UC Irvine
Big West
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +2.8 123
Results Rating +2.3 125
Consistency 0.12 32
Pace 70.7 117
Improvement +1.3 141

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 291 D+ C C- D+ D+
Defense B+ 29 A- C B- B B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 64 D 53% 306 +0.3 168
2 Pt. Jumpers 57% 25 C 38% 180 +3.2 44
Three Pointers 28% 363 C 34% 204 -6.8 350
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.7 286 D+ -2.4 265
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 281
Second Chance C 30.7% 168 C 1.04 159 C 0.32 156
Opponents' Steals C 9.5% 190
Other Turnovers D 8.3% 307
Turnovers C- 17.8% 252
Freethrows C- 0.29 218 D- 68% 326 D+ 0.20 263
Total Offense D+ -4.5 291

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots B 56% 71 D+ 12.3% 265
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 39% 27 B- 4.0% 109
Three Pointers B- 88% 83 D+ 1.3% 300
Total C+ 59% 115 D 6.8% 311


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 226 A+ 44% 2 -5.9 28
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 73 C 38% 186 +1.1 282
Three Pointers 39% 249 C+ 33% 131 -1.7 114
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.5 90 A- -5.8 18
1st FG Attempt A- 0.89 21
Second Chance D+ 33.0% 292 B 0.94 51 C 0.31 176
Turnovers from Steals C+ 10.2% 123
Other Turnovers B- 8.1% 85
Turnovers B- 18.3% 84
Freethrows B 0.25 33 C+ 72% 127 B 0.18 39
Total Defense B+ +7.3 29

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 191 A 20.1% 9
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 35% 326 C+ 6.1% 94
Three Pointers C- 85% 229 D+ 0.4% 283
Total C- 58% 235 A 9.2% 14

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 133 17.1 154
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 174 0.17 176
Consistency 0.14 268 0.11 89
Improvement +0.6 149 +0.6 162

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 135 120 106
Results Rating Rank 142 128 100
Conference Record 13 - 7 15 - 5 15 - 5
Conference Finish 2 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31% 31% 28%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.1 13.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 69% 80% 18%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round31% 31% 28%
Second Round2% 2% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Cal Poly (Home) - 81.6% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 77 - 11
Quad 413 - 120 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 134 California Baptist L 61 - 69 65% -3  38% 0 - 1 D -9 F -13 F+ D C+ B +4 C+ C A+
 Sat, Nov 15 211 Weber St. W 79 - 70 79% +8  91% 1 - 1 C+ +3 F+ -10 D- D+ D+ A+ +12 A+ B C+
