 - 60 31% -3  18% 0 - 1 B +9 F -16 F C+ F A+ +25 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 300 East Texas A&M W 100 - 74 92% +17  92% 1 - 1 A- +15 A +13 A A+ C- C -0 C- C C
 Wed, Nov 12 365 Mississippi Valley W 88 - 56 99% +18  99% 2 - 1 B- +5 B +6 B+ B C C+ +0 B- B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 323 Manhattan W 86 - 56 94% +15  96% 3 - 1 A- +17 C- -2 D B- B- A+ +17 B A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 203 Utah Tech W 68 - 62 84% +6  98% 4 - 1 C +0 F -11 D- A+ F A +11 A A+ B-
 Thu, Nov 20 69 Arizona St. L 76 - 83 49% +2  68% 4 - 2 C- -2 D+ -4 C+ C+ D B- +2 C A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 288 North Dakota W 92 - 55 92% +14  77% 5 - 2 A+ +27 C +0 B D+ D A+ +23 A+ B+ A
 Thu, Dec 4 180 UC Davis W 75 - 69 81% +6  95% 6 - 2 1 - 0 C+ +2 D+ -4 B+ C D B +5 A- B+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 210 Cal St. Fullerton W 69 - 59 84% +9  95% 7 - 2 2 - 0 C+ +4 F -11 D- C- D+ A+ +14 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 239 UTEP W 66 - 61 87% -2  34% 8 - 2 C- -2 D -5 D- F+ A+ B- +3 A- F D
 Thu, Jan 1 293 @UC Riverside W 88 - 45 82% +21  99% 9 - 2 3 - 0 A+ +38 A+ +20 A+ A+ F+ A+ +23 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Jan 3 139 @UC San Diego L 73 - 83 53% -7  16% 9 - 3 3 - 1 D+ -6 B- +4 C+ B+ C F+ -10 C+ F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 119 UC Irvine W 67 - 66 69% +2  60% 10 - 3 4 - 1 C +1 D -5 C+ D+ D B +6 A D A-
 Thu, Jan 15 265 @Cal Poly W 86 - 66 77% +8  89% 11 - 3 5 - 1 A- +17 C- -1 B- D+ D- A+ +16 B C- A+
 Sat, Jan 17 133 @UC Santa Barbara L 62 - 77 50% -12  0% 11 - 4 5 - 2 D -10 D- -6 D- C F+ D -6 D D- C+
 Thu, Jan 22 322 Cal St. Bakersfield W 98 - 71 94% +18  98% 12 - 4 6 - 2 B+ +14 B+ +8 D- A+ C+ B- +4 A- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 186 Cal St. Northridge W 89 - 68 81% +9  88% 13 - 4 7 - 2 A- +16 C+ +3 A F+ F A +12 B+ A C+
 Thu, Jan 29 119 @UC Irvine L 76 - 87 OT 46% -2  16% 13 - 5 7 - 3 D+ -5 D -5 C F C C+ +2 C C B-
 Sat, Jan 31 251 @Long Beach St. W 89 - 82 75% +4  63% 14 - 5 8 - 3 B- +5 A- +10 A+ C- C- D+ -5 A- F D+
 Sat, Feb 7 139 UC San Diego W 72 - 67 74% +4  75% 15 - 5 9 - 3 C+ +3 D- -7 C- D+ D A- +10 B+ A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 12 322 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 80 - 68 87%
 Sat, Feb 14 186 @Cal St. Northridge W 81 - 78 62%
 Fri, Feb 20 265 Cal Poly W 88 - 74 90%
 Sun, Feb 22 133 UC Santa Barbara W 76 - 70 71%
 Thu, Feb 26 180 @UC Davis W 75 - 72 62%
 Sat, Feb 28 210 @Cal St. Fullerton W 80 - 75 68%
 Fri, Mar 6 293 UC Riverside W 80 - 64 92%
 Sun, Mar 8 251 Long Beach St. W 79 - 66 89%
Totals 21 - 7 15 - 5 +5 C- -1 C C+ D B +6 B+ B- C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ C- D+ C 44% 15% 41% B C C C+ C+ D B C+ B B B+ C+ A- A- 45% 22% 33% C- B+ B- C+ B- C C A C+
1.07 60% 37% 32% 0 +1 1.03 31% 1.1 .33 19% .35 73% .25 1.00 50% 37% 28% -6 0 0.90 28% 1.0 .28 17% .30 67% .23
Nov
4		 Oregon F D- F F F 35% 22% 44% B- F B C- C+ F B+ F C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 59% 13% 28% F A+ D A B- A+ F A+ F+
