Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#53
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#79
Pace75.0#54
Improvement-2.5#329

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#74
First Shot+1.6#134
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#41
Layup/Dunks+3.0#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#298
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#163
Freethrows+0.2#171
Improvement-1.7#313

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#42
First Shot+6.0#30
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#224
Layups/Dunks+3.5#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#9
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#238
Freethrows+0.8#133
Improvement-0.8#260
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 4.0% 1.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.1% 36.9% 21.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 29.1% 35.8% 20.9%
Average Seed 9.0 8.9 9.2
.500 or above 77.4% 85.6% 67.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.3% 60.0% 49.5%
Conference Champion 1.3% 1.6% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.6% 3.2%
First Four7.4% 8.7% 5.9%
First Round26.2% 32.3% 18.9%
Second Round12.3% 15.1% 9.0%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.7% 2.2%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.3% 0.6%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: West Virginia (Neutral) - 54.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 26 - 59 - 13
Quad 33 - 112 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 250 American W 88-74 94%     1 - 0 +6.1 +6.0 -0.9
  Fri, Nov 7 327 Morehead St. W 81-65 97%     2 - 0 +3.5 -7.0 +8.6
  Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84-85 OT 8%     2 - 1 +25.1 +9.7 +15.5
  Sun, Nov 16 314 Umass Lowell W 109-75 97%     3 - 1 +22.6 +21.0 -1.1
  Thu, Nov 20 30 Texas Tech L 83-84 36%     3 - 2 +12.7 +10.1 +2.7
  Fri, Nov 21 75 Memphis W 69-68 59%     4 - 2 +8.6 +3.8 +4.8
  Tue, Nov 25 224 Campbell W 99-51 93%     5 - 2 +41.2 +20.1 +19.8
  Fri, Nov 28 227 Northeastern W 86-73 93%     6 - 2 +6.0 +7.5 -2.0
  Tue, Dec 2 41 Oklahoma L 68-86 55%     6 - 3 -9.2 -6.0 -2.6
  Sat, Dec 6 65 West Virginia W 71-70 55%    
  Sun, Dec 14 199 Queens W 89-74 93%    
  Wed, Dec 17 289 Longwood W 87-67 97%    
  Sun, Dec 21 12 Vanderbilt L 78-84 30%    
  Wed, Dec 31 35 @North Carolina St. L 80-86 29%    
  Sat, Jan 3 70 Virginia Tech W 81-76 68%    
  Wed, Jan 7 34 Miami (FL) L 76-77 50%    
  Sat, Jan 10 21 @North Carolina L 75-83 23%    
  Sat, Jan 17 100 @Florida St. W 82-80 57%    
  Tue, Jan 20 40 SMU W 80-79 54%    
  Sat, Jan 24 3 @Duke L 67-82 9%    
  Tue, Jan 27 92 @Pittsburgh W 73-71 56%    
  Sat, Jan 31 35 North Carolina St. L 82-83 50%    
  Sat, Feb 7 14 Louisville L 78-83 33%    
  Wed, Feb 11 134 @Georgia Tech W 77-72 68%    
  Sat, Feb 14 84 Stanford W 81-75 72%    
  Wed, Feb 18 33 Clemson L 73-74 49%    
  Sat, Feb 21 70 @Virginia Tech L 78-79 47%    
  Tue, Feb 24 132 @Boston College W 73-68 68%    
  Sat, Feb 28 61 Syracuse W 77-73 64%    
  Tue, Mar 3 26 @Virginia L 72-79 25%    
  Sat, Mar 7 69 California W 80-75 68%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.0 1.1 0.1 5.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.5 2.2 0.2 6.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 3.8 0.6 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.5 4.9 1.7 0.1 8.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.5 0.3 8.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 5.0 1.0 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.6 2.8 0.1 8.3 10th
11th 0.1 2.9 4.2 0.6 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 4.4 1.6 0.0 7.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.8 2.8 0.3 6.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.8 0.0 5.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.1 5.4 8.3 11.7 14.1 14.1 13.4 11.0 7.9 5.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 85.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 49.5% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1
14-4 16.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 14.5% 85.5% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 99.3% 13.1% 86.2% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-4 2.5% 96.6% 7.2% 89.4% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.3%
13-5 5.0% 90.6% 5.2% 85.4% 8.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.5 90.1%
12-6 7.9% 79.3% 3.3% 76.0% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.9 1.5 0.7 0.0 1.6 78.6%
11-7 11.0% 62.8% 2.1% 60.7% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.5 1.7 0.0 4.1 62.0%
10-8 13.4% 40.5% 1.1% 39.4% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 2.1 0.0 8.0 39.9%
9-9 14.1% 17.7% 0.6% 17.1% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.3 0.1 11.6 17.2%
8-10 14.1% 4.0% 0.2% 3.8% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 13.5 3.8%
7-11 11.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.6 0.7%
6-12 8.3% 8.3
5-13 5.4% 5.4
4-14 3.1% 3.1
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 30.1% 1.4% 28.7% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.8 4.1 6.1 7.5 6.4 0.2 69.9 29.1%