 Wed, Nov 19 97 @Utah Valley L 72 - 79 29% -6  2% 1 - 2 C +2 C+ +2 F B+ A C -0 C C- F
 Sat, Nov 22 88 Northern Iowa L 69 - 70 OT 48% -3  15% 1 - 3 C+ +2 C- -2 D- A- A+ B +5 A A D-
 Tue, Nov 25 177 New Mexico St. L 45 - 57 65% -5  4% 1 - 4 D- -13 F -32 F F F A+ +19 A+ D- A+
 Wed, Nov 26 213 South Dakota St. W 64 - 52 71% +7  86% 2 - 4 B +9 F -17 F F F A+ +25 A+ A A-
 Sun, Nov 30 223 @San Jose St. W 72 - 63 63% +5  89% 3 - 4 B +8 D+ -3 D C+ C+ A+ +11 A A+ D+
 Thu, Dec 4 276 UC Riverside W 73 - 60 87% +11  98% 4 - 4 1 - 0 C+ +4 D+ -4 C D C- A- +8 A+ B- F+
 Sat, Dec 6 168 Cal St. Northridge W 85 - 71 73% -0  30% 5 - 4 2 - 0 B +10 B+ +9 D+ A+ B- C+ +2 B A+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 68 Belmont L 58 - 84 39% -8  18% 5 - 5 F -20 F -17 F F A C- -3 D C+ A-
 Sun, Dec 21 132 North Dakota St. W 74 - 73 53% +3  72% 6 - 5 C+ +3 C+ +3 C+ B B C -0 C F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 313 Norfolk St. W 89 - 70 87% +16  97% 7 - 5 B +10 A +12 B- A+ B C- -2 C- F B+
 Thu, Jan 1 329 @Cal St. Bakersfield W 81 - 77 85% +6  98% 8 - 5 3 - 0 C- -4 C+ +2 C+ A- F D -6 C F+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 203 @Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 64 58% +9  80% 9 - 5 4 - 0 A +23 A- +11 A A+ F+ A+ +12 A+ D+ C-
 Thu, Jan 8 268 Long Beach St. W 74 - 64 86% +7  75% 10 - 5 5 - 0 C +1 D- -7 F+ F A A- +8 C+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 118 @Hawaii L 66 - 67 38% -2  21% 10 - 6 5 - 1 B- +5 D -4 F+ A- F A +9 B B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 175 @UC Davis L 72 - 75 53% -2  9% 10 - 7 5 - 2 C -1 C- -1 D+ C+ D+ C -0 A+ F D-
 Thu, Jan 22 276 @UC Riverside W 80 - 66 72% +10  97% 11 - 7 6 - 2 B +11 B- +4 C B F B+ +7 A D C+
 Sat, Jan 24 133 @UC San Diego W 61 - 59 42% +1  59% 12 - 7 7 - 2 B- +7 F+ -10 D- D B- A+ +17 A- A+ D-
 Thu, Jan 29 118 Hawaii W 87 - 76 OT 61% +2  67% 13 - 7 8 - 2 B +11 C- -0 C+ B D- A +9 A- A+ C-
 Thu, Feb 5 329 Cal St. Bakersfield W 78 - 62 93% +5  68% 14 - 7 9 - 2 C+ +2 D- -8 F F A+ A +9 A+ F+ A+
 Sat, Feb 7 142 @UC Santa Barbara L 79 - 84 45% -6  35% 14 - 8 9 - 3 C -1 C+ +2 C+ F+ C+ D+ -3 D D+ B-
 Thu, Feb 12 226 @Cal Poly L 73 - 79 63% +2  48% 14 - 9 9 - 4 D+ -7 F -13 D F F B+ +7 B- F A+
 Sat, Feb 14 203 Cal St. Fullerton W 86 - 65 78% +7  67% 15 - 9 10 - 4 A- +16 C+ +3 A+ C+ D A+ +12 A+ F+ C-
 Thu, Feb 19 268 @Long Beach St. W 69 - 58 71% +7  98% 16 - 9 11 - 4 B- +8 F -11 A+ F F A+ +19 A+ F A-
 Sat, Feb 21 133 UC San Diego L 69 - 71 65% -5  8% 16 - 10 11 - 5 C- -3 C+ +3 C B A- D -6 D+ C D+
 Thu, Feb 26 168 @Cal St. Northridge W 68 - 67 52% +3  68% 17 - 10 12 - 5 C+ +3 F+ -9 D+ B- F A+ +12 A- D A+
