Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#84
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#56
Pace74.1#75
Improvement+0.5#148

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#96
First Shot+2.6#109
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks+1.2#138
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#101
Freethrows+1.2#124
Improvement+1.6#59

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#72
First Shot+2.9#84
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#144
Layups/Dunks+4.7#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#292
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#126
Freethrows-1.7#287
Improvement-1.1#289
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.8% 0.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.6% 15.5% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.3% 15.3% 7.0%
Average Seed 9.4 9.3 9.6
.500 or above 73.4% 79.1% 55.0%
.500 or above in Conference 25.0% 27.1% 18.2%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 9.7% 8.4% 13.9%
First Four4.0% 4.5% 2.3%
First Round11.1% 12.8% 5.7%
Second Round4.2% 4.9% 2.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 76.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 14
Quad 46 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 156 Portland St. W 89-79 82%     1 - 0 +7.0 +5.6 +0.1
  Sat, Nov 8 197 Montana W 91-68 87%     2 - 0 +17.6 +8.7 +7.5
  Wed, Nov 12 152 Montana St. W 77-68 82%     3 - 0 +6.1 -1.7 +7.3
  Tue, Nov 18 318 Louisiana W 93-66 95%     4 - 0 +15.1 +15.2 -0.6
  Fri, Nov 21 114 Seattle L 69-77 72%     4 - 1 -7.5 -4.6 -2.6
  Thu, Nov 27 95 Minnesota W 72-68 56%     5 - 1 +9.1 +8.3 +1.2
  Fri, Nov 28 46 Saint Louis W 78-77 33%     6 - 1 +12.1 +8.7 +3.3
  Mon, Dec 1 270 Portland W 94-72 92%     7 - 1 +12.9 +17.3 -4.2
  Sun, Dec 7 131 UNLV W 87-79 76%    
  Sat, Dec 13 185 @San Jose St. W 76-71 69%    
  Wed, Dec 17 190 Texas Arlington W 80-68 86%    
  Sat, Dec 20 64 Colorado L 78-80 42%    
  Sat, Dec 27 253 Cal St. Northridge W 88-73 92%    
  Tue, Dec 30 56 Notre Dame W 73-72 50%    
  Fri, Jan 2 14 Louisville L 77-85 22%    
  Wed, Jan 7 70 @Virginia Tech L 76-80 34%    
  Sat, Jan 10 26 @Virginia L 70-81 16%    
  Wed, Jan 14 21 North Carolina L 76-81 31%    
  Sat, Jan 17 3 Duke L 69-81 13%    
  Sat, Jan 24 69 California W 78-76 56%    
  Wed, Jan 28 34 @Miami (FL) L 72-81 20%    
  Sat, Jan 31 100 @Florida St. L 81-82 46%    
  Wed, Feb 4 33 Clemson L 72-76 37%    
  Sat, Feb 7 134 Georgia Tech W 79-71 76%    
  Wed, Feb 11 132 @Boston College W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Feb 14 53 @Wake Forest L 75-81 28%    
  Sat, Feb 21 69 @California L 75-79 35%    
  Wed, Feb 25 92 Pittsburgh W 74-70 65%    
  Sat, Feb 28 40 SMU L 79-81 42%    
  Wed, Mar 4 56 @Notre Dame L 70-76 30%    
  Sat, Mar 7 35 @North Carolina St. L 78-87 20%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.0 1.8 0.1 5.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 3.5 0.5 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.4 2.0 0.1 7.3 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 4.1 0.4 8.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 5.2 1.7 0.0 8.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.8 3.7 0.3 9.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 3.4 5.1 1.2 0.0 10.2 14th
15th 0.2 2.2 5.2 2.1 0.2 9.8 15th
16th 0.1 1.6 3.9 2.8 0.5 8.9 16th
17th 0.1 1.1 2.9 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.3 17th
18th 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.7 18th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.0 6.2 9.6 12.7 14.6 14.4 13.4 9.8 6.9 4.2 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 88.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 40.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 16.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 6.6% 93.4% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.1% 97.5% 4.6% 92.9% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
12-6 2.5% 88.8% 2.9% 85.8% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.3 88.4%
11-7 4.2% 70.7% 0.6% 70.1% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 1.2 70.5%
10-8 6.9% 47.9% 0.5% 47.4% 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.0 0.0 3.6 47.6%
9-9 9.8% 23.1% 0.3% 22.8% 10.3 0.1 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.0 7.6 22.9%
8-10 13.4% 7.6% 0.3% 7.3% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.0 12.3 7.3%
7-11 14.4% 1.4% 0.0% 1.4% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.2 1.4%
6-12 14.6% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 14.5 0.2%
5-13 12.7% 12.7
4-14 9.6% 9.6
3-15 6.2% 6.2
2-16 3.0% 3.0
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 13.6% 0.3% 13.3% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 3.0 3.8 3.4 0.1 86.5 13.3%