Texas Arlington
Western Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.1#190
Expected Predictive Rating+0.9#161
Pace68.6#212
Improvement-0.3#213

Offense
Total Offense-2.8#244
First Shot-4.4#299
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#93
Layup/Dunks+3.1#78
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#313
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#317
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement+0.5#139

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#145
First Shot-0.7#197
After Offensive Rebounds+1.5#94
Layups/Dunks-4.3#322
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#21
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement-0.8#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 10.8% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.0 14.5
.500 or above 56.0% 68.9% 46.5%
.500 or above in Conference 59.6% 65.6% 55.3%
Conference Champion 7.4% 9.4% 5.8%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 5.3% 8.9%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.7%
First Round8.7% 10.7% 7.3%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UT Rio Grande Valley (Away) - 42.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 65 - 11
Quad 410 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Sat, Nov 8 103 @New Mexico L 56-74 18%     0 - 1 -10.4 -13.6 +3.7
  Sat, Nov 15 242 Missouri St. W 67-49 70%     1 - 1 +10.5 -6.6 +17.5
  Tue, Nov 18 279 @Evansville W 84-76 56%     2 - 1 +4.5 +13.5 -8.9
  Fri, Nov 21 224 Campbell L 67-71 56%     2 - 2 -7.8 -10.8 +3.2
  Sat, Nov 22 192 @Weber St. W 74-73 39%     3 - 2 +1.8 +4.7 -2.9
  Sat, Nov 29 144 Stephen F. Austin W 66-61 49%     4 - 2 +3.1 +2.5 +1.3
  Tue, Dec 2 155 @Arkansas St. L 63-83 31%     4 - 3 -17.0 -10.3 -6.0
  Thu, Dec 11 213 @UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-75 42%    
  Wed, Dec 17 84 @Stanford L 68-80 14%    
  Mon, Dec 22 311 @Oral Roberts W 77-74 62%    
  Mon, Dec 29 202 Tarleton St. W 73-70 63%    
  Thu, Jan 1 130 California Baptist L 67-68 46%    
  Sat, Jan 3 320 @Southern Utah W 73-69 64%    
  Sat, Jan 10 234 Abilene Christian W 68-63 69%    
  Thu, Jan 15 254 @Utah Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 90 @Utah Valley L 65-76 17%    
  Wed, Jan 21 202 Tarleton St. W 73-70 62%    
  Thu, Jan 29 320 Southern Utah W 76-66 81%    
  Sat, Jan 31 130 California Baptist L 67-68 46%    
  Thu, Feb 5 254 @Utah Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Sat, Feb 7 90 @Utah Valley L 65-76 17%    
  Thu, Feb 12 234 @Abilene Christian L 65-66 48%    
  Sat, Feb 14 320 Southern Utah W 76-66 81%    
  Thu, Feb 19 254 Utah Tech W 72-66 71%    
  Sat, Feb 21 90 Utah Valley L 68-73 34%    
  Thu, Feb 26 130 @California Baptist L 64-71 26%    
  Thu, Mar 5 202 @Tarleton St. L 70-73 42%    
  Sat, Mar 7 234 @Abilene Christian L 65-66 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.3 5.1 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 17.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.4 5.5 8.5 6.5 2.1 0.4 0.0 24.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 7.0 7.3 3.2 0.5 0.0 20.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 3.5 5.9 4.0 1.2 0.1 15.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.5 3.4 1.7 0.2 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 7th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.9 5.4 7.5 10.2 12.6 14.3 13.6 11.5 8.3 6.2 3.6 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.9% 0.6    0.6 0.0
15-3 85.0% 1.3    1.0 0.3
14-4 60.9% 2.2    1.4 0.7 0.0
13-5 30.8% 1.9    0.9 0.9 0.2
12-6 12.3% 1.0    0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0
11-7 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.4 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.0% 50.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 49.7% 49.7% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3
15-3 1.5% 32.5% 32.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0
14-4 3.6% 32.2% 32.2% 13.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 2.4
13-5 6.2% 21.4% 21.4% 13.8 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 4.9
12-6 8.3% 19.0% 19.0% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 6.7
11-7 11.5% 10.3% 10.3% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 10.3
10-8 13.6% 8.3% 8.3% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.1 12.4
9-9 14.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 13.5
8-10 12.6% 4.0% 4.0% 15.7 0.2 0.3 12.1
7-11 10.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.0
6-12 7.5% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 7.4
5-13 5.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 5.3
4-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.2% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.8 2.7 1.1 91.1 0.0%