 Sat, Feb 28 142 UC Santa Barbara W 64 - 60 67% +5  86% 18 - 10 13 - 5 C+ +2 F -11 F A+ A+ A+ +13 A- D- A+
 Thu, Mar 5 226 Cal Poly W 83 - 73 82%
 Sat, Mar 7 175 UC Davis W 74 - 67 74%
Totals 20 - 10 15 - 5 +3 D+ -4 A+ D+ D+ B+ +7 C D- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D C C D+ 43% 57% 28% D+ D+ C C C C- C- D- D+ B+ A+ C C+ A- 37% 24% 39% B- A- D+ B C B- B C+ B
1.02 53% 38% 34% -2 -1 0.96 31% 1.0 .32 18% .29 68% .20 0.98 44% 38% 33% -6 0 0.89 33% 0.9 .31 18% .25 72% .21
Nov
7		 California Baptist F F F A+ F+ 40% 36% 25% F+ F+ D+ F D C+ B+ F D+ B A+ F F+ B- 48% 17% 35% D+ C+ F A C A+ C+ A- B
0.85 33% 26% 46% -10 -2 0.79 23% 0.7 .17 14% .37 57% .21 0.96 32% 56% 39% -7 +1 0.90 48% 0.7 .33 24% .28 67% .18
Nov
15		 Weber St. F+ C+ F+ F D 48% 28% 24% D D- C+ F+ D+ D+ A+ D- A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 48% 23% 29% B A+ C- A B C+ D C+ D+
1.02 64% 31% 27% -2 0 0.98 31% 0.9 .28 17% .59 68% .40 0.90 56% 15% 19% -13 0 0.77 33% 0.8 .24 17% .37 71% .26
Nov
19		 Utah Valley C+ D D+ F F 34% 32% 34% F F C- A+ B+ A C+ B B- C C A+ C+ C+ 71% 10% 18% F C C- C- C- F F A+ C+
1.02 50% 35% 22% -10 -2 0.79 29% 1.3 .39 16% .35 76% .27 1.12 60% 20% 33% -1 +4 1.08 38% 1.1 .41 16% .42 44% .19
Nov
22		 Northern Iowa C- D F C+ D 44% 38% 18% F+ D- C A+ A- A+ A+ F A B A+ D- C A 35% 21% 44% B+ A D A+ A D- A C A-
0.96 50% 26% 33% -8 -2 0.82 25% 1.4 .35 13% .42 62% .26 0.98 41% 46% 33% -5 0 0.92 24% 0.5 .12 11% .16 70% .11
Nov
25		 New Mexico St. F D+ F F F 27% 34% 39% F F F C F F A+ F A+ A+ B+ F A+ A+ 29% 37% 34% A- A+ F C+ D- A+ F B- F
0.64 55% 21% 13% -19 -3 0.59 17% 1.2 .20 26% .56 66% .37 0.82 50% 47% 7% -13 -3 0.71 41% 0.9 .38 30% .55 70% .39
Nov
26		 South Dakota St. F A- F F F 37% 21% 42% C- F C- F F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+ 43% 21% 36% C- A+ A A- A A- D+ A+ B-
0.86 69% 22% 22% -7 0 0.88 25% 0.6 .16 27% .52 75% .39 0.70 43% 27% 16% -18 0 0.66 21% 0.9 .19 20% .29 59% .17
Nov
30		 San Jose St. D+ D- A F D- 55% 24% 22% C+ D C- B C+ C+ D F F A+ A+ A+ F+ A 31% 31% 38% C A F A+ A+ D+ B+ D+ B
1.08 54% 50% 27% -2 +1 1.00 33% 1.3 .42 17% .25 57% .14 0.95 38% 25% 40% -7 -2 0.85 40% 0.5 .21 14% .23 77% .17
Dec
4		 UC Riverside D+ F A A+ C 46% 20% 34% C+ C F A- D C- A+ D- A- A- A+ A+ A- A+ 50% 15% 35% F+ A+ D A B- F+ F A- F
1.07 35% 50% 53% +1 +1 1.06 21% 1.1 .24 16% .45 65% .30 0.88 35% 25% 28% -17 +1 0.71 31% 0.6 .20 15% .48 68% .33
Dec
6		 Cal St. Northridge B+ F B B+ C- 42% 27% 31% C- D+ A+ A+ A+ B- B+ F C+ C+ A+ A- F B 48% 19% 33% C+ B A A A+ F C+ B B-
1.22 45% 43% 38% -2 -1 0.96 41% 1.9 .76 14% .35 67% .23 1.02 43% 27% 42% -5 +1 0.93 24% 0.8 .19 10% .29 61% .18
Dec
19		 Belmont F F F D+ F 25% 27% 48% D- F F+ F F A C+ F D- C- A+ F F D+ 49% 9% 43% D D D+ B+ C+ A- C- F D
