Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +13.9 #34
Expected Predictive Rating +14.6 #34
Pace 77.1 #23
Improvement +5.5 #7

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #41 A- C+ B B+ A
Defense #41 C B A+ C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #95 1.25 #90 +3.8 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #347 0.86 #49 -3.4 #332
Three Pointers 48% #47 1.11 #53 +5.9 #25
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #33 +6.3 #34
Freethrows 20.1 #67 74% #114 15.0 #60
Second Chance 33.5% #100 1.02 #212 0.34 #126
Turnovers 14.5% #68
Total Offense +7.7 #41

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #312 1.10 #109 +3.7 #66
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #154 0.79 #238 -0.6 #223
Three Pointers 45% #66 1.03 #210 -2.5 #291
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #163 +0.6 #162
Freethrows 17.3 #167 72% #186 12.5 #161
Second Chance 28.7% #103 0.97 #80 0.28 #89
Turnovers 20.6% #17
Total Defense +6.2 #41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.1% #19 -0.8% #100
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.9% #50 -0.4% #175
Possession Length 14.8 #13 18.0 #294
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #110 0.14 #87
Improvement +2.6 #50 +3.0 #37

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 3.7% 4.4% 1.1%
Top 6 Seed 24.4% 27.1% 13.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.9% 89.2% 78.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.3% 88.7% 77.4%
Average Seed 7.5 7.4 8.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 91.0% 94.3% 78.1%
Conference Champion 8.3% 9.6% 3.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four4.5% 3.9% 7.0%
First Round85.0% 87.6% 74.8%
Second Round48.9% 51.4% 39.5%
Sweet Sixteen14.4% 15.5% 9.9%
Elite Eight5.1% 5.6% 3.3%
Final Four1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Home) - 79.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 9
Quad 26 - 211 - 11
Quad 33 - 014 - 11
Quad 48 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 276 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 97% +19  1 - 0 +21 +11 D+ B B- +7 B+ B- A
 Thu, Nov 6 335 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 99% +12  2 - 0 +20 +15 A+ D+ A+ +2 F C- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 61 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 57% -14  2 - 1 -12 -8 F F F -3 C- B D
 Fri, Nov 14 53 Central Florida L 74 - 86 73% +2  2 - 2 -4 -1 F A+ D+ -3 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 161 Montana W 86 - 81 93% +10  3 - 2 +2 +11 A+ F C -9 F A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 327 Manhattan W 109 - 68 99% +21  4 - 2 +28 +20 A+ D- A+ +5 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +23  5 - 2 +9 +15 B+ C C+ -13 F B A+
 Fri, Nov 28 111 Florida St. W 95 - 59 83% +22  6 - 2 +40 +16 A+ A+ C +21 A+ A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 91 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 69% +4  7 - 2 +17 +18 B- A+ A -0 B F B-
 Sun, Dec 7 29 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 48% -5  7 - 3 +1 -2 C D+ D+ +6 A+ D D
 Sun, Dec 14 292 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  8 - 3 +26 +26 A+ A+ C -2 F B A+
 Sun, Dec 21 308 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 98% +22  9 - 3 +30 +23 A+ A+ C+ +0 A+ B- C
 Mon, Dec 29 317 Prairie View W 111 - 82 98% +22  10 - 3 +16 +12 A- C+ B+ -1 C+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 3 43 LSU W 75 - 72 68% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +12 +3 A C F +9 A- A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 27 @Auburn W 90 - 88 35% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +20 +20 A+ A+ C +0 A- F A+
 Sat, Jan 10 57 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 75% +1  13 - 3 3 - 0 +14 +11 B F A+ +3 B D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 13 22 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 29% +3  13 - 4 3 - 1 +15 +7 A+ F B+ +9 A+ B+ A+
 Sat, Jan 17 38 @Texas W 74 - 70 41% +3  14 - 4 4 - 1 +20 +15 A+ B A+ +6 A- A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 21 76 Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 81% +10  15 - 4 5 - 1 +25 +18 B+ C- A+ +7 D A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 69 South Carolina W 81 - 72 80%
 Sat, Jan 31 24 @Georgia L 86 - 91 32%
 Tue, Feb 3 17 @Alabama L 88 - 95 25%
 Sat, Feb 7 10 Florida L 80 - 84 37%
 Wed, Feb 11 50 Missouri W 83 - 77 72%
 Sat, Feb 14 21 @Vanderbilt L 81 - 87 28%
 Wed, Feb 18 62 Mississippi W 81 - 73 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 57 @Oklahoma W 82 - 81 54%
 Wed, Feb 25 20 @Arkansas L 84 - 90 28%
 Sat, Feb 28 38 Texas W 84 - 80 64%
 Tue, Mar 3 25 Kentucky W 81 - 80 54%
 Sat, Mar 7 43 @LSU L 80 - 81 46%
Totals 21 - 10 11 - 7 +14 +8 A- C+ B +6 C B A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.4 2.4 3.3 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.3 1st
2nd 0.3 3.9 6.3 2.3 0.3 0.0 13.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.5 7.7 3.1 0.2 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 7.1 5.2 0.5 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.1 4.1 7.2 1.1 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 1.1 7.2 3.0 0.1 11.4 6th
7th 0.1 3.9 5.0 0.4 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 4.8 1.2 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 2.4 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 0.8 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.0 0.4 2.4 6.2 12.9 18.5 20.5 18.3 12.3 5.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 98.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
15-3 86.3% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.0
14-4 56.7% 3.3    1.3 1.5 0.5 0.1
13-5 19.3% 2.4    0.4 0.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.1% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 3.3 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 100.0% 14.6% 85.4% 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.0% 100.0% 15.2% 84.8% 4.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.9% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 5.3 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.0 1.9 0.6 0.1 100.0%
13-5 12.3% 99.8% 7.8% 92.0% 6.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 4.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-6 18.3% 98.7% 6.6% 92.2% 6.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.4 6.7 3.9 1.2 0.1 0.2 98.7%
11-7 20.5% 95.7% 3.1% 92.6% 7.8 0.0 0.5 1.9 5.2 6.7 4.0 1.3 0.1 0.9 95.5%
10-8 18.5% 88.3% 1.4% 86.9% 8.7 0.1 0.5 2.0 4.5 5.2 3.4 0.7 2.2 88.1%
9-9 12.9% 73.6% 1.3% 72.3% 9.4 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.7 3.3 1.7 3.4 73.3%
8-10 6.2% 39.6% 0.2% 39.3% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 0.0 3.8 39.4%
7-11 2.4% 8.9% 0.8% 8.1% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.1 8.1%
6-12 0.4% 0.4
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 86.9% 4.2% 82.7% 7.5 13.1 86.3%