West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.6#65
Expected Predictive Rating+5.5#103
Pace63.3#327
Improvement+1.1#98

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
First Shot+2.2#118
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#181
Layup/Dunks-0.6#201
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#211
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#154
Freethrows+2.5#60
Improvement+1.1#92

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#29
First Shot+2.1#107
After Offensive Rebounds+4.4#8
Layups/Dunks+2.9#82
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#268
Freethrows+1.2#114
Improvement+0.0#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.0% 1.8% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.2% 22.3% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.8% 21.9% 10.8%
Average Seed 9.1 9.0 9.4
.500 or above 69.5% 81.2% 59.8%
.500 or above in Conference 30.7% 35.9% 26.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 8.3% 6.6% 9.7%
First Four3.7% 4.3% 3.2%
First Round14.3% 20.0% 9.5%
Second Round6.2% 9.0% 3.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.3% 2.0% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Neutral) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 10
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 33 - 19 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Tue, Nov 4 307 Mount St. Mary's W 70-54 96%     1 - 0 +4.9 -5.2 +10.8
  Thu, Nov 6 224 Campbell W 73-65 92%     2 - 0 +1.2 -1.1 +2.6
  Sun, Nov 9 299 Lehigh W 69-47 95%     3 - 0 +11.3 -2.4 +15.6
  Thu, Nov 13 92 Pittsburgh W 71-49 73%     4 - 0 +24.4 +6.9 +19.9
  Mon, Nov 17 331 Lafayette W 81-59 97%     5 - 0 +9.1 +6.7 +3.5
  Fri, Nov 21 33 Clemson L 67-70 32%     5 - 1 +10.3 +3.9 +6.2
  Sun, Nov 23 77 Xavier L 68-78 55%     5 - 2 -2.6 +1.2 -4.1
  Sun, Nov 30 328 Mercyhurst W 70-38 96%     6 - 2 +19.4 +2.5 +21.8
  Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 91-49 99%     7 - 2 +22.0 +10.5 +11.6
  Sat, Dec 6 53 Wake Forest L 70-71 45%    
  Tue, Dec 9 305 Arkansas Little Rock W 75-55 97%    
  Sat, Dec 13 25 Ohio St. L 66-72 30%    
  Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 83-49 100.0%   
  Fri, Jan 2 6 @Iowa St. L 63-78 9%    
  Tue, Jan 6 68 Cincinnati W 68-65 63%    
  Sat, Jan 10 18 Kansas L 64-68 33%    
  Tue, Jan 13 7 @Houston L 55-69 10%    
  Sat, Jan 17 64 Colorado W 72-69 60%    
  Wed, Jan 21 82 @Arizona St. L 70-71 45%    
  Sat, Jan 24 9 @Arizona L 64-78 11%    
  Tue, Jan 27 71 Kansas St. W 76-72 63%    
  Sat, Jan 31 28 Baylor L 72-74 42%    
  Thu, Feb 5 68 @Cincinnati L 65-68 40%    
  Sun, Feb 8 30 Texas Tech L 67-69 42%    
  Sat, Feb 14 63 @Central Florida L 72-75 38%    
  Wed, Feb 18 117 Utah W 74-66 78%    
  Sat, Feb 21 48 @TCU L 65-70 31%    
  Tue, Feb 24 47 @Oklahoma St. L 73-78 31%    
  Sat, Feb 28 8 BYU L 65-73 25%    
  Tue, Mar 3 71 @Kansas St. L 73-75 42%    
  Fri, Mar 6 63 Central Florida W 75-72 60%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.7 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.8 3.0 0.3 8.0 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.9 4.8 1.9 0.2 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 5.1 4.0 0.3 10.2 10th
11th 0.2 3.3 5.3 1.0 0.0 9.8 11th
12th 0.0 1.6 5.4 2.4 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.5 0.3 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.8 0.7 0.0 8.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.6 2.2 3.3 1.2 0.1 7.4 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 4.0 16th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.2 7.9 11.4 13.8 15.4 14.2 11.7 8.4 5.3 3.1 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 79.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
14-4 16.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.5% 98.8% 2.5% 96.3% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.7%
13-5 1.4% 93.7% 3.6% 90.0% 7.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 93.4%
12-6 3.1% 90.3% 2.4% 88.0% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.3 90.1%
11-7 5.3% 70.0% 1.4% 68.6% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.4 1.6 69.6%
10-8 8.4% 46.2% 0.9% 45.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 1.5 1.0 0.0 4.5 45.7%
9-9 11.7% 22.7% 0.7% 22.0% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.1 0.0 9.0 22.2%
8-10 14.2% 6.4% 0.2% 6.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 13.3 6.3%
7-11 15.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 15.3 0.7%
6-12 13.8% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 13.8 0.1%
5-13 11.4% 11.4
4-14 7.9% 7.9
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 16.2% 0.4% 15.7% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.7 3.4 4.3 3.3 0.1 83.8 15.8%