0.78 47% 25% 21% -15 0 0.71 33% 0.9 .29 24% .33 63% .21 0.79 48% 17% 15% -16 +2 0.74 40% 0.9 .37 28% .48 62% .29
Nov
9		 East Texas A&M A A- D+ A+ A 56% 13% 31% B A B+ A+ A+ C- A+ C- A+ C C A+ D+ C 46% 11% 43% F+ C- C C C C F C- F
1.29 68% 33% 43% +9 +2 1.24 38% 1.5 .58 18% .85 69% .58 0.96 57% 0% 35% -4 +2 0.98 24% 0.9 .21 18% .50 69% .35
Nov
12		 Mississippi Valley B A F A+ B+ 40% 13% 47% B- B+ A D- B C A+ C A+ C+ C A D+ C+ 20% 52% 28% A+ B- C+ B B- F C+ D+ C
1.32 74% 17% 45% +12 +1 1.28 48% 1.1 .52 17% .52 76% .40 0.84 55% 29% 33% -6 -5 0.80 23% 0.8 .18 14% .26 73% .19
Nov
14		 Manhattan C- D- F A+ F+ 55% 13% 32% A- D C+ B- B- B- A+ C- A+ A+ B- A+ F B+ 57% 25% 19% F+ B A+ A+ A+ C+ D A+ A
1.19 52% 0% 47% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.2 .47 14% .42 73% .30 0.77 50% 15% 40% -8 +1 0.87 15% 0.2 .03 17% .33 50% .17
Nov
15		 Utah Tech F B A+ F D- 50% 17% 33% C+ D- C A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A D+ C+ A+ A- 35% 26% 39% A- A A+ B- A+ B- C- D+ D+
0.96 67% 57% 7% -6 +1 0.93 32% 1.7 .54 27% .49 84% .41 0.88 63% 36% 24% -5 -1 0.91 14% 0.8 .11 18% .26 73% .19
Nov
20		 Arizona St. D+ A- D F C 45% 6% 49% A+ C+ D+ A C+ D A+ B- A+ B- A- D F C 42% 27% 31% B- C C A+ A+ F F A+ F
1.01 67% 33% 26% -2 +2 1.02 28% 1.3 .34 23% .44 77% .34 1.10 50% 43% 44% +2 -1 1.06 32% 0.7 .22 11% .55 65% .36
Nov
28		 North Dakota C A+ D- F B- 60% 6% 34% A B C- D D+ D A+ D A A+ A+ A A+ A+ 50% 8% 42% F A+ A+ F B+ A F A D-
1.19 80% 33% 24% +8 +3 1.24 33% 1.0 .33 22% .51 68% .35 0.71 38% 25% 20% -20 +2 0.67 16% 1.3 .22 21% .46 61% .28
Dec
4		 UC Davis D+ A F A- B+ 49% 15% 37% B- B+ F A+ C D A+ F A B A- F+ A+ A 42% 30% 28% B A- A- C+ B+ D C B C+
1.05 70% 17% 40% +6 +2 1.17 17% 1.8 .31 21% .55 58% .32 0.97 50% 44% 27% -5 -1 0.91 21% 1.0 .21 15% .35 71% .25
Dec
6		 Cal St. Fullerton F C+ F D F+ 30% 8% 62% B- D- B- F+ C- D+ C- F+ D+ A+ A C- A+ A+ 54% 14% 32% F A+ A A+ A+ D- B+ B B+
0.95 63% 0% 30% -5 +1 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 21% .29 65% .19 0.81 45% 38% 17% -15 +2 0.75 18% 0.5 .09 12% .28 67% .19
Dec
13		 UTEP D F A C F 52% 9% 39% A+ D- F B F+ A+ C+ A B+ B- A+ B+ B- A 35% 27% 37% D A- B- F F D A A+ A+
1.03 42% 50% 33% -8 +3 0.91 21% 1.1 .24 12% .39 82% .32 0.95 44% 29% 32% -9 -1 0.82 24% 1.8 .43 14% .18 50% .09
Jan
1		 UC Riverside A+ B- A- A+ A 47% 8% 45% A- A+ A+ C+ A+ F+ D- F F A+ A A+ A+ A+ 56% 16% 29% F A+ A+ D- B+ D+ C+ A- B-
1.39 63% 50% 48% +12 +2 1.31 47% 1.0 .47 19% .27 50% .14 0.71 44% 14% 15% -19 +2 0.67 17% 1.0 .17 17% .29 67% .19
Jan
3		 UC San Diego B- C+ A+ F C- 46% 9% 46% A C+ D- A+ B+ C B+ A+ A+ F+ A- F B C+ 45% 13% 42% C- C+ D- F F F+ C+ F D
1.08 57% 75% 24% -4 +2 0.98 23% 1.7 .40 16% .34 84% .28 1.23 48% 86% 30% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.3 .41 12% .25 87% .22
Jan
10		 UC Irvine D D+ A+ F C 48% 13% 38% A C+ C F+ D+ D D+ D+ D B A+ D+ A+ A+ 68% 20% 12% F A F A- D A- B F C
0.94 48% 71% 25% -5 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16 0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21
