Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#31
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#49
Pace70.1#165
Improvement+0.7#133

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#22
First Shot+10.2#10
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#269
Layup/Dunks+3.9#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#89
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#152
Freethrows+3.9#13
Improvement+1.7#71

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#46
First Shot+4.4#51
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#120
Layups/Dunks+4.9#36
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#299
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#121
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement-1.0#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 6.2% 7.1% 1.9%
Top 6 Seed 23.4% 25.7% 11.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 74.4% 77.4% 59.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 74.0% 77.0% 59.2%
Average Seed 7.5 7.4 8.2
.500 or above 94.3% 96.1% 85.6%
.500 or above in Conference 73.3% 77.8% 51.8%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.7%
First Four6.9% 6.4% 9.3%
First Round71.3% 74.6% 55.3%
Second Round43.8% 46.4% 31.0%
Sweet Sixteen14.8% 16.1% 8.7%
Elite Eight5.1% 5.5% 3.1%
Final Four1.6% 1.8% 0.9%
Championship Game0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 35 - 10
Quad 26 - 211 - 12
Quad 33 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Mon, Nov 3 354 IU Indianapolis W 118-102 99%     1 - 0 -0.7 +13.7 -17.3
  Fri, Nov 7 199 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94-68 95%     2 - 0 +20.6 +13.7 +6.0
  Tue, Nov 11 228 Appalachian St. W 75-53 96%     3 - 0 +14.9 +11.1 +6.8
  Sun, Nov 16 64 Notre Dame W 64-63 79%     4 - 0 +6.4 -2.8 +9.2
  Thu, Nov 20 280 Western Michigan W 91-58 97%     5 - 0 +23.7 +9.1 +13.4
  Tue, Nov 25 300 Mount St. Mary's W 113-60 98%     6 - 0 +42.4 +31.1 +9.0
  Fri, Nov 28 84 @Pittsburgh L 66-67 67%     6 - 1 +8.6 +1.6 +6.9
  Sat, Dec 6 57 @Northwestern W 86-82 58%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +16.0 +16.4 -0.5
  Tue, Dec 9 10 Illinois L 80-88 39%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +9.0 +13.5 -4.6
  Sat, Dec 13 62 West Virginia W 89-88 2OT 71%     8 - 2 +9.5 +7.4 +1.9
  Sat, Dec 20 21 North Carolina L 70-71 42%     8 - 3 +15.0 +11.2 +3.8
  Tue, Dec 23 245 Grambling St. W 89-63 97%     9 - 3 +18.2 +17.8 +1.5
  Fri, Jan 2 147 @Rutgers W 79-69 83%    
  Mon, Jan 5 25 Nebraska W 77-75 58%    
  Thu, Jan 8 56 @Oregon W 79-77 57%    
  Sun, Jan 11 48 @Washington W 76-75 51%    
  Sat, Jan 17 30 UCLA W 77-74 60%    
  Tue, Jan 20 96 Minnesota W 76-65 85%    
  Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 73-89 7%    
  Mon, Jan 26 126 Penn St. W 86-71 92%    
  Sat, Jan 31 46 @Wisconsin L 78-79 50%    
  Thu, Feb 5 94 @Maryland W 80-75 68%    
  Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 76-86 19%    
  Wed, Feb 11 38 USC W 82-77 66%    
  Sat, Feb 14 26 Virginia L 76-77 46%    
  Tue, Feb 17 46 Wisconsin W 81-75 70%    
  Sun, Feb 22 16 @Michigan St. L 69-75 28%    
  Wed, Feb 25 18 @Iowa L 69-74 31%    
  Sun, Mar 1 5 Purdue L 73-78 33%    
  Wed, Mar 4 126 @Penn St. W 83-74 79%    
  Sat, Mar 7 29 Indiana W 77-75 59%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.9 0.2 2.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.3 1.0 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.0 1.6 0.1 10.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 5.7 4.4 0.6 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.6 1.2 0.0 11.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.7 2.1 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 4.2 3.2 0.3 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.2 0.7 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.0 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.5 13th
14th 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.0 4.4 7.7 11.4 15.1 16.3 15.0 12.3 7.8 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
17-3 57.6% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 15.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.7% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 3.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 4.4% 99.9% 5.5% 94.5% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.9%
14-6 7.8% 99.7% 3.8% 96.0% 5.6 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.3 2.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 12.3% 99.3% 2.0% 97.3% 6.5 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.3 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.1 99.3%
12-8 15.0% 97.1% 1.2% 95.8% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 4.0 4.1 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.4 97.1%
11-9 16.3% 91.9% 0.8% 91.0% 8.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.7 4.4 4.0 2.3 0.5 1.3 91.8%
10-10 15.1% 76.2% 0.7% 75.6% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 2.9 3.3 2.0 0.0 3.6 76.1%
9-11 11.4% 44.4% 0.2% 44.2% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.4 0.1 6.3 44.3%
8-12 7.7% 17.0% 0.1% 16.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.1 6.4 16.9%
7-13 4.4% 2.7% 0.2% 2.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.3 2.6%
6-14 2.0% 2.0
5-15 0.9% 0.9
4-16 0.2% 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 74.4% 1.5% 72.9% 7.5 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.8 7.3 9.9 12.7 13.1 10.5 8.3 6.1 0.3 25.6 74.0%