Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#84
Expected Predictive Rating+2.3#137
Pace62.9#335
Improvement+2.9#38

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#74
First Shot+3.2#85
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#99
Layup/Dunks+1.3#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#238
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#52
Freethrows-1.6#279
Improvement+2.5#30

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#103
First Shot-0.3#174
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#24
Layups/Dunks+0.1#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#178
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#193
Freethrows-0.6#232
Improvement+0.3#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 8.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 8.3% 2.2%
Average Seed 9.9 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 26.0% 45.8% 21.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.0% 43.3% 19.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 8.2% 2.6% 9.5%
First Four1.4% 2.9% 1.1%
First Round2.7% 7.1% 1.8%
Second Round1.0% 2.8% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 18.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 10
Quad 24 - 56 - 15
Quad 34 - 310 - 18
Quad 45 - 014 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 163 Youngstown St. W 74-59 83%     1 - 0 +11.6 +6.2 +6.5
  Fri, Nov 7 298 Longwood W 78-60 94%     2 - 0 +7.5 -0.4 +7.8
  Mon, Nov 10 216 Eastern Michigan W 78-66 89%     3 - 0 +5.5 +3.8 +1.8
  Thu, Nov 13 62 @West Virginia L 49-71 32%     3 - 1 -10.5 -11.4 -1.6
  Mon, Nov 17 308 Bucknell W 84-50 94%     4 - 1 +22.6 +14.0 +11.3
  Thu, Nov 20 49 Central Florida L 67-77 35%     4 - 2 +0.4 +4.7 -5.4
  Sun, Nov 23 160 Quinnipiac L 75-83 82%     4 - 3 -11.0 +3.7 -14.9
  Fri, Nov 28 31 Ohio St. W 67-66 33%     5 - 3 +12.1 +2.7 +9.4
  Tue, Dec 2 43 Texas A&M L 73-81 41%     5 - 4 +0.8 +9.3 -9.1
  Sun, Dec 7 110 Hofstra L 73-80 72%     5 - 5 -6.3 +10.9 -18.2
  Sat, Dec 13 32 @Villanova L 61-79 17%     5 - 6 -1.0 +8.8 -13.5
  Wed, Dec 17 363 Binghamton W 103-63 98%     6 - 6 +21.1 +17.7 +2.5
  Sun, Dec 21 126 Penn St. W 80-46 66%     7 - 6 +36.3 +12.5 +26.4
  Tue, Dec 30 35 @Miami (FL) L 68-78 18%    
  Sat, Jan 3 40 Clemson L 66-69 40%    
  Sat, Jan 10 75 Syracuse W 73-71 57%    
  Wed, Jan 14 129 @Georgia Tech W 72-70 56%    
  Sat, Jan 17 13 Louisville L 72-80 22%    
  Wed, Jan 21 156 @Boston College W 69-66 62%    
  Sat, Jan 24 28 North Carolina St. L 72-77 31%    
  Tue, Jan 27 61 Wake Forest W 73-72 53%    
  Sat, Jan 31 40 @Clemson L 63-72 21%    
  Tue, Feb 3 26 @Virginia L 66-77 15%    
  Sat, Feb 7 42 SMU L 73-76 41%    
  Tue, Feb 10 4 Duke L 65-77 13%    
  Sat, Feb 14 21 @North Carolina L 66-78 13%    
  Sat, Feb 21 64 Notre Dame W 69-68 54%    
  Wed, Feb 25 81 @Stanford L 71-74 38%    
  Sat, Feb 28 65 @California L 68-73 33%    
  Wed, Mar 4 113 Florida St. W 80-74 71%    
  Sat, Mar 7 75 @Syracuse L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.3 0.7 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.4 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 5.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 3.7 0.7 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.7 1.9 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 0.4 3.7 4.1 0.5 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 5.6 1.6 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 5.4 3.6 0.3 0.0 10.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 10.3 14th
15th 0.2 2.5 5.3 2.1 0.1 10.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.1 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.5 16th
17th 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.7 17th
18th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.8 18th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.5 5.6 9.7 13.2 15.6 15.3 13.2 10.3 6.6 4.1 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 60.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 64.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 21.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 96.8% 9.7% 87.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.4%
14-4 0.2% 85.9% 5.6% 80.3% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.1%
13-5 0.8% 71.0% 2.1% 68.9% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 70.4%
12-6 1.9% 46.7% 1.2% 45.5% 9.9 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 1.0 46.1%
11-7 4.1% 24.6% 0.7% 24.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.0 3.1 24.1%
10-8 6.6% 7.1% 0.4% 6.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.1 6.8%
9-9 10.3% 1.8% 0.3% 1.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 10.1 1.5%
8-10 13.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 10.8 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.1%
7-11 15.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 15.3
6-12 15.6% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.6
5-13 13.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.5 0.0 0.0 13.2
4-14 9.7% 9.7
3-15 5.6% 5.6
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.5% 0.2% 3.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.5 3.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%