Jan
15		 Cal Poly C- A- A+ F B- 40% 21% 39% C- B- C- D+ D+ D- D- A+ D+ A+ C+ F A B+ 40% 8% 52% C B D- B C- A+ C A+ A-
1.10 70% 58% 27% +5 0 1.12 31% 1.0 .31 19% .22 86% .19 0.85 55% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.94 36% 0.9 .31 30% .31 59% .18
Jan
17		 UC Santa Barbara D- F A+ C+ F+ 39% 16% 45% C+ D- B D- C F+ F B F+ D F D+ F+ F+ 36% 27% 38% A- D D+ D- D- C+ C+ D+ C
1.00 41% 57% 35% -3 +1 0.98 32% 0.9 .29 21% .26 77% .20 1.24 75% 42% 41% +11 -1 1.22 35% 1.1 .38 19% .30 80% .24
Jan
22		 Cal St. Bakersfield B+ A+ F F F+ 38% 14% 48% C+ D- A- A+ A+ C+ A+ A A+ B- A+ B A- A 43% 36% 21% C- A- A+ F A+ F F B- F
1.27 74% 29% 21% -5 +1 0.94 45% 1.5 .68 17% .53 79% .42 0.92 39% 32% 27% -13 -2 0.74 12% 1.2 .15 9% .55 72% .40
Jan
24		 Cal St. Northridge C+ B- A A A 30% 19% 51% C- A B+ F F+ F A+ D+ A+ A A D- B B+ 45% 28% 28% A B+ D A+ A C+ C+ A+ A-
1.15 63% 50% 41% +9 0 1.19 34% 0.6 .21 22% .48 72% .35 0.88 46% 44% 31% -5 0 0.91 35% 0.5 .19 18% .30 47% .14
Jan
29		 UC Irvine D F F A+ D+ 40% 10% 50% A C F F F C C+ A+ A- C+ A- F A+ C 53% 31% 17% D+ C D+ B- C B- F B- F+
0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24 1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28
Jan
31		 Long Beach St. A- C- A+ A+ A+ 40% 30% 30% D A+ F+ A+ C- C- A+ B A+ D+ C+ B+ A- A- 31% 36% 33% B+ A- F F F D+ D- F+ F+
1.23 58% 57% 57% +16 -1 1.32 20% 1.6 .32 18% .49 79% .39 1.14 59% 30% 28% -6 -3 0.85 40% 1.6 .63 15% .33 80% .26
Feb
7		 UC San Diego D- A- A+ F D+ 42% 8% 50% A C- B F D+ D A+ D A- A- C+ D+ A B+ 38% 18% 45% B B+ A+ F A+ C- C- A+ B-
0.97 67% 50% 20% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.8 .28 19% .38 65% .25 0.90 57% 40% 28% -4 0 0.95 5% 2.0 .11 15% .28 56% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.4 5.4 19.6 27.6 14.4 67.3 1st
2nd 0.1 2.3 10.2 9.9 2.4 24.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.3 1.8 0.1 6.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 0.4 1.3 4th
5th 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.9 6.5 17.4 29.6 29.9 14.4 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 14.4    13.0 1.4
16-4 92.1% 27.6    20.6 6.9 0.0
15-5 66.3% 19.6    9.3 9.1 1.2 0.0
14-6 31.0% 5.4    1.0 2.6 1.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 5.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 67.3% 67.3 43.9 20.1 2.9 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 14.4% 49.8% 49.8% 12.0 1.0 5.0 1.2 0.0 7.2
16-4 29.9% 45.1% 45.1% 12.6 0.2 5.8 6.7 0.8 16.4
15-5 29.6% 40.5% 40.5% 12.9 0.0 3.1 7.4 1.5 17.6
14-6 17.4% 31.3% 31.3% 13.1 0.8 3.3 1.3 0.1 11.9
13-7 6.5% 17.5% 17.5% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 5.4
12-8 1.9% 15.4% 15.4% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.6
11-9 0.3% 6.3% 6.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3
10-10 0.0% 0.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 39.5% 39.5% 0.0% 12.7 60.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.2% 100.0% 12.0 13.5 69.6 16.8 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 3.3%