0.83 38% 21% 32% -11 -2 0.77 23% 0.8 .19 13% .28 59% .17 1.21 48% 75% 55% +12 +2 1.30 30% 1.1 .33 22% .31 76% .24
Dec
21		 North Dakota St. C+ B+ C+ C- C+ 46% 24% 30% C+ C+ B B B B B F C- C A- B F C 31% 27% 42% B- C F C- F A+ F A+ B-
1.12 70% 42% 33% +6 0 1.14 33% 1.0 .33 17% .29 63% .18 1.11 50% 33% 42% +1 -1 1.02 51% 1.1 .54 29% .36 47% .17
Dec
22		 Norfolk St. A A A D- B- 44% 16% 40% C- B- A- A+ A+ B D+ A+ B C- B+ B+ F D- 28% 41% 30% A+ C- A- F F B+ D F F
1.31 73% 50% 30% +6 +1 1.16 41% 1.3 .55 15% .34 85% .29 1.03 46% 32% 50% +1 -3 0.98 23% 1.9 .43 22% .38 80% .30
Jan
1		 Cal St. Bakersfield C+ D+ D+ A+ A- 29% 47% 24% F C+ D A+ A- F A D B+ D B+ B+ F C- 40% 40% 19% B- C F B+ F+ F A- D B
1.16 54% 38% 64% +10 -4 1.13 32% 1.6 .50 22% .46 68% .31 1.10 48% 30% 45% -4 -2 0.89 47% 0.9 .40 13% .30 78% .23
Jan
3		 Cal St. Fullerton A- B+ F A+ A 40% 10% 50% B A A A+ A+ F+ B F D+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ 28% 31% 41% A+ A+ D- B- D+ C- A+ D A
1.24 68% 20% 46% +11 +1 1.27 39% 1.5 .61 22% .35 58% .20 0.92 27% 24% 41% -9 -2 0.80 30% 0.9 .28 14% .20 75% .15
Jan
8		 Long Beach St. D- D+ B- F F+ 46% 32% 22% D F+ D- F F A A B A+ A- A- F+ C C 37% 41% 22% B+ C+ A A+ A+ C+ B D B-
1.04 57% 44% 18% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.0 .22 13% .45 79% .35 0.90 50% 45% 33% 0 -3 0.96 19% 0.3 .05 18% .22 77% .17
Jan
10		 Hawaii D F C+ F F 68% 20% 12% A F+ A+ D- A- F D A+ C A A F A+ B+ 48% 13% 38% D+ B D A+ B+ C+ A+ B A+
0.93 41% 40% 17% -14 +2 0.78 44% 0.9 .39 21% .27 80% .21 0.94 48% 71% 25% -6 +2 0.94 33% 0.7 .23 20% .23 69% .16
Jan
17		 UC Davis C- D B B+ C- 46% 28% 26% D D+ C- B+ C+ D+ F A+ C C A A+ C+ A+ 28% 21% 51% B A+ F+ F F D- F A F
1.05 52% 43% 38% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.1 .32 20% .24 100% .24 1.09 46% 20% 33% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.2 .41 15% .51 67% .34
Jan
22		 UC Riverside B- C A+ F C 47% 19% 34% C+ C A+ F B F A+ C A+ B+ A+ F A A+ 45% 13% 42% F+ A F B- D C+ C+ F D-
1.13 59% 67% 25% +1 +1 1.06 49% 0.8 .37 20% .55 71% .39 0.93 33% 57% 27% -13 +1 0.79 36% 0.8 .29 20% .28 94% .26
Jan
24		 UC San Diego F+ F C- D- D- 40% 35% 25% F+ D- F+ B- D B- D F F A+ A- C B A- 31% 19% 50% A- A- A A+ A+ D- A+ C+ A+
0.87 45% 37% 29% -8 -2 0.84 20% 1.1 .23 14% .22 54% .12 0.84 50% 36% 31% -5 0 0.91 18% 0.0 .00 13% .15 67% .10
Jan
29		 Hawaii C- F+ A+ F C+ 53% 31% 17% C- C+ B+ C B D- A+ D A- A A+ A+ F A 40% 10% 50% D+ A- A+ A+ A+ C- A F C+
1.02 45% 61% 20% -3 0 0.95 33% 1.0 .33 19% .42 66% .28 0.90 32% 0% 42% -8 +2 0.89 19% 0.4 .09 18% .27 89% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Cal St. Bakersfield D- C- B F F 57% 20% 23% B F B- F F A+ A+ F C A A+ C- A+ A 28% 54% 18% A+ A+ F+ D F+ A+ A- F C-
1.07 56% 45% 15% -6 +1 0.93 40% 0.6 .23 10% .47 58% .27 0.85 29% 37% 22% -12 -5 0.68 37% 1.1 .39 26% .30 94% .28
Feb
7		 UC Santa Barbara C+ A+ D B+ B 36% 41% 23% F C+ D F F+ C+ F A+ F+ D+ D F A D- 36% 28% 36% A- D F B+ D+ B- F C+ F
1.11 75% 35% 38% +6 -3 1.09 23% 0.9 .19 15% .22 92% .20 1.18 65% 69% 29% +9 -1 1.17 39% 0.9 .36 20% .44 76% .33
Feb
12		 Cal Poly F F F A+ D 34% 22% 44% D D D F F F F+ C- D- B+ C A+ D+ C+ 28% 10% 62% B+ B- F D- F A+ C A- C+
0.92 45% 23% 42% -2 -1 0.97 28% 0.5 .15 21% .22 71% .16 0.99 57% 0% 35% -3 +1 0.98 39% 1.1 .43 26% .31 72% .22
Feb
14		 Cal St. Fullerton C+ B- A+ A+ A+ 31% 27% 42% F+ A+ C- B C+ D F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 22% 31% 47% A+ A+ B+ F F+ C- A+ A+ A+
1.17 65% 73% 43% +18 -1 1.35 28% 1.1 .32 20% .17 60% .10 0.88 15% 56% 26% -10 -2 0.78 20% 1.7 .34 15% .14 56% .08
Feb
19		 Long Beach St. F B- A+ A+ A+ 55% 23% 23% B- A+ C- F F F A+ F A A+ A+ A A+ A+ 36% 36% 28% B- A+ F F F A- D+ F D-
0.94 64% 67% 44% +13 +1 1.30 27% 0.3 .08 30% .50 65% .33 0.79 37% 26% 7% -23 -2 0.51 33% 1.3 .42 22% .29 82% .24
Feb
21		 UC San Diego C+ F D A+ C 47% 23% 30% C+ C A- C- B A- F C+ F D D+ A+ F D- 33% 25% 42% A+ D+ F A C D+ A- F B-
1.09 44% 33% 44% -3 0 0.96 36% 1.0 .36 13% .13 71% .09 1.12 63% 25% 45% +5 -1 1.10 33% 0.8 .27 14% .20 82% .17
Feb
26		 Cal St. Northridge F+ D- A- F+ D 47% 25% 27% C D+ C- A B- F F A- F A+ B+ D A+ A 58% 10% 33% F A- D- C D A+ F+ B D
0.93 50% 46% 29% -4 0 0.94 27% 1.4 .37 25% .20 82% .16 0.92 50% 40% 24% -10 +3 0.88 38% 1.0 .38 23% .37 62% .23
Feb
28		 UC Santa Barbara F F F+ F F 41% 41% 17% F F B- A+ A+ A+ A+ F B A+ A+ F D- A 31% 18% 51% C+ A- A+ F D- A+ A+ C- A+
0.97 47% 32% 0% -16 -2 0.65 30% 1.7 .51 11% .46 63% .29 0.91 29% 50% 39% -3 0 0.96 20% 2.0 .40 27% .19 78% .15



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 8.4 60.3 68.7 1st
2nd 5.1 26.2 31.3 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 5.1 34.6 60.3 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 60.3    14.0 46.3
14-6 24.2% 8.4    0.6 7.8
13-7 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 68.7% 68.7 14.7 54.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 60.3% 32.2% 32.2% 13.0 0.0 3.8 12.1 3.5 0.1 40.9
14-6 34.6% 29.5% 29.5% 13.3 0.8 5.4 3.8 0.2 24.4
13-7 5.1% 20.3% 20.3% 13.6 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.0 4.1
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 30.7% 30.7% 0.0% 13.1 69.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.4% 100.0% 13.0 0.1 19.6 62.1 17.9 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 24.3%
Lose Out